Eritrea under Isaias Afwerki

On 24 May 1993, Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia following a United Nations sponsored referendum, which gained 99.8% Eritrean support for independence. Isaias Afwerki became president and head of Eritrea, after fighting with his Eritrean People's Liberation Front (EPLF) against the authoritarian Derg government during the Ethiopian Civil War from 1974 to 1991. Eritrea became a one-party state and promised to schedule presidential elections in 2001, but was then delayed indefinitely without precondition. Isaias became a totalitarian leader and was accused by many watchdogs of repression and purges of journalists, dissent and opposition groups like People's Front for Democracy and Justice (PFDJ) officials, mass surveillance, arbitrary detention, lack of independent judiciary body and freedom of association, press, and speech. In 2015, the United Nations Commission of Inquiry on Eritrea reported that there were "systemic, widespread and gross human rights violations carried out in a context of total lack of rule of law". The Freedom in the World ranked Eritrea "not free" state as of 2022, with a total 3/100 score in both political rights and civil liberties.

President Isaias Afwerki in joint press briefing in Asmara, 10 December 2002

History

The Eritrean War of Independence began in 1962, and Isaias joined the Eritrean Liberation Front (ELF) in 1967, a post held for three years. As a leader of the Eritrean rebellion against Ethiopia's annexation of the Eritrean coastal region in 1977, Isaias became an icon of resistance. The Ethiopian Civil War began shortly after the beginning of the military junta Derg regime in 1974, and the EPLF actively participated in fighting against the government along with fellow rebel organization, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), and together with it formed a coalition named the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) in 1988. In April 1991, EPLF took Asmara from the Ethiopian force and, in May, they drove out the Derg troops in the area. After the Derg was overthrown by EPRDF on 28 May, Isaias quickly maintained U.S support for Eritrean independence and in June 1991, his organization announced the desire to hold a United Nations-sponsored referendum.[1]

Eritrea seceded from Ethiopia in 1993, disputed regions are shown in the green circle

Isaias also pledged Ethiopia to create a transitional government in Eritrea and believed the stability of Ethiopia would forge a new nation. Under Isaias' leadership, Eritrea was yet integrated into Ethiopia and announced its independence on 24 May 1993 following April's referendum, which saw 99.8% of Eritreans' endorsement for independence. Isaias was elected as the president of Eritrea on that day by the new national assembly. In February 1994, Isaias renamed his party EPLF to People's Front for Democracy and Justice (PFDJ). Since, then Isaias undertook a series of economic reforms to the country despite hardships, and he implemented a national service program in May 1994, which serves individuals for 18 months, focusing on military training for the first six months, and creating awareness of a country with expansions of the agricultural sector.[1]

In a session of the Organization of African Unity (OAU) in June 1993, Isaias made a backlash comment toward the unity for failing to protect Eritrea's interests during the civil war. He gathered delegates to this issue while the OAU promoted basic worthy goals for the African continent. Isaias maintained his stance on unity by calling "marginalized actors" of the world economic and political scenes causing "the wrong manuals" for political management, economic development, and democratization.[1]

Under his rule, Eritrea became a one-party state with himself promising to hold a presidential election scheduled in 2001. The new constitution was unlikely put in delay and Eritrea was characterized as democratic backsliding in the period. Human rights groups and opposition groups accused Isaias's government of being repressive to suppress dissent. Soon after the end of the Ethio-Eritrean War in 2000, his government began lockdowns against eleven journalists who were suspected of opposing Eritrea's independence and closed private newspapers. This move created divisive opposition groups in Eritrea that led to the formation of a dozen political group coalitions to overthrow Isaias through paramilitary targets in May 2003. As a result, Isaias rule became more oppressive and authoritarian in the compulsory military service for youths, which led to many Eritreans leaving their country.[1]

Isaias with Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in 2019

In 2018, the new Ethiopian prime minister Abiy Ahmed concerted an agreement of peace deals with Eritrea, which Isaias signed in a 2018 summit in Asmara, to end the border stalemate between the two nations after 20 years. In April 2021, the Eritrean National Defense Force engaged a war with the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) during the Tigray War, aligning with Abiy's government.[1]

