2023 Hessian state election

Elections to the Landtag of Hesse are scheduled for 8 October 2023. [1]

2023 Hessian state election
8 October 2023
All 137 seats in the Landtag
69 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Boris Rhein Tarek Al-Wazir Nancy Faeser
Party CDU Greens SPD
Last election 40 seats, 27.0% 29 seats, 19.8% 29 seats, 19.8%
Seats needed Increase29 Increase40 Increase40
 
Leader Robert Lambrou Stefan Naas
Party AfD FDP Left
Last election 19 seats, 13.1% 11 seats, 7.5% 9 seats, 6.3%
Seats needed Increase50 Increase58 Increase60
Incumbent Government

Rhein cabinet
CDU–Green


Election organization

Election date

Article 79 of the Constitution of Hesse stipulates that the state parliament is elected for five years. The new election must take place before the end of the electoral period.  According to Section 1 of the Hessian state election law, the election must take place on a Sunday or public holiday. The day of the election is determined by the state government by ordinance.

Since the 20th state parliament was constituted on January 18, 2019, Sunday, January 14, 2024 is the latest possible date for the election to the 21st Hessian state parliament.

On January 17, 2023, the Rhine cabinet decided to set October 8, 2023 as the election day.  It follows the tradition that voting takes place in Hesse in the three months before the end of the electoral period.  At the same time, the state elections in Bavaria take place.

Electoral system

Parties and voter groups that have not been represented in the state parliament without interruption since the last state election need 1,000 signatures for their state list and 50 for their district election proposals .

The Landtag is elected using mixed-member proportional representation. Every voter has two votes, one for a candidate on the state list and one for a candidate in their constituency. The state list of a party is elected with the state vote that is decisive for the allocation of seats in the state parliament.

Parliament seats are calculated using the Hare-Niemeyer method .

Parties

The following parties were represented in the previous Landtag of Hesse:

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2018 result
Votes (%) Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands		 Christian democracy Boris Rhein 27.0%
40 / 110
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen		 Green politics Tarek Al-Wazir 19.8%
29 / 110
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands		 Social democracy Nancy Faeser 19.8%
29 / 110
AfD Alternative for Germany
Alternative für Deutschland		 German nationalism
Right-wing populism		 Robert Lambrou 13.1%
19 / 205
FDP Free Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei		 Classical liberalism Stefan Naas 7.5%
11 / 110
Linke The Left
Die Linke		 Democratic socialism 6.3%
9 / 110

Opinion polling

Graphical summary
Local regression of polls conducted.

Party polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD Grüne AfD FDP Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 17–24 Apr 2023 1,000 30 21 20 12 7 4 3 3 9
Wahlkreisprognose 5–14 Apr 2023 1,398 28 24 18 12.5 7 2 3 5.5 4
Infratest dimap 7–11 Mar 2023 1,177 32 20 22 11 5 3 – 7 10
Wahlkreisprognose 3–7 Mar 2023 1,003 29 24 21 11 6 1.5 3 4.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Feb 2023 1,521 26 25 20 12 7.5 1.5 2.5 5.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23–27 Dec 2022 1,150 28 25 19 12 7 1.5 2.5 5 3
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2022 1,100 30 22 19.5 12 6.5 2 3 5 8
Wahlkreisprognose 24–28 Oct 2022 1,082 28.5 18 21 13.5 7 3 3 6 7.5
Infratest dimap 12–15 Oct 2022 1,161 27 22 22 12 6 3 – 8 5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–29 Sep 2022 1,000 30.5 15 21 14.5 7 4 3 5 9.5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–30 Aug 2022 1,010 29.5 15.5 26 9 7 3.5 3.5 6 3.5
Wahlkreisprognose 7–12 Jul 2022 1,043 29.5 20 26.5 7 6.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 3
Wahlkreisprognose 12–18 Jun 2022 1,200 32 18 27 7 6 3 2 5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 29 Apr–4 May 2022 1,023 28 21 24.5 7 8 3.5 2 6 3.5
INSA 4–11 Apr 2022 1,000 24 24 19 10 8 5 3 7 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 3–10 Mar 2022 1,400 25 24 24 7 8 4 2.5 5.5 1
Infratest dimap 28 Feb–2 Mar 2022 1,169 27 24 20 7 9 5 – 8 3
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Jan 2022 1,102 25 26 19 9 8 6 3 4 1
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Nov–2 Dec 2021 1,000 21.5 24.5 18.5 9 13 5 3 5.5 3
INSA 11–19 Oct 2021 1,253 20 26 20 11 11 5 3 4 6
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 22.8 27.6 15.8 8.8 12.8 4.3 1.7 6.0 4.8
Wahlkreisprognose 5–11 May 2021 – 21.5 16 27 9.5 12 5 5 – 5.5
Infratest dimap 18–23 Feb 2021 1,001 32 17 21 10 7 6 – 7 11
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Dec 2020 – 32 18.5 21.5 12 6 6 – 4 10.5
Infratest dimap 1–7 Dec 2020 1,004 34 19 22 8 7 5 – 5 12
INSA 22–29 Oct 2020 1,018 30 18 19 11 6 9 – 7 11
Wahlkreisprognose 5–12 Sep 2020 – 31.5 16.5 22 13 5 8 – – 9.5
Wahlkreisprognose 10–16 July 2020 – 30 20.5 21.5 12 5 7 – – 8.5
Wahlkreisprognose 20–25 May 2020 – 36 20.5 20 9 5 5 – – 15.5
Infratest dimap 12–13 May 2020 1,005 36 18 20 10 7 4 – 5 16
Wahlkreisprognose 6–14 Apr 2020 – 32 21 22 8 6.5 5 – – 10
Infratest dimap 7–13 Feb 2020 1,000 26 16 25 12 7 8 – 6 1
INSA 4–16 Dec 2019 2,000 26 16 23 13 8 9 3 2 3
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 – 25.8 18.4 23.4 9.9 6.4 4.4 1.7 10.0 2.4
Infratest dimap 16–24 Apr 2019 1,001 27 19 21 13 9 6 – 5 6
2018 state election 28 Oct 2018 – 27.0 19.8 19.8 13.1 7.5 6.3 3.0 3.6 7.2

References
  1. "Landtagswahl findet am 8. Oktober 2023 statt". hessen.de (in German). Retrieved 2023-01-31.


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