2023 Melilla Assembly election

The 2023 Melilla Assembly election will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2023 Melilla Assembly election
28 May 2023
All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla
13 seats needed for a majority
Registered61,126 3.0%
 
Leader Juan José Imbroda Dunia Almansouri Gloria Rojas
Party PP CpM PSOE
Leader since 20 July 2000 20 April 2023 24 November 2014
Last election 10 seats, 37.8% 8 seats, 30.6% 4 seats, 14.4%
 
Leader José Miguel Tasende
Party Vox
Leader since 28 December 2022
Last election 2 seats, 7.8%
Incumbent Mayor-President

Eduardo de Castro
Independent


Electoral system

The Assembly of Melilla is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla.[1] Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[1]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP CpM PSOE Vox Cs AM CR SML Lead
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 1][p 2] 4–10 May 2023 250 ? 36.1
9		 33.5
9		 11.7
3		 15.6
4		 1.0
0		 1.0
0		 0.0
0		 – – 2.6
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] 30 Apr–4 May 2023 753 65.6 28.6
8/9		 39.0
11/12		 8.1
2		 10.0
3		 0.4
0		 3.1
0		 – 3.0
0		 3.3
0		 10.4
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 5][p 6] 26 Apr–3 May 2023 250 ? 36.0
9		 33.5
9		 11.7
3		 15.7
4		 1.0
0		 1.0
0		 0.0
0		 – – 2.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 7][p 8] 19–25 Apr 2023 250 ? 35.5
9		 33.5
9		 11.7
3		 15.7
4		 1.0
0		 1.0
0		 0.0
0		 – – 2.0
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 9][p 10] 12–18 Apr 2023 250 ? 35.2
9		 34.7
9		 11.5
3		 16.1
4		 0.8
0		 0.9
0		 0.7
0		 – – 0.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 11][p 12] 5–11 Apr 2023 250 ? 35.2
9		 34.7
9		 11.8
3		 16.1
4		 0.8
0		 1.0
0		 0.0
0		 – – 0.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 13][p 14] 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 250 ? 35.3
9		 33.9
9		 12.4
3		 16.4
4		 0.8
0		 1.0
0		 0.0
0		 – – 1.4
SyM Consulting[p 15][p 16] 27 Mar–3 Apr 2023 853 70.4 31.0
9/10		 36.8
11		 7.1
2		 10.0
2/3		 0.5
0		 2.8
0		 – 4.9
0		 – 5.8
GAD3/PP[p 17][p 18] 2–3 Feb 2023 606 ? 46.5
13		 21.8
6		 17.1
4		 8.4
2		 1.7
0		 – – – – 24.7
SyM Consulting[p 19][p 20] 8–14 Dec 2022 788 57.6 32.6
8/9		 43.9
12		 7.0
1/2		 11.8
3		 0.2
0		 – – – – 11.3
SyM Consulting[p 21][p 22] 2–5 Nov 2022 1,186 57.8 36.7
10		 41.0
11/12		 6.7
1/2		 9.9
2		 0.1
0		 – – – – 4.3
SyM Consulting[p 23][p 24] 8–11 Sep 2022 1,207 59.0 36.7
9/10		 37.0
10		 7.8
2		 13.6
3/4		 0.1
0		 – – – – 0.3
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 25] 14 Jun–12 Jul 2022 997 ? 33.7
9		 33.0
9		 12.9
3		 16.4
4		 1.2
0		 1.8
0		 1.0
0		 – – 0.7
