Brandon East
Brandon East is a provincial electoral division in the province of Manitoba, Canada. It encompasses half of the City of Brandon, the other half being represented in Brandon West.
 Manitoba electoral district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
 Location in Brandon | |||
| Provincial electoral district | |||
| Legislature | Legislative Assembly of Manitoba | ||
| MLA |
Progressive Conservative | ||
| District created | 1968 | ||
| First contested | 1969 | ||
| Last contested | 2019 | ||
| Demographics | |||
| Population (2016) | 23,045 | ||
| Electors (2019) | 14,292 | ||
| Area (km²) | 43 | ||
| Pop. density (per km²) | 535.9 | ||
| Census subdivision(s) | Brandon | ||
Historical riding
The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.
Current riding
The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.
The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Minnedosa in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.
Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.
Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.
At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]
List of provincial representatives
| Assembly | Years | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riding created from Brandon | ||||
| 6th | 1886–1888 | James A. Smart | Liberal | |
| Riding dissolved into Brandon City | ||||
| Riding re-created from Brandon | ||||
| 29th | 1969–1973 | Len Evans | New Democratic | |
| 30th | 1973–1977 | |||
| 31st | 1977–1981 | |||
| 32nd | 1981–1986 | |||
| 33rd | 1986–1988 | |||
| 34th | 1988–1990 | |||
| 35th | 1990–1995 | |||
| 36th | 1995–1999 | |||
| 37th | 1999–2003 | Drew Caldwell | ||
| 38th | 2003–2007 | |||
| 39th | 2007–2011 | |||
| 40th | 2011–2016 | |||
| 41st | 2016–2019 | Len Isleifson | Progressive Conservative | |
| 42nd | 2019–present | |||
Opinion polls
| Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research Inc | December 19, 2015 | 18 | 41 | 38 | 3 | ||
| Probe Research Inc | January, 2015 | 28 | 40 | 26 | 6 | ||
Election Results
1886 general election
| 1886 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
| Liberal | James A. Smart | 580 | 52.68 | |||||
| Conservative | George Winters | 521 | 47.32 | |||||
| Total valid votes | 1,101 | – | ||||||
| Rejected | N/A | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 1,884 | 58.44 | ||||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1888 by-election
| Manitoba provincial by-election, February 9, 1888 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Liberal | James A. Smart | 0.00 | – | |||||
| Total valid votes | – | – | ||||||
| Rejected | N/A | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | N/A | – | – | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1969 general election
| 1969 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 3,035 | 49.02 | – | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Emily Lyons | 1,962 | 31.69 | – | ||||
| Liberal | Don Martin | 1,194 | 19.29 | – | ||||
| Total valid votes | 6,191 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 34 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 10,069 | 61.82 | – | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1973 general election
| 1973 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,123 | 51.74 | 2.72 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Kenneth John Burgess | 2,912 | 36.55 | 4.86 | ||||
| Liberal | Terence "Terry" Penton | 855 | 10.73 | -8.56 | ||||
| Social Credit | John William Gross | 78 | 0.98 | – | ||||
| Total valid votes | 7,968 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 48 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,037 | 72.63 | 10.81 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1977 general election
| 1977 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,217 | 52.91 | 1.17 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | James Thornborough | 3,195 | 40.09 | 3.54 | ||||
| Liberal | James Manishen | 558 | 7.00 | -3.73 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 7,970 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 16 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,052 | 72.26 | -0.37 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1981 general election
| 1981 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,941 | 61.16 | 8.25 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Garry Nowazek | 2,626 | 32.50 | -7.58 | ||||
| Liberal | Margaret Workman | 512 | 6.34 | -0.66 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 8,079 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 40 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,527 | 70.43 | -1.82 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1986 general election
| 1986 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,173 | 52.88 | -8.28 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Jim Armstrong | 3,184 | 40.34 | 7.84 | ||||