Government

According to a report from the US State Department from 2019, "Eritrea became a centralized totalitarian state under President Isaias Afewerki" after a 1997 constitution failed to be implemented.[2] In a speech given at Princeton University in April 2000, Isaias promised "constitutionality, political pluralism and free and fair elections are naturally the best institutional tools" for achieving economic prosperity, if in presence of political and cultural realities in the specific country.[3] As a leader for Eritrea's independence, Isaias had no intention of holding a presidential election, and a parliamentary election scheduled in 2001 was postponed indefinitely. Although police are responsible for upholding internal security and armed forces external, there are witness reports of the armed forces engaging with demobilizing soldiers, or civilian militias, to meet hybrid tasks of both. Civil authorities sometimes involve themselves in the security forces to commit severe abuse of power.[4] In 2008, the American ambassador to Asmara, Ronald McMullen, described the president in a leaked assessment as "paranoid" and described him as believing "Ethiopian PM Meles tried to kill him and that the United States will attempt to assassinate him."[2] In the UN meeting regarding the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War, Eritrea voted 'no' on the resolution to condemn the Russian invasion, which surprised those who claimed Eritrea is one of their experts and in prejudice against the US and the West.[5]

Forto incident

On 21 January 2013, approximately 100 unknown soldiers broke into "Forto", the building of the information ministry correspondent on the state television, Eri-TV, and surrounded the staff. They forced the station director, Asmelash Abraha, to read a demand to release all prisoners of conscience and jailed political prisoners, and soliciting an implementation of the 1997 constitution. After he read two sentences, the signal went off-air. Isaias safeguards urged to protect him and his palace, and his airport. Shortly at 10 am, Eri-TV returned to broadcast informing the viewers of an ongoing snowstorm in Paris. The mutiny subsided after the government willingly negotiated with soldiers and the release of the ministry's employee.[6]

Human rights issues

In 2015, the United Nations Commission of Inquiry on Eritrea reported that there were "systemic, widespread and gross human rights violations carried out in a context of a total lack of rule of law". Norwegian academic Kjetil Tronvoll stated that there are concentration camps in the Gulang archipelago intended for individuals from opposition groups, labor camps with makeshift facilities, often made from shipping containers.[7] Since 2001, the government banned independent newspapers, arrested their journalists that were critical to Isaias, including seven People's Front for Democracy and Justice (PFDJ) officials, known as G-15, who appealed an open election to the government.[8] On other hands, Eritrea was aligned to human rights organizations, like United Nations Special Rapporteur who has applied for a visa.[9]

On the whole, the government was accused of forced disappearance, torture, arbitrary detention, arbitrary and unlawful interference with privacy, independence of judiciary body, freedom of speech, expression and association, censorship and criminal libel laws, restrictions over religious freedom, freedom of movement, restrictions over any political participation, human trafficking, criminalization over same-sex activity, and forced labor including forced participation over national service program regularly beyond the 18-month legal obligation. In August 2015, the Human Rights Watch (HRW) published a report documenting the use of unlawful force by security authorities against prisoners, national service evaders, army deserters as well as asylum seekers without travel documents, and certain religious groups using torture and battery. In June 2018, a thirty-year-old man reportedly died as a result of torture and delayed medical treatment. He has been arrested while attending the burial of Hajji Musa Mohammed Nur, the director of an Islamic school, in March 2018.[10] Freedom in the World ranked Eritrea the "not free" in 2022, scoring 1/40 for political rights and 2/60 for civil liberties, totaling 3/100.[11]

Foreign relations

Ethiopia

During the Ethiopian Civil War, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) initially viewed Eritreans as great inspirations and received assistance for their independence. By the 1980s and 1990s, the TPLF almost emerged as powerful rebel groups that grew in military skills and implementation of distinctive policies and conceptions in revolutionary struggle. Varied stances alienated both groups and eventually broke up in 1985.[12]

Demolished rocket launcher vehicle preserved as a relic of Eritrean–Ethiopian War (1998–2000)

Eritrea has engaged border conflicts in since its independence, notably the Badme War, which was opened after Eritrea invaded Ethiopia over the disputed border of Badme on 6 May 1998, resulting in ten thousand death within two years.[13] On 12 December 2000, Eritrea signed Algiers Agreement to end the war, but the two countries remained in stalemate in what described as "war footing". and "no-war-no-peace" with the absence of foreign and domestic policy domination. Eritrea has security concerns about Ethiopia, particularly supporting Eritrean opposition groups, albeit they are weak and fractured. On the other hand, Isaias tactically uses the disputed border to keep a war footing and justify indefinite mass mobilisation and repression. Eritrea also supported the Ethiopian rebel groups, such as the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) and the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) in order to undermine Ethiopian influence over the region. In Somalia, Eritrea has trained, armed, and financed militias opposed to the government of Ethiopia during the transitional government. The UN Monitoring Group on Somalia reported an embargo against Eritrea, along with Ethiopia and other states.[14]

In late 2008, their relationship was deemed strained and the Ethiopian Border Commission (EEBC) without delimitation of the border on November 2007; the United Nations Missions in Ethiopia and Eritrea (UNMEE) terminated its mandate in 2008, and Eritrean troops ephemerally occupied the Temporary Security Zone. Ethiopia remained in control of EEBC's demarcation border in the side of Eritrea's border, and reached the most important border, Badme, causing mass mobilisation and high concentration of both troops in the area.[15]

