2024 Taiwanese presidential election

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Taiwan on 13 January 2024.[1] Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was reelected in 2020, is ineligible to seek a third term. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2024.

2024 Taiwanese presidential election
13 January 2024
 
Nominee Lai Ching-te Hou Yu-ih Ko Wen-je
Party DPP Kuomintang TPP
Taiwan by administrative divisions
Incumbent President

Tsai Ing-wen
DPP


Background

Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the eighth direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), Taiwan People's Party (TPP) and New Power Party (NPP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election at any level, are eligible to contest the election. Registration with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation where a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party's seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[2]

According to the constitution, the incumbent President, Tsai Ing-wen, who will finish her second full term, is ineligible for re-election.

Nominations

Democratic Progressive Party

Lai Ching-te, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Democratic Progressive Party.[3][4]

Nominees
2024 Democratic Progressive ticket
Lai Ching-te TBD
for President for Vice President
Vice President of the Republic of China
(2020–present)

Kuomintang

Hou Yu-ih was drafted by the Kuomintang on 17 May 2023 to be its nominee for the presidency.[5]

Nominees
2024 Kuomintang ticket
Hou Yu-ih TBD
for President for Vice President
Mayor of New Taipei
(2018–present)

Taiwan People's Party

Ko Wen-je, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Taiwan People's Party.[6]

Nominees
2024 Taiwan People's ticket
Ko Wen-je TBD
for President for Vice President
Mayor of Taipei
(2014–2022)

Declared

Opinion polling

Multiple candidates per party
Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Lai Ching-te
DPP		 Cheng Wen-tsan
DPP		 Su Tseng-chang
DPP		 Chen Chien-jen
DPP		 Eric Chu
KMT		 Hou Yu-ih
KMT		 Ko Wen-je
TPP		 Terry Gou
Ind.		 Others/Invalid
Z.Media 8-10 November 2022 1,072 23.2% — — 3.4% 5.5% 16.6% 11.7% 19.6% 20%
Z.Media 17-18 October 2022 1,073 21.9% 2.8% 6.4% 16.9% 12.1% 21.6% 18.3%
Z.Media 12-13 September 2022 1,073 23.2% 2.6% 9.6% 16.3% 9.7% 19.1% 19.5%
Z.Media 27-28 July 2022 1,072 23.8% 3.3% 9.4% 14.5% 12.2% 19.9% 16.8%
Formosa 21-22 June 2022 1,071 33.0% 9.2% 3.3% 19.8% 17.9% — 16.8%
Z.Media 7-9 June 2022 1,071 22.3% 3.7% 9.3% 15.9% 11.9% 20.8% 16.1%
Formosa 20-21 April 2022 1,071 30.9% 8.6% 3.2% 22.2% 10.6% — 24.4%
Formosa 16-17 February 2022 1,075 35.0% 3.7% — 5.2% 21.9% 14.3% 19.9%
Formosa 22-23 December 2021 1,072 30.6% 4.3% — 4.5% 22.0% 14.1% 24.5%
Formosa 25-26 October 2021 1,074 25.5% 6.4% 9.0% 23.0% 14.2% 21.8%
Formosa 25-26 August 2021 1,077 25.1% 8.4% 5.9% 22.9% 15.9% 21.9%
Formosa 23-24 June 2021 1,075 21.8% 6.7% 7.1% 22.3% 17.8% 24.2%
Formosa 21-22 April 2021 1,072 23.6% 7.5% 3.9% 8.1% 22.5% 10.8% 23.6%

