2024 Finnish presidential election

Presidential elections are expected to be held in Finland in early 2024.[1] Voters will elect the President of the Republic to a six-year term. Incumbent President Sauli Niinistö cannot run for re-election, having served the maximum two terms, ensuring the president elected will be the country's 13th.[2]

2024 Finnish presidential election
2024
Incumbent President

Sauli Niinistö
Independent


If the new president is chosen on the first ballot by winning more than half of valid votes cast, their term will begin on 1 February 2024. Should the election go to a second ballot, the term will begin on 1 March 2024.

According to a poll conducted by Ilta-Sanomat in 2022, Mika Aaltola, political scientist and the director of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, is currently the most popular candidate for the 13th president of Finland in 2024, which would make him Finland's first president elected from outside politics.[3] After him, the next most popular are Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto and the Governor of the Bank of Finland, Olli Rehn.[3]

Requirements

According to the first paragraph of Section 54 of the Finnish Constitution, "The President shall be a native-born Finnish citizen."[4][5][6]

Candidates

In 2019 Paavo Väyrynen announced that he would run as a candidate for the 2024 elections.[7][8][9]

In 2022 Movement Now chose its chairman Hjallis Harkimo as its presidential candidate for the 2024 elections.

Candidates who did not run

Opinion polls

Potential candidates
Poll source Survey
dates
Katainen
NCP		 Stubb
NCP		 Vapaavuori
NCP		 Haavisto
Greens		 Halla-aho
Finns		 Huhtasaari
Finns		 Rehn
Centre		 Vanhanen
Centre		 Heinäluoma
SDP		 Marin
SDP		 Urpilainen
SDP		 Andersson
Left		 Others Don't know
May 2023 1% 5% - 28% 6% 1% 15% 2% 1% 5% 2% 2% 29% –
Maaseudun Tulevaisuus 14 and 19 April 2023 – 4.6% - 23.3% 8.5% – 10.8%  ?% - -%  ?% -% 10.4% –
Taloustutkimus 12 and 19 December 2022 – 7% - 25% 7% – 14%  ?% - 7%  ?% 2% 15% –
Taloustutkimus Taloustutkimus 2 and 7 December 2022 – 4.5% 4% 17.3% 5.8% – 13.7  ?% -  ?%  ?% -% 7% –
Taloustutkimus March 2022 – 4% 4% 16% 7% – 20% 4% - 9% 3% -% 7% –
Taloustutkimus Jul 2021 – 5% 4% 12% 7% – 14% 5% 3% 11% 3% 3% 10% –
Kantar TNS Feb 2021 1% 2% 4% 7% 5% – 19% 4% 4% 13% 3% 1% 11% 51%
Taloustutkimus Jan 2021 2% 4% 6% 9% 6% 2% 11% 6% 4% 16% 3% 2% 27% –
Taloustutkimus Dec 2020 1% 5% 5% 9% 5% 2% 8% 6% 4% 16% 3% 3% 31% 3%
TNS Kantar Agri Jun 2020 – – 5.7% 12.4% 6.2% – 11.0% – 4.7% 9.7% – 3.0% 7.6% 41.8%
TNS Kantar Agri Feb 2020 – – 6% 18% 9% – 11% – 6% – – – – –
Taloustutkimus Feb 2020 3% 4% 5% 22% 8% 2% 8% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 23% 4%
Taloustutkimus Dec 2019 5% – 4% 17% 6% 3% 10% – 4% – 7% 7% 21% 16%
Tietoykkönen Oct 2019 – – 10% 33% 10% 4% 11% – 7% – 6% 8% 10% –
Taloustutkimus Jan 2018 – – 9% 27% – 7% 7% 4% 4% – 4% 4% 26% 9%

References
  1. "Etusivu". Vaalit (in Finnish). Retrieved 2022-07-12.
  2. "Näkökulma: Punavihreä vs. porvari - onko jompikumpi heistä Suomen seuraava presidentti?". www.iltalehti.fi (in Finnish). Retrieved 2021-04-13.
  3. "IS:n presidenttikyselyssä yllätysykkönen: "Voi pyhä jysäys"". Ilta-Sanomat (in Finnish). 21 October 2022. Retrieved 23 October 2022.
  4. "The Constitution of Finland 731/1999" (PDF). Finlex - a database of Finnish legislation. Retrieved 19 July 2021.
  5. "The President of the Republic of Finland: Position and Duties: Election of the President". www.presidentti.fi. Retrieved 2022-02-16.
  6. "Elections and voting in Finland". www.infofinland.fi. Retrieved 2022-02-16.
  7. "Paavo Väyrynen pyrkii presidentiksi 2024". Helsingin Sanomat (in Finnish). Retrieved 2022-05-18.
  8. "Paavo Väyrynen tähtää vuoden 2024 presidentinvaaleihin". Ilta-Sanomat (in Finnish). Retrieved 2022-05-18.
  9. "1988, 1994, 2012, 2018, 2024 - Paavo Väyrynen pyrkii jälleen presidentiksi". Iltalehti (in Finnish). Retrieved 2022-05-18.
  10. https://yle.fi/a/74-20030841
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