Eritrea's unchanged stance would reinforce EEBC'S decision backed by international laws while Ethiopia remained in adherence of de facto by virtue, and with strong relations to the UN.[15] The 20-year stalemate was ended after Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed came to power in 2018, who signed a "joint declaration of peace and friendship" bilateral summit on 9 July, restoring discontinued diplomatic and trade ties with Eritrea.[16] It includes reopening of Burre to access the landlocked Ethiopia Port of Eritrea and furtherly Zalambessa also opened to allow trade route, and access to Ethio telecom and the Ethiopian Airlines.[17] On 16 September, President Abiy signed another peace treaty with Isaias in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. According to the Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir on Twitter, the agreement "will contribute to strengthening security and stability in the region at large".[18]

Sudan

Relations with Sudan are generally favorable with the mutual support of opposition groups and normalized in 2006.[14] During the Ethiopian Civil War, Sudan hosted both ELF and EPLF and sent official representatives to liberated Eritrea until December 1991. In 1989, former Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir seized power with the help of the National Islamic Front (NIF) led by Hassan Al-Turabi, which opposed the EPLF and Eritrean military force in favor of the Eritrean Islamic Jihad Movement (EIJM) to cement Islamic government in the Horn of Africa. In August 1994, the two countries signed a non-interference treaty, but soon accusations comes from Eritrea, claiming Sudan allowed EIJM fighters to camouflage as Eritrean refugees. From December 1994, Sudan–Eritrea relations deteriorated; the PFDJ hosted a conference of Sudanese opposition forces in Asmara in June 1995, to revive the suspended Sudanese National Democratic Alliance (NDA), a coalition party adverse to President Al-Bashir, and launch an armed struggle against NIF-controlled Sudanese government. The NDA hosted the former Sudanese embassy in Asmara and set up its military camps in western Eritrea. In January 1997, NDA opened a new front on the Eritrea–Sudan border, where Eritrea accused Sudan of an assassination plot against Isais in June.[19]

By late 1999, through a mediation process by Qatar, the two relations subsided despite not long as the Ethio-Eritrean War. The war would spill over when Ethiopian troops used Sudanese territory and airspace to fight Eritrea. In response, Eritrea revived support for NDA to aid rebel forces in Darfur and the Sudan Government Liberation Movement (SPLM) in southern Sudan. Finally, in January 2005, the Comprehensive Peace Agreement between the Sudanese government and SPLM helped Eritrea to mediate and they facilitated relations between the two countries. From a background, the two relations remained tense, accusing each other's counterpart of backing armed forces: Khartoum accused Asmara for support of rebel groups in southern, eastern and western Sudan, whereas Asmara accused Khartoum of supporting the far-right Eritrean Islamic Salvation Movement (Eritrean Islamic Jihad) in attacks of Western Eritrea. The Eritrean government believed that EIJ was supported by National Islamic Front in Khartoum, and by Eritrean support for the Sudanese opposition coalition, the National Democratic Alliance. Since 2006, their relations have steadily shown improvement within the past few years; even creating closer relations between Isaias and al-Bashir. President al-Bashir visited Eritrea for the first time in March 2009, and Isaias visited Sudan in October 2011.[19]

After that month, al-Bashir announced an end of border tension during the inauguration of the road connecting the two countries. In June 2013, Isaias announced a free-trade zone partnership with Sudan and an extension of the highway along with Port Sudan and electricity provision from Sudan to the towns in western Eritrea.[19]

On 10 May 2014, Sudan's state-owned news agency Sudan News Agency announced during Isaias visit to the Al Jeili oil refinery that Sudan agreed to supply Eritrea with fuel and boost economic partnership. In addition to that, it was reported that the Sudanese Electricity Company planned to supply a 45 km power line that stretches from Kassala to the Eritrean town Teseney.[20] On 4 May 2021, Isaias visited Khartoum for a discussion over the ongoing border dispute between Ethiopia and Sudan. In conversation with the Head of Sudan's Sovereign Council Gen. Abdel-Fattah al-Burhan, they raised regional issues and the long-time dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.[21]

Djibouti

Shaded relief map of Djibouti, original from 1991, with the border between Ethiopia and Eritrea added in 2006.