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 26] 13 May–13 Jun 2022 859 ? 33.2
9		 33.3
9		 13.0
3		 16.4
4		 1.2
0		 1.8
0		 1.0
0		 – – 0.1
SyM Consulting[p 27][p 28] 8–12 Jun 2022 884 57.3 34.1
9		 38.9
10/11		 8.3
2		 13.5
3/4		 0.1
0		 – – – – 4.8
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 29] 15 Apr–12 May 2022 759 ? 32.8
9		 33.5
9		 12.9
3		 16.5
4		 1.2
0		 1.8
0		 1.2
0		 – – 0.7
GAD3/PP[p 18][p 30] 6–9 May 2022 502 ? 42.9
11/12		 21.9
6		 17.8
4/5		 12.2
3		 1.5
0		 – – – – 21.0
SyM Consulting[p 31][p 32] 1–3 Apr 2022 931 59.0 31.8
8/9		 39.7
10/11		 7.5
2		 16.4
4		 0.3
0		 – – – – 7.9
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 33] 15 Feb–30 Mar 2022 600 ? 32.3
9		 33.7
9		 13.1
3		 16.5
4		 1.2
0		 1.8
0		 1.2
0		 – – 1.4
Adelante Melilla[p 34] 25–29 Jan 2022 586 ? ?
9		 ?
7/8		 ?
2		 ?
3		 ?
0		 ?
3/4		 ?
0		 – – ?
SyM Consulting[p 35][p 36] 16–18 Dec 2021 828 56.8 34.3
9/10		 38.1
10/11		 9.5
2		 12.6
3		 0.3
0		 – – – – 3.8
NC Report/El Faro de Melilla[p 37] 3–13 Dec 2021 700 54.5 32.5
8		 36.3
10		 11.8
3		 14.8
4		 ?
0		 – ?
0		 – – 3.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 38] 30 Sep–13 Nov 2021 ? ? 36.6
9		 33.2
9		 12.5
3		 14.9
4		 1.7
0		 – – – – 3.4
SyM Consulting[p 39][p 40] 1–3 Sep 2021 1,008 59.6 36.1
9/10		 34.3
9/10		 12.7
3/4		 10.3
2/3		 0.6
0		 – – – – 1.8
SyM Consulting[p 41][p 42] 2–5 Jun 2021 860 60.8 34.2
9		 32.5
8/9		 13.0
3/4		 15.0
4		 1.2
0		 – – – – 1.7
SyM Consulting[p 43][p 44] 1–3 Mar 2021 572 54.3 33.1
9		 34.3
9/10		 10.5
2/3		 16.4
4		 0.7
0		 – – – – 1.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 45] 15 Feb 2021 400 ? 37.0
10		 34.7
9		 13.6
3		 10.5
3		 2.0
0		 – – – – 2.3
SyM Consulting[p 46][p 47] 9–12 Dec 2020 628 55.4 34.1
9		 38.9
10/11		 9.7
2/3		 11.7
3		 1.9
0		 – – – – 4.8
SyM Consulting[p 48][p 49] 26–27 Sep 2020 695 56.4 37.0
10		 35.7
9/10		 12.8
3		 9.9
2/3		 1.2
0		 – – – – 1.3
SyM Consulting[p 50][p 51] 18 Jul 2020 561 56.8 39.0
10		 35.9
9/10		 14.7
4		 6.8
1/2		 0.9
0		 – – – – 3.1
SyM Consulting[p 52][p 53] 21–23 Jun 2020 622 62.7 39.1
10/11		 32.7
8/9		 14.9
4		 9.5
2		 1.8
0		 – – – – 6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 54][p 55] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 43.9
12		 28.9
8		 14.4
4		 6.9
1		 3.2
0		 – – – – 15.0
SyM Consulting[p 56][p 57] 5–7 May 2020 739 62.7 46.5
12/13		 29.7
8		 12.7
3		 6.3
1/2		 2.4
0		 – – – – 16.8
SyM Consulting[p 58][p 59] 17–18 Feb 2020 687 60.4 40.1
10/11		 37.3
10		 11.8
3		 5.1
1/2		 2.8
0		 – – – – 2.8
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 — 52.4 29.5
8		 29.0
8		 16.4
4		 18.4
5		 3.0
0		 – 2.6
0		 – – 0.5
2019 Assembly election 26 May 2019 — 63.4 37.8
10		 30.6
8		 14.4
4		 7.8
2		 5.6
1		 2.0
0		 1.2
0		 – – 7.2

