2024 Washington gubernatorial election

The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary will be held on August 6.

2024 Washington gubernatorial election

November 5, 2024

Incumbent Governor

Jay Inslee
Democratic



Though incumbent Democratic governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for re-election to a fourth term, he announced in May 2023 that he would not do so.[1]

Background

As a generally liberal West Coast state, Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985).[2][3][4]

Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in 2012 and won reelection in 2016 and 2020, by increasing margins each time. On May 1, 2023, Inslee announced he would not seek re-election for a fourth term.[5]

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two move on to the general election.

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Potential

Endorsements

Bob Ferguson (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
County officials
Local officials
Tribal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Tribes

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Dow
Constantine (D)
Bruce
Dammeier (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Hilary
Franz (D)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] March 7โ€“8, 2023 874 (LV) ยฑ 3.3% 7% 35% 21% 7% 30%
with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jay
Inslee (D)
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway December 27โ€“29, 2022 403 (RV) ยฑ 5% 34% 35% 17% 14%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid D January 13, 2023
Inside Elections[23] Solid D January 20, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D January 19, 2023

Notes

  1. Key:
    A โ€“ all adults
    RV โ€“ registered voters
    LV โ€“ likely voters
    V โ€“ unclear
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

  1. Furtado, David (May 1, 2023). "Governor Inslee announces he will no seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  2. Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  3. Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  4. Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  5. "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  6. Gilbert, L.B. (May 10, 2023). "Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces campaign for WA governor". MYNorthwest.
  7. "Join Bob Ferguson for Washington Governor". Bob Ferguson for Governor. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  8. "Home |El'ona for Governor". Elona Kearney. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  9. "EL'ona Kearney - 2024 | Washington State Public Disclosure Commission (PDC)". www.pdc.wa.gov. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  10. "With Inslee out, here's who might run for Washington governor". May 2, 2023.
  11. "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. May 2, 2023. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  12. Brunner, Jim (March 17, 2023). "King County Executive Dow Constantine won't run for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  13. Gonzales, Nathan (May 2, 2023). "Races for governor in several states have ties to Capitol Hill". Roll Call. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  14. Sowersby, Shauna (November 11, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  15. Sowersby, Shauna (May 12, 2023). "Yakima physician Dr. Raul Garcia announces bid for 2024 governor's race". Tri-City Herald. Archived from the original on May 14, 2023. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  16. "Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson 'exploring' Governor's job". May 2, 2023.
  17. Egger, Andrew; Drucker, David; Fahlberg, Audrey (February 22, 2023). "Herrera Beutler Weighing Gov Run, Donors Say". The Dispatch.
  18. "Scenarios in the governor's race". May 2, 2023.
  19. Gilbert, L. B. (May 1, 2023). "Who's next for WA Governor? Top candidates to follow a decade of Inslee". MYNorthwest. Retrieved May 14, 2023.
  20. "Visions of a lively 2024 WA gubernatorial race dance in our heads". The Seattle Times. December 9, 2022. Retrieved December 10, 2022.
  21. Frisk, Garrett (May 5, 2023). "Democrat Bob Ferguson Announces Laundry List of Endorsements in Washington Governor Race". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved May 6, 2023.
  22. "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 13, 2023.
  23. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
  24. "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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