The relations between Eritrea and Djibouti trace back to 1991. In April 1996, both countries waged war when Djibouti claimed Eritrea had shelled Ras Doumeira, a small village bounded by the Afar Region of Ethiopia. Another accusation, is that Eritrea has aimlessly redrawn the area in the map incorporating within its territory, which is defined by unilateral decision. Eritrea denied the territorial claims and accusations. The conflict further worsened by May 1996 when Eritrean forces retreated from the area and Djibouti retracted the allegations. The Ethio-Eritrean War opened a dilemmatic scenario for Djibouti, constituting both a threat and an opportunity. Since then, Ethiopia immediately diverted to Djibouti through the use of trade via Eritrean ports, greatly benefiting economic ties in accordance with the 1996 protocol. In 1999, Djibouti and Ethiopia signed a military cooperation protocol in which the raise of President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh strengthened these ties.[22]

In 1998, Eritrea accused Djibouti of accessing the port to Ethiopia to supply military equipment in the war. In June 1998, Djibouti deployed military force in the northern area to avoid any incursion during the war. Some French troops were officially involved with Djiboutian troops there. In 1999, France sent two frigates to patrol any incursion toward Ethiopia and Eritrea. Djiboutian President Hassan Gouled Aptidon’s attempt to mediate the Ethio-Eritrean War in June 1998, however, during the Organization of African Unity (OAU) summit in November 1998, was rejected by Eritrea for not sufficiently being independent. At the time, Djibouti worsened its relations with Eritrea by expelling its ambassadors. Tekest Ghebrai, an Eritrean national and the former executive secretary of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) was dismissed to Djibouti.[22]

The December 1997 treaty was deemed too faint to strengthen their relations and to increase the contract for five years. Accusation resurfaced in 1999 when Eritrea accused Djibouti of siding with Ethiopia, and Djibouti alleged Eritrea's support of Djiboutian rebel groups and intensifying Ras Doumeira area, which Eritrea denied. The rapprochement between the two countries returned in March 2000 following mediation by Libya. In 2001, President Isaias visited Djibouti and President Guelleh made a vice versa visit. This visit created a joint cooperative commission that would hold an annual review. President Guelleh sought a friendly relationship with Eritrea, if not neutral, recognizing power imbalance, especially military imbalance prevailed to these nations.[22]

On 22 April 2008, President Guelleh visited the disputed area, and the Djiboutian Foreign Ministry claimed that the Eritrean position lay several kilometers in the Djiboutian territory. Eritrea subsequently denied the accusation of its soldiers had dug trenches, and on 24 April 2008, military officials met to compare the border map. Djibouti had little choice to defend instead, of sending troops to the area. On 9 May 2008, President Guelleh warned that the "two armies are facing each other", and the situation was. more explosive. He also stated that there were hostile forces to dismantle Djiboutian sovereignty. With Qatari mediation, there are some reports of the two diplomatic activities. On 23 April 2008, the two counterparts reported to have met to discuss the skirmish and agreed to resolve the confrontation in peaceful negotiation.[22]

Somalia

In July 2018, Eritrea and Somalia opened diplomatic relations for the first time. On 28 July 2018, Somalian president Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed "Farmaajo" met with President Isaias in Asmara that took three-day official visit. On the visit, Somalia expressed solidarity with Eritrea in diplomatic and political agenda in international politics.[23]

Economy

According to the World Bank, Eritrea's recent growth has been affiliated with the rain-fed agriculture sector, accounting for one-third of the economy, and 20% of the growth domestic product (GDP), and narrow mining sector accounting for 20%. Real GDP growth has been recovered by 12% in 2018, while accounting for -2.7% during drought and scarcity of mining production in 2015–2018 years. During 2016–2018, real inflation was negative following the exchange of currency resulting in monetary contraction. Deflation continued in 2018 after reopening economic and trade ties with Ethiopia.[24]

On 18 May 2012, Isaias told in an interview with VOA that the country's development driver over two decades of independence was "a success story".[25] Its economic freedom was ranked 171st in 2022, scoring 39.7%, placing 44th among 47 countries in the Sub-Saharan African region, and below in regional and world average. Eritrea's economy grew in 2017 and 2018, slowed in 2019, turned negative in 2020, and recovered in 2021. With poor scores in business freedom and rule of law, Eritrea suffered from deficient economic freedom coupled with the world's lowest investment freedom score of 2.5 points overall loss of economic freedom since 2017. Eritrea regulates tax burden with government spending and trade freedom strength albeit judicial and financial freedom is the worst in the world.[26] As a result of regional insecurity deficiency in 1998, Eritrea has a strong tie with fiscal policy, widening 11% of its GDP in 2018. This is caused by a drastic sharp drop in capital spending as well as some measures in revenue. However, fiscal pressure, both recurrent and wage, are related likely to mount.[24]

References

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  2. Plaut, Martin. "Eritrea's Isaias Afwerki: a tactical authoritarian who might be president for life". The Conversation. Retrieved 2022-05-28.
  3. Palmer, Mark (2005). Breaking the Real Axis of Evil: How to Oust the World's Last Dictators by 2025. Rowman & Littlefield. ISBN 978-0-7425-3255-7.
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