Single candidate per party
Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Lai Ching-te Cheng Wen-tsan Chen Chien-jen Ko Wen-je Eric Chu Hou Yu-ih Han Kuo-yu Terry Gou
Ind.		 No one/Invalid Undecided Don't know/Refused to answer
DPP TPP KMT
Formosa 21-22 December 2022 1,072 42.6% — — 24.3% 12.8% — — — 20.3% — —
34.1% — — 12.7% — 39.9% — — 13.3% — —
TPOF 12-13 December 2022 1,070 — 17.9% — 20.2% — 43.6% — — — 10.9% 7.5%
TPOF 12-13 December 2022 1,070 29.0% — — 17.8% — 38.7% — — — 8.1% 6.4%
Formosa 29-30 November 2022 1,073 42.2% — — 23.6% 11.1% — — — 23.2% — —
34.3% — — 13.5% — 33.8% — — 18.3% — —
ettoday 27-28 November 2022 1,108 34.7% — — 36.1% 12.1% — — — 7.2% — 10%
29.4% — — 23.2% — 35.4% — — 4.1% — 8.0%
33.1% — — 27.7% — — 25.9% — 4.6% — 8.7%
31.7% — — 22.6% — — — 32.0% 5.8% — 7.9%
— 24.3% — 37.8% 16.7% — — — — — 21.2%
— 22.6% — 25.1% — 39.7% — — — — 12.6%
— 20.6% — 24.5% — — — 39.7% 8.5% — 7.4%
— — 27.2% 37.4% 15.5% — — — 10.1% — 9.8%
— — 21.9% 25.0% — 39.1% — — 6.2% — 7.8%
— — 27.2% 30.7% — — 26.2% — 8.5% — 7.4%
— — 22.7% 24.0% — — — 38.0% 7.9% — 7.4%
ettoday 29-30 October 2022 1,419 35.5% — — 26.4% 10.7% — — — 7.2% 18.4% 1.8%
31.5% — — 21.7% — 23.4% — — 19.8% — 3.6%
34.7% — — 23.7% — — 20.4% — 3.1% 13.8% 4.2%
Formosa 24-25 October 2022 1,072 46.0% — — 27.1% 10.1% — — — 16.8% — —
37.8% — — 18.6% — 29.5% — — 14.0% — —
Formosa 23-26 September 2022 1,076 29.9% — — 20.9% — 27.3% — — 14.0% — —
Formosa 24-25 August 2022 1,072 42.6% — — 31.1% 9.6% — — — 16.7% — —
37.1% — — 19.0% — 29.5% — — 14.4% — —
Formosa 21-22 June 2022 1,071 48.8% — — 30.5% 7.4% — — — 13.3% — —
41.5% — — 19.6% — 28.0% — — 10.9% — —
ettoday 23-25 February 2022 1,209 37.2% — — 22.3% — 28.0% — — 3.8% — 8.7%
39.9% — — 20.2% — — — 27.6% 3.7% — 8.5%
— 23.8% — 24.1% — 34.9% — — 7.5% — 9.7%
— 26.4% — 21.5% — — — 35.4% 6.4% — 10.3%
ettoday 17-19 October 2021 1,833 38.6% — — 25.5% 20.3% — — — 13.1% — 12.3%
35.5% — — 21.0% — 30.3% — — 4.6% — 8.6%
— 32.9% — 28.3% 21.2% — — — 8.2% — 9.4%
— 28.9% — 22.6% — 33.5% — — 5.8% — 9.2%
CAPOR 27 July-1 August 2021 1,088 27.5% — — 27.2% 21.3% — — — 9.4% 4.7% 9.8%
24.2% — — 19.0% — 34.9% — — 6.3% 5.5% 10.0%
— 20.9% — 30.0% 21.9% — — — 11.0% 5.5% 10.6%
— 18.3% — 21.0% — 37.5% — — 8.5% 5.1% 9.5%

Notes

    References
    1. "Taiwan sets next presidential election for January 2024". Nikkei Asia. 11 March 2023. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
    2. "Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act". Laws & Regulations Database of the Republic of China (Taiwan). Retrieved 31 March 2023.
    3. "VP Lai runs in DPP primary, vows to safeguard Taiwan amid China threat". Focus Taiwan. 15 March 2023. Retrieved 31 March 2023.
    4. "Registration for DPP presidential primary closes with Lai Ching-te as sole registrant". FTV News. 17 March 2023. Retrieved 31 March 2023.
    5. "侯侯選總統／宣布了！朱立倫徵召侯友宜參選2024". United Daily News. 17 May 2023.
    6. "民眾黨公告總統選舉提名柯文哲參選". United Daily News. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 17 May 2023.
    7. "Former Control Yuan chief announces bid for Taiwan presidency". Taiwan News. 28 March 2023. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
    8. "要把台灣變成福利均富東方瑞士國　蘇煥智宣布參選總統" (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 菱傳媒. 28 April 2023. Retrieved 30 April 2023.
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