Next Israeli legislative election
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel by 27 October 2026 to elect the members of the twenty-sixth Knesset.
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All 120 seats in the Knesset 61 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
After the 36th government lost its majority, the 2022 snap election was called. This resulted in the Netanyahu bloc gaining a majority,[1] and a government was successfully negotiated between Likud, OY, Noam, RZ, UTJ and Shas. The coalition was sworn in on 29 December 2022.[2][3]
Netanyahu was returned to the premiership after he had served as caretaker until the 2021 election saw the anti-Netanyahu bloc win a majority.
Electoral system
The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%.[4]
Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists.[5]
Political parties
2022 election results
The table below lists the results of 2022 Israeli legislative election.
| Name | Ideology | Symbol | Primary demographic | Leader | 2022 result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| Likud | National liberalism | מחל | – | Benjamin Netanyahu | 23.41% | 32 / 120 | |
| Yesh Atid | Liberalism | פה | – | Yair Lapid | 17.78% | 24 / 120 | |
| Religious Zionist Party | Religious Zionism Kahanism |
ט | Israeli settlers Modern Orthodox and Hardal Jews |
Bezalel Smotrich | 10.83% | 14 / 120 | |
| National Unity | Social liberalism | כן | – | Benny Gantz | 9.08% | 12 / 120 | |
| Shas | Religious conservatism | שס | Sephardi, Mizrahi, and Haredim Jews | Aryeh Deri | 8.24% | 11 / 120 | |
| United Torah Judaism | Religious conservatism | ג | Ashkenazi Haredim | Yitzhak Goldknopf | 5.88% | 7 / 120 | |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | Nationalism Secularism |
ל | Russian-speakers | Avigdor Lieberman | 4.49% | 6 / 120 | |
| Ra'am | Islamism | עם | Israeli Arab and Sunni Muslims Negev Bedouin |
Mansour Abbas | 4.07% | 5 / 120 | |
| Hadash–Ta'al | Israeli Arab interests | ום | Israeli Arabs | Ayman Odeh | 3.75% | 5 / 120 | |
| Labor | Social democracy | אמת | – | Merav Michaeli | 3.69% | 4 / 120 | |
Opinion polls
Polling graph
This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.
See also
References
- "Netanyahu bloc wins majority in Knesset, final poll results show". Financial Times. 3 November 2022. Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- "Benjamin Netanyahu returns as PM of Israel's most far-right gov't". www.aljazeera.com. Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- "Benjamin Netanyahu sworn in as Israel's prime minister for sixth time". Sky News. Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post. 16 March 2014. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists—the Bader-Offer Method Archived 2 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine Knesset