2024 Panamanian general election

General elections are scheduled to be held in Panama on 5 May 2024.[1] Due to constitutional term limits, incumbent president Laurentino Cortizo is ineligible for a second consecutive term.[2]

2024 Panamanian general election

5 May 2024
Presidential election

Incumbent President

Laurentino Cortizo
PRD



Legislative election

All 71 seats in the National Assembly
36 seats needed for a majority
Party Current seats
National Assembly
PRD 35
CD 18
Panameñista 8
MOLIRENA 5
Independents 5

Electoral system

Of the 71 members of the National Assembly, 26 will be elected in single-member constituencies and 45 by proportional representation in multi-member constituencies. Each district with more than 40,000 inhabitants forms a constituency. Constituencies elect one MP for every 30,000 residents and an additional representative for every fraction over 10,000.[3]

In single-member constituencies MPs are elected using the first-past-the-post system. In multi-member constituencies MPs are elected using party list proportional representation according to a double quotient; the first allocation of seats uses a simple quotient, further seats are allotted using the quotient divided by two, with any remaining seats are awarded to the parties with the greatest remainder.[3]

The President is elected through plurality vote in one round.

Presidential candidates

Publicly expressed interest

Opinion polls

Pollster Date Sample size Martinelli (RM) Lombana (MOC) Carrizo (PRD) Roux (CD) Blandón (PAN) Torrijos (PP) Other Blank
C&E Research 11 April 2023 44% 10% 3% 8% 5% 18% 12%
Gallup Panama 13–21 March 2023 1,200 62% 12% 1% 7% 4% 9% 5% 24%
Gismo Services 22–23 February 2023 1,800 33% 6% 29% 13% 9% 10% 6%
Gallup Panama 9-16 February 2023 1,200 62% 16% 5% 11% 5% 26%
Gismo Services 17–23 January 2023 1,800 30% 7% 27% 11% 9% 10% 6%
Gismo Services 6–10 December 2022 1,800 32% 9% 28% 12% 9% 10% 6%
Gismo Services 3–7 September 2022 1,800 35% 6% 27% 13% 7% 12%
Gismo Services 27–31 July 2022 1,800 34.1% 3.4% 26.1% 13.6% 6.8% 12%
Gismo Services 7–11 May 2022 1,800 35.3% 4.7% 27.1% 15.3% 8.2% 15%
Gismo Services 6–10 April 2022 1,800 37.1% 3.4% 25.8% 14.6% 9% 11%
Gallup Panama 11–16 March 2022 1,200 56.6% 13.3% 7.2% 2.4% 6% 14.4% 17%
Gismo Services 5–10 March 2022 1,800 39.8% 5.7% 23.9% 11.4% 8% 12%
Gallup Panama 5–9 February 2022 1,200 57.7% 12.8% 5.1% 4.1% 5.1% 8% 22%
Gismo Services 3–7 January 2022 1,800 44.9% 5.6% 22.5% 7.9% 5.6% 11%
Gismo Services December 2021 1,800 45% 5% 19% 8% 4% 10% 9%

References

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