2024 Uruguayan general election
General elections will be held in Uruguay on 27 October 2024. If no presidential candidate receives a majority in the first round of voting, a runoff will take place on Sunday 24 November 2024.
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Background
Incumbent President Luis Lacalle Pou, who won the 2019 elections, cannot run again as the Constitution bars a president from immediate reelection. As a result, the governing National Party has to nominate a new candidate.
Electoral system
The President of Uruguay is elected using the two-round system, with a run-off held if no candidate receives 50% of the vote in the first round. The 30 members of the Senate are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The vice president, elected on the same ballot as the president, becomes president of the Senate, with his vote being determinant in case of tie.[1] The 99 members of the Chamber of Representatives are elected by proportional representation in 19 multi-member constituencies based on the 19 departments. Seats are allocated using the highest averages method.[2]
The elections are held using the double simultaneous vote method, whereby voters cast a single vote for the party of their choice for all three seats of Presidency, Senate and Chamber of Representatives.
Candidates
Presidential primaries will be held in April or June to select the candidates. So far, the politicians with highest stakes of taking part in this process are as follows:
- National Party
- Vice President Beatriz Argimón
- Secretary of the Presidency Álvaro Delgado
- Minister of Social Development Martín Lema
- Senator Jorge Gandini
- Senator Juan Sartori
- economist Laura Raffo
- Broad Front
- Intendant of Montevideo Carolina Cosse
- Intendant of Canelones Yamandú Orsi[3]
- Intendant of Salto Andrés Lima
- Party President Fernando Pereira
- Senator Mario Bergara
- Senator Oscar Andrade
- Colorado Party
- Minister of Environment Adrián Peña
- Chief education officer Robert Silva
- lawyer Andrés Ojeda
- Senator Carmen Sanguinetti
- Representative Ope Pasquet
- former Senator Pedro Bordaberry
- OAS Secretary General Luis Almagro
- Representative Gustavo Zubía
- former Representative Julio Luis Sanguinetti
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | PC | CA | PERI | PG | PI | Others | Und. | Blank/Abs. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cifra[4] | 20 Apr–3 May 2023 | 987 | 41% | 30% | 3% | 4% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 19% | 11% | ||
Cifra[5] | 15–27 Feb 2023 | 1,007 | 43% | 30% | 3% | 2% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 19% | 13% | ||
Factum[6] | 11–20 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 41% | 26% | 6% | 9% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 15% |
Equipos Consultores[7] | Feb 2023 | – | 43% | 24% | 9% | 3% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 1% | n/a | n/a | 21% |
Equipos Consultores[8] | Dec 2022 | – | 44% | 23% | 6% | 4% | 1% | — | — | 1% | 16% | 5% | 21% |
Opción Consultores[9] | 2–10 Nov 2022 | – | 40% | 28% | 6% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 12% | 6% | 12% |
Cifra[10] | 20–31 Oct 2022 | 810 | 43% | 31% | 4% | 2% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 18% | 12% | ||
Factum[11] | 4–16 Oct 2022 | 800 | 41% | 27% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 14% |
Equipos Consultores[12] | 24 Jul–8 Oct 2022 | 1,900 | 38% | 28% | 5% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
Factum[13] | 3–13 Jun 2022 | 900 | 39% | 28% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 11% |
Equipos Consultores[14] | 23 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,195 | 35% | 25% | 5% | 2% | — | — | — | 1% | 25% | 7% | 10% |
Factum[15] | 6–15 Nov 2021 | 900 | 39% | 30% | 8% | 9% | — | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 9% |
Equipos Consultores[16] | Jul–Sep 2021 | 1,500 | 35% | 30% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 1% | 19% | 7% | 5% |
Opción Consultores[17] | 13–20 May 2021 | 824 | 34% | 33% | 5% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 1% |
2019 election, 1st round | 27 October 2019 | – | 39.0% | 28.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.6% | 10.4% |
- Notes
- Unspecified or other Multicolor parties
Notes
References
- Electoral system IPU
- Electoral system IPU
- "Lacalle y Orsi: un arranque entre "señales", "simbolismo" y una corbata "colorada" en el medio". El Observador (in Spanish). 26 November 2020.
- "Intención de voto: "empate técnico" entre coalición y Frente Amplio, según la última encuesta de Cifra" (in Spanish).
- "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- "La coalición de gobierno suma 45% de intención de voto y el Frente Amplio 41%, según la última encuesta de Factum" (in Spanish).
- "Encuesta Equipos: FA 43%, Partido Nacional 24%, Partido Colorado 9%, Cabildo Abierto 3%" (in Spanish).
- "Encuesta de Equipos coloca al FA a la cabeza de la preferencia electoral, con 44 %" (in Spanish).
- Opción: el FA reúne 40% de la intención de voto, mientras que los blancos llegan a 28%"
- "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- "Intención de voto por partido – Octubre 2022" (in Spanish).
- "Encuesta de Equipos Consultores: FA 38%, PN 28%, PC 5%, CA 3%, 1% PI y 1% PERI" (in Spanish).
- "Intención de voto: FA 39%; PN 28%; CA y PC 8% cada uno" (in Spanish).
- "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? La última encuesta de Equipos Consultores" (in Spanish).
- "Intención de voto por partido - Noviembre 2021" (in Spanish).
- "A dos años de las elecciones de 2019: ¿qué votarían hoy los uruguayos?". subrayado.com.uy (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2021.
- Preferencias Partidarias – Mayo 2021"