2024 United States gubernatorial elections

United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022.

2024 United States gubernatorial elections

November 5, 2024

13 governorships
11 states; 2 territories
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic

     Democratic incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent      Term-limited Republican
     New Progressive incumbent
     Nonpartisan      No election

In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.

The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.

This election will be the first time since the 2017 gubernatorial elections that there will not be a Democrat incumbent running for re-election.

Election predictions

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI Incumbent Last
race
Cook
February 16,
2023
[1]
IE
May 5,
2023
[2]
Sabato
January 19,
2023
[3]
Delaware D+7 John Carney
(term-limited)
59.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Eric Holcomb
(term-limited)
56.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Missouri R+10 Mike Parson
(term-limited)
57.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Montana R+11 Greg Gianforte 54.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
New Hampshire D+1 Chris Sununu 57.0% R Solid R Battleground Likely R
North Carolina R+3 Roy Cooper
(term-limited)
51.5% D Lean D Battleground Tossup
North Dakota R+20 Doug Burgum 65.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Utah R+13 Spencer Cox 63.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Phil Scott 69.2% R Solid R Solid R Likely R
Washington D+8 Jay Inslee
(retiring)
56.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
West Virginia R+22 Jim Justice
(term-limited)
63.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R

Race summary

States

State Governor Party First elected Last race Status Candidates
Delaware John Carney Democratic 2016 59.5% D Term-limited
  • TBD
Indiana Eric Holcomb Republican 2016 56.5% R Term-limited
Missouri Mike Parson Republican 2018[lower-alpha 1] 57.1% R Term-limited
Montana Greg Gianforte Republican 2020 54.4% R Eligible
  • TBD
New Hampshire Chris Sununu Republican 2016 57.0% R Eligible
  • TBD
North Carolina Roy Cooper Democratic 2016 51.5% D Term-limited
North Dakota Doug Burgum Republican 2016 65.8% R Eligible
  • TBD
Utah Spencer Cox Republican 2020 63.0% R Running
Vermont Phil Scott Republican 2016 69.2% R Eligible
  • TBD
Washington Jay Inslee Democratic 2012 56.6% D Retiring[16]
West Virginia Jim Justice Republican 2016[lower-alpha 2] 63.5% R Term-limited

Territories

State Governor Party First elected Last race Status Candidates
American Samoa Lemanu Peleti Mauga Nonpartisan/Democratic[lower-alpha 3] 2020 60.3% Eligible
  • TBD
Puerto Rico Pedro Pierluisi New Progressive[lower-alpha 4] 2020 32.9% NP Running

Delaware

Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term.

Indiana

Governor Eric Holcomb was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 56.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden is running for the Republican nomination.[6] United States Senator Mike Braun has announced an intention to seek the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[4]

Former Republican Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick is running for the Democratic nomination, having switched parties in 2021.[7]

Missouri

Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he will be term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[10][9]

Montana

Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.

New Hampshire

Governor Chris Sununu won reelection to a fourth term in 2022. Because New Hampshire does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a historic fifth term in 2024. Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns expressed interest if Sununu does not seek a fifth term.[30] Democratic Manchester mayor Joyce Craig has formed an exploratory committee and expressed interest in running. [31] Steve Marchand and Tom Sherman, previous Democratic candidates for Governor, have declined to run.[32][33]

North Carolina

Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney general Josh Stein is running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while state treasurer Dale Folwell and lieutenant governor Mark Robinson are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[34][12]

North Dakota

Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[35] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remains eligible to run for re-election for a third term and has expressed interest in doing so.[36]

Utah

Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term. Although Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits, he has pledged to only serve two terms.[15]

Vermont

Governor Phil Scott won reelection to a fourth term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024.

Washington

Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term but he has decided not to seek re-election.[37] Washington attorney general Bob Ferguson and Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz have been mentioned as a potential candidates.[38]

West Virginia

Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and is ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Businessman and son of U.S. Representative Carol Miller, Chris Miller is running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[24] as so is auditor of West Virginia JB McCuskey.[39]

Territories

American Samoa

Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected in 2020 with 60.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.

Puerto Rico

Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and stated that he would on March 20, 2022 during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.ref name="calienta"/>

See also

Notes

  1. Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. Governor Jim Justice was originally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020.[20]
  3. The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
  4. Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level.

References

  1. "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2023-01-13.
  2. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
  3. "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
  4. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 22, 2022). "Braun to Run for Governor". Indy Politics. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
  5. Herron, Arika