| Liberal | Eileen May McFadden | 535 | 6.78 | 0.44 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 7,892 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 20 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,806 | 67.02 | -3.42 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1988 general election
| 1988 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 3,512 | 39.73 | -13.14 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Jim Armstrong | 2,859 | 32.35 | -8.00 | ||||
| Liberal | Lois Fjeldsted | 2,260 | 25.57 | 18.79 | ||||
| Independent | Garth Shurvell | 208 | 2.35 | – | ||||
| Total valid votes | 8,839 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 16 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,749 | 75.37 | 8.35 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1990 general election
| 1990 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,760 | 53.51 | 13.78 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Ron Arnst | 3,216 | 36.16 | 3.81 | ||||
| Liberal | Brenda Avionitis | 919 | 10.33 | -15.24 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 8,895 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 38 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,230 | 67.52 | -7.85 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1995 general election
| 1995 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| New Democratic | Leonard Evans | 4,395 | 53.78 | 0.27 | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Greg Dinsdale | 2,608 | 31.91 | -4.24 | ||||
| Liberal | Elizabeth "Liz" Roberts | 1,169 | 14.30 | 3.97 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 8,172 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 22 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,037 | 62.85 | -4.67 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
1999 general election
| 1999 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 4,840 | 61.28 | 7.50 | $18,137.00 | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Marty Snelling | 2,080 | 26.34 | -5.58 | $25,283.41 | |||
| Independent | Don Jessiman | 525 | 6.65 | – | $1,040.69 | |||
| Liberal | Peter Logan | 453 | 5.74 | -8.57 | $4,017.07 | |||
| Total valid votes | 7,898 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 57 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 12,362 | 64.35 | 1.50 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
2003 general election
| 2003 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,870 | 62.04 | 0.76 | $14,549.00 | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Greg Dinsdale | 2,036 | 32.64 | 6.30 | $13,316.52 | |||
| Liberal | Scott Brigden | 274 | 4.39 | -1.34 | $1,771.36 | |||
| Communist | Lisa Gallagher | 58 | 0.93 | – | $436.91 | |||
| Total valid votes | 6,238 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 26 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,895 | 52.66 | -11.69 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
2007 general election
| 2007 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,760 | 53.95 | -8.09 | $19,216.70 | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,655 | 38.10 | 5.46 | $26,503.06 | |||
| Liberal | Cheryl Burke | 554 | 7.95 | 3.56 | $5,462.24 | |||
| Total valid votes | 6,969 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 31 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,921 | 58.72 | 6.06 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. | ||||||||
2011 general election
| 2011 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,864 | 54.95 | 1.00 | $14,503.88 | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,711 | 38.55 | 0.46 | $26,300.48 | |||
| Liberal | Shaun Cameron | 280 | 3.98 | -3.97 | $1,479.21 | |||
| Green | Vanda Fleury | 177 | 2.52 | – | $0.00 | |||
| Total valid votes | 7,032 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 35 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,305 | 53.12 | -5.60 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018. | ||||||||
2016 general election
| 2016 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,669 | 52.17 | 13.62 | $36,772.89 | |||
| New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 2,534 | 36.03 | -18.92 | $12,132.70 | |||
| Liberal | Vanessa Hamilton | 830 | 11.80 | 7.82 | $2,810.27 | |||
| Total valid votes | 7,033 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 117 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,120 | 54.50 | 1.38 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018. | ||||||||
2019 general election
| 2019 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,294 | 51.00 | -1.17 | $36,318.38 | |||
| New Democratic | Lonnie Patterson | 2,347 | 36.34 | 0.31 | $18,637.37 | |||
| Liberal | Kim Longstreet | 818 | 12.66 | 0.86 | $3,151.46 | |||
| Total valid votes | 6,459 | – | – | |||||
| Rejected | 70 | – | ||||||
| Eligible voters / Turnout | 14,292 | 45.68 | -8.81 | |||||
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020. | ||||||||
References
- CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
- Probe Research, December 2015
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