2020 New Zealand general election
The 2020 New Zealand general election was held after the currently elected 52nd New Zealand Parliament is dissolved or expires. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced the election date as Saturday 17 October 2020.[1]
Official results
In the last election, Labour Party, led by Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, formed a minority coalition government with the New Zealand First party.[2]
Incumbent Prime Minister Ardern was re-elected with a Labour landslide victory.[3]
Candidates
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Election changes
Electorate boundaries for the next election are due to be redrawn in 2019, after the 2018 census and Māori electoral option. This means that unless a snap election is called before 2019, the next general election will be the first to use boundaries based on the 2018 census.
Opinion polling
Seat projections
| Party | 2017 election result | Roy Morgan[4] 30 Oct – 12 Nov 2017 poll |
1 News Colmar Brunton[5] 19–23 May 2018 poll |
Radio NZ[6] 5 Jun 2018 poll of polls |
Newshub Reid Research[7] 17–24 May 2018 poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Party | 56 | 51 | 58 | 57 | 58 | |
| Labour Party | 46 | 49 | 55 | 54 | 55 | |
| New Zealand First | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green Party | 8 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 8 | |
| ACT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1* | |
| Seats in Parliament | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 122 | |
| Overall result (majority) | National−NZ First (65) | Labour−Green (62) | Labour−Green (61) | Labour−Green (62) | Labour–Green (63) | |
| Labour−Green−NZ First (63) | ||||||
| Note: Forecasted seats are currently calculated using the Electoral Commission's MMP seat allocation calculator, based on polling results. | ||||||
References
- Deguara, Brittney (17 August 2020). "Live: Jacinda Ardern delays election to October 17 amid coronavirus outbreak". Stuff. Archived from the original on 17 August 2020. Retrieved 17 August 2020.
- Chapman, Grant (19 October 2017). "Full video: NZ First leader Winston Peters announces next Government". Newshub. Retrieved 19 October 2017.
- "Jacinda Ardern eyes majority as New Zealand votes". BBC News. 17 October 2020. Retrieved 17 October 2020.
- "New PM Jacinda Ardern drives surge in New Zealand Government Confidence". Roy Morgan.
- https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-budget-fails-deliver-boost-labour-but-ardern-up-four-per-cent-preferred-pm 1 News Colmar Brunton
- "No Budget lift for Labour in polls but support for PM still strong". Radio New Zealand. 5 June 2018.
- "Simon Bridges failing to connect with voters - Newshub poll". 27 May 2018 – via www.newshub.co.nz.
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