2023 Madeiran regional election
A regional election will be held in Madeira no later than October 2023, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will replace all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
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47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira 24 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The current president, Miguel Albuquerque from the Social Democratic Party (PSD), is currently leading a coalition government between the Social Democrats and the CDS – People's Party, and will defend the dominance of the Social Democratic Party in the islands since 1976. The PSD and CDS–PP will contest the election in a joint coalition.[1]
Electoral system
The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[2]
Parties
Current composition
The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.
| Name | Ideology | Leader | 2019 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| PSD | Social Democratic Party Partido Social Democrata |
Liberal conservatism | Miguel Albuquerque | 39.4% | 21 / 47 | |
| PS | Socialist Party Partido Socialista |
Social democracy | Sérgio Gonçalves[3] | 35.8% | 19 / 47 | |
| CDS-PP | CDS – People's Party Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular |
Conservatism | Rui Barreto | 5.8% | 3 / 47 | |
| JPP | Together for the People Juntos pelo Povo |
Centrism | Élvio Sousa | 5.5% | 3 / 47 | |
| PCP | Portuguese Communist Party Partido Comunista Português |
Communism | Edgar Silva | 1.8% [lower-alpha 3] |
1 / 47 | |
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
Polling
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
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JPP | _(Letras).png.webp){kind=small} |
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O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Aximage[lower-alpha 4] | 14–24 Feb 2023 | 603 | ? | 55.0 29 |
16.8 8 |
13.8 7 |
1.9 1 |
1.4 0 |
0.9 0 |
3.2 1 |
3.6 1 |
3.4 0 |
38.1 | |||
| Intercampus[lower-alpha 5][lower-alpha 6] | 20–30 Jan 2023 | 400 | ? | 45.2 | 29.5 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 15.7 | |||
| 44.7 | 1.7 | 30.2 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 14.5 | ||||||
| Aximage[lower-alpha 7][lower-alpha 8] | 14–26 Oct 2022 | 601 | 58.4 | 54.0 | 26.6 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 27.4 | |||
| 51.5 | 5.2 | 25.1 | 8.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 26.4 | ||||||
| Aximage | 30 Jul–5 Aug 2022 | 414 | 65.9 | 50.1 | 18.6 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 8.5 | 31.5 | |||
| 52.6 | 1.9 | 17.3 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 8.6 | 35.3 | ||||||
| 2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 49.6 | 39.8 | 31.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 8.3 | |||
| 2021 local elections | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 54.6 | 43.0 | 3.4 | 29.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 1.2 | 2.5 | 8.4 | 13.5 | ||
| Aximage | 5–8 Jun 2020 | 415 | ? | 42.2 | 2.3 | 27.5 | — | 2.1 | 2.1 | — | — | — | 23.8 | 14.7 | ||
| 2019 legislative election | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 50.3 | 37.2 | 6.1 | 33.4 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7.4 | 3.8 | ||
| 2019 regional election | 22 Sep 2019 | — | 55.5 | 39.4 21 |
5.8 3 |
35.8 19 |
5.5 3 |
1.8 1 |
1.7 0 |
1.5 0 |
0.5 0 |
0.4 0 |
7.6 0 |
3.6 | ||
See also
Notes
- As leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD). The leader of the Madeira People's Party (CDS–PP) is the Regional Secretary for Economic Affairs Rui Barreto.
- Sum of votes and seats of the PSD and the CDS–PP in the 2019 election. PSD: 39.4%, 21 seats; CDS–PP: 5.8%, 3 seats.
- The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2019 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 1.8% of the vote and elected 1 MP to parliament.
- Results presented here exclude undecideds (9.0%). With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 50.0%; PS: 15.3%; JPP: 12.6%; CHEGA: 3.3%; IL: 2.9%; CDU: 1.7%; BE: 1.3%; PAN: 0.8%; Others/Invalid: 3.1%.
- Results presented here exclude undecideds + non voters (25.4% + 3.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS-PP: 32.2%; PS: 21.0%; JPP: 6.0%; CHEGA: 4.8%; IL: 3.0%; BE: 1.5%; PAN: 1.2%; CDU: 0.8%; Others/Invalid: 0.8%.
- Results presented here exclude undecideds + non voters (24.0% + 3.8%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 32.2%; PS: 21.8%; JPP: 6.0%; CHEGA: 4.5%; IL: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; CDS-PP: 1.2%; CDU: 1.0%; PAN: 0.8%; Others/Invalid: 0.8%.
- Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.9%). With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS-PP: 44.3%; PS: 21.8%; JPP: 7.7%; CHEGA: 2.2%; IL: 1.9%; CDU: 0.9%; BE: 0.7%; PAN: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
- Results presented here exclude undecideds (16.0%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 43.3%; PS: 21.1%; JPP: 7.5%; CDS-PP: 4.4%; CHEGA: 2.2%; IL: 1.9%; CDU: 0.9%; BE: 0.7%; PAN: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
References
- "PSD e CDS juntos (de novo) na corrida à liderança do Governo da Madeira em 2023 ", Público, 22 July 2022. Retrieved 22 July 2022.
- Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
- Região mais pobre do país "é cadastro" de AlbuquerqueSol, 14 March 2022. Retrieved 12 April 2022.
External links
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