2024 Botswana general election

General elections will be held in Botswana in 2024 to elect a new National Assembly as well as local councils across the country. Ever since the first election in 1965, the Botswana Democratic Party has held a majority of seats in the National Assembly and thus governed alone for 56 years without interruption making Botswana a dominant-party system.

2024 Botswana general election

No later than October 2024

61 of the 69 seats in the National Assembly[lower-alpha 1]
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
UDC
AP
Leader Mokgweetsi Masisi Duma Boko Ndaba Gaolathe
Party BDP UDC AP
Last election 52.65%, 38 seats 35.88%, 15 seats 5.12%, 1 seat
Current seats 38 18 1
Seats needed Steady Increase13 Increase30

Incumbent President

Mokgweetsi Masisi
BDP



Background

Following the 2019 elections, there were three opposing parties in the National Assembly: the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC), the Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF) and the Alliance for Progressives (AP). On 6 August 2022, the BPF joined the UDC alliance, uniting all opposition parties in the National Assembly save for the AP.[1]

However, the Botswana Congress Party (BCP), a major member of the UDC has expressed interest in leaving the UDC alliance after disagreements between Dumelang Saleshando and Duma Boko.[2] Saleshando had his position as Leader of the Opposition in the National Assembly stripped away from him by the UDC.[3] Saleshando and the BCP had proposed forming a new electoral alliance composed of the AP and the newly formed Botswana Labour Party (BLP) ahead of the party's scheduled exit from the UDC at its July 2023 congress.[4] The two parties held a joint rally in November 2022.[5] On 15 April 2023, the AP withdrew from the coalition talks after unspecified disagreements with the BCP.[6]

Primaries for the 2024 elections are set to commence as early as this year. The BDP has plans to hold its primaries in the third quarter of 2023.[7] The BPF is set to hold its primaries in November 2023.[8]

Electoral system

For the 2024 elections, the membership of the National Assembly consists of 61 MPs elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, six members appointed by the governing party, and two ex-officio members (the President and the Speaker).[9]

Voters are required to be citizens of Botswana and at least 18 years old, and have been resident in the country for at least 12 months prior to voter registration. People who are declared insane, hold dual citizenship, under a death sentence, convicted of an electoral offence or imprisoned for at least six months are not allowed to vote.[10] Candidates have to be citizens of Botswana, at least 21 years old, without an undischarged bankruptcy and be able to speak and read English sufficiently well to take part in parliamentary proceedings.[10] They must also obtain a nomination from at least two voters in their constituency and the support of seven. A deposit is required, which is refunded if the candidate receives at least 5% of the vote in the constituency. Members of the Ntlo ya Dikgosi cannot stand for election to the National Assembly.[10]

The President of Botswana will be elected by the National Assembly after the general elections.

Seat redistribution

In accordance with section 64. (1) of the Constitution of Botswana, a Delimitation Commission was appointed on 13 May 2022 (following the release of the decennial 2022 Botswana Census) to redistribute the constituencies of the National Assembly. The National Assembly passed a bill increasing the number of constituencies by four seats from 57 to 61 seats.[11]

Consultations with the public and various interest groups ran from 20 June to 28 November 2022. The Commission presented its finalised report to the President on 10 February 2023.[12]

New seats

  1. Mogoditshane West
  2. Maun North
  3. Okavango West
  4. Okavango East
  5. Kgatleng Central

Eliminated seat

  1. Mmathethe-Molapowabojang

Composition of the National Assembly

Current composition of the National Assembly

The table below lists the political parties represented in the 12th National Assembly.

Name Ideology Political position Leader 2019 result Current seats
Percentage (%) Seats
BDP Botswana Democratic Party Paternalistic conservatism Centre to centre-right Mokgweetsi Masisi 52.65
38 / 57
38 / 57
UDC Umbrella for Democratic Change Social democracy Centre-left Duma Boko 35.88
15 / 57
17 / 57
AP Alliance for Progressives Social liberalism Centre Ndaba Gaolathe 5.12
1 / 57
1 / 57

Opinion polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
BDP UDC AP Others Undecided Lead
Afrobarometer 23 Jul-10 Aug 2022 1,200 22.3% 45.9%[lower-alpha 2] 2.9% 1.2%[lower-alpha 3] 27.8%[lower-alpha 4] 23.6
2019 election 23 October 2019 52.7% 35.9% 5.1% 6.3% 16.8

Notes

  1. 8 of the seats in the 69 member chamber aren't directly elected by the voters. Of these 8 seats, six are "specially-elected" members who are appointed by the President and approved by the National Assembly. The other two are the Speaker and the President.
  2. UDC only—29.4%
    BCP—7.9%
    BNF—5.1%
    BPF—3.4%
    BPP—0.1%
  3. RAP (disbanded on March 2023)—0.1%
    BMD—0.3%
    All others—0.8%
  4. Would not vote—14.6%
    Refused to answer—7.4%
    Don't know—5.8%

References

  1. Admin. ""BPF is a member of UDC" – Mohwasa". Botswana Gazette. Retrieved 12 January 2023.
  2. Tlhankane, Mompati (26 December 2022). "Boko, Saleshando exchanges". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 12 January 2023.
  3. "KEORAPETSE NEW LOO". dailynews.gov.bw. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
  4. Tlhankane, Mompati (27 February 2023). "BCP yet to officially ditch UDC". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 28 March 2023.
  5. Odubeng, Maureen (5 November 2022). "AP, BCP to hold mother of all rallies". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 12 January 2023.
  6. "AP withdraws from cooperation talks". Mmegi. 17 April 2023. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  7. Basimanebotlhe, Tsaone (5 January 2023). "BDP to hold primaries early". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 12 January 2023. However, the BDP secretary general Kavis Kario said; "primaries are not set yet. But it is most likely to be beyond August 2023."
  8. Dube, Chakalisa (20 February 2023). "Date set for BPF primaries". Mmegi. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  9. "FAQs". Parliament of Botswana. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  10. Electoral system IPU
  11. Mathala, Sharon (15 February 2023). "Four new constituencies come 2024". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  12. Galeragwe, Moshe (12 February 2023). "DELIMITATION COMMISSION PRESENTS REPORT". dailynews.gov.bw. Retrieved 16 February 2023.
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