Results
← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Melilla election results
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP)
Coalition for Melilla (CpM)
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)
Vox (Vox)
Forward Melilla (ADEME)
We Can (Podemos)1
The Greens (LV) New
We Are Melilla (SML) New
Creating Melilla (CREAME) New
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) n/an/a–5.55 0–1
Blank ballots
Total 25±0
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast / turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters 61,126
Sources
Footnotes:

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "Esto es lo que pasará el 28-M en Ceuta y Melilla, según el último pronóstico electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
  2. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
  3. "Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2023. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  4. "[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 14/05/2023: CPM 39,0% (11/12), PSOE 8,1% (2), ADELANTE MELILLA 3,1%, SOMOS MELILLA 3,3%, CS 0,4%, PP 28,6% (8/9), CRÉAME 3,0%, VOX 10,0% (3)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 14 May 2023.
  5. "La estimación de escaños de Ceuta y Melilla deja todo abierto de cara a las elecciones autonómicas". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
  6. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
  7. "Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría en las ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría el apoyo de la extrema derecha". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
  8. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
  9. "Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría de la extrema derecha para gobernar en las ciudades autónomas". El Plural (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
  10. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
  11. "ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría pactar con Vox o PSOE para repetir gobierno". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
  12. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
  13. "ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría las elecciones en ambas ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría apoyos para gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  14. "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  15. "Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2023. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  16. "[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/04/2023: CPM 36,8% (11), PSOE 7,1% (2), CS 0,5%, PP 31,0% (9/10), CRÉAME 4,9%, VOX 10,0% (2/3)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  17. "Una encuesta de GAD3 pronostica que el PP en Melilla volvería a ganar con mayoría absoluta". Melilla Hoy (in Spanish). 27 February 2023.
  18. "Encuesta elecciones Melilla". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 February 2023.
  19. "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2022. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 11 February 2023.
  20. "[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 11/02/2023: CPM 43,9% (12), PSOE 7,0% (1/2), CS 0,2%, PP 32,6% (8/9), VOX 11,8% (3)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 11 February 2023.
  21. "Estimación Barómetro Noviembre 2022. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 November 2022.
  22. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 09/11/2022: CPM 41,0% (11/12), PSOE 6,7% (1/2), Cs 0,1%, PP 36,7% (10), VOX 9,9% (2)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 November 2022.
  23. "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2022. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 19 September 2022.
  24. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 19/09/2022: CPM 37,0% (10), PSOE 7,8% (2), Cs 0,1%, PP 36,7% (9/10), VOX 13,6% (3/4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 September 2022.
  25. "La cuarta estimación mensual de voto de Melilla elaborada por Electomanía refleja que el Partido Popular de Juan José Imbroda supera ahora en intención de voto a CpM". COPE Melilla (in Spanish). 18 July 2022.
  26. "El Partido Popular de Juan José Imbroda recorta distancias con CpM según la tercera estimación mensual de voto de Melilla, aunque siguen lejos de alcanzar la mayoría absoluta". COPE Melilla (in Spanish). 15 June 2022.
  27. "Estimación Barómetro Junio 2022. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 20 June 2022.
  28. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 20/06/2022: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 8,3% (2), Cs 0,1%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 13,5% (3/4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 June 2022.
  29. "CpM y PP mantienen el pulso en la segunda estimación mensual de voto de Melilla y apenas medio punto separan a ambos partidos políticos que siguen lejos de alcanzar la mayoría absoluta". COPE Melilla (in Spanish). 15 May 2022.
  30. "Imbroda evita desvelar cuál sería el reparto de diputados aunque avanza que el PP sería el partido más votado con el 42,9%". Melilla Hoy (in Spanish). 19 May 2022.
  31. "Estimación Barómetro Abril 2022. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 April 2022.
  32. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/04/2022: CPM 39,7% (10/11), PSOE 7,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 31,8% (8/9), VOX 16,4% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 April 2022.
  33. "CpM sería la fuerza política más votada si hoy se celebrasen elecciones, aunque con apenas punto y medio de diferencia con respecto al apoyo que conseguiría el PP de Juan José Imbroda". COPE Melilla (in Spanish). 20 April 2022.
  34. "Adelante Melilla le quitaría la mayoría a CpM, según un sondeo". El Faro de Melilla (in Spanish). 18 February 2022.
  35. "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.
  36. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/12/2021: CPM 38,1% (10/11), PSOE 9,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 34,3% (9/10), VOX 12,6% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.
  37. "'Sorpasso' de CpM a PP en Melilla". El Faro de Melilla (in Spanish). 28 December 2021.
  38. "ElectoPanel Melilla (15N): vuelco a la derecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 November 2021.
  39. "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.
  40. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/09/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 12,7% (3/4), Cs 0,6%, PP 36,1% (9/10), VOX 10,3% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.
  41. "Estimación Barómetro Junio 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
  42. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/06/2021: CPM 32,5% (8/9), PSOE 13,0% (3/4), Cs 1,2%, PP 34,2% (9), VOX 15,0% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
  43. "Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.
  44. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/03/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 10,5% (2/3), Cs 0,7%, PP 33,1% (9), VOX 16,4% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.
  45. "EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 February 2021.
  46. "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.
  47. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/12/2020: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 9,7% (2/3), Cs 1,9%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 11,7% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.
  48. "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
  49. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/10/2020: CPM 35,7% (9/10), PSOE 12,8% (3), Cs 1,2%, PP 37,0% (10), VOX 9,9% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
  50. "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020_2. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
  51. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/07/2020: CPM 35,9% (9/10), PSOE 14,7% (4), Cs 0,9%, PP 39,0% (10), VOX 6,8% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
  52. "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
  53. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/06/2020: CPM 32,7% (8/9), PSOE 14,9% (4), Cs 1,8%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 9,5% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
  54. "EP (17My): Melilla – Eduardo de Castro perdería la alcaldía… y el escaño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  55. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  56. "Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
  57. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 13/05/2020: CPM 29,7% (8), PSOE 12,7% (3), Cs 2,4%, PP 46,5% (12/13), VOX 6,3% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
  58. "Estimación Barómetro Febrero 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
  59. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/02/2020: CPM 37,3% (10), PSOE 11,8% (3), Cs 2,8%, PP 40,1% (10/11), VOX 5,1% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 2/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Melilla". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 February 2020.
  2. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 April 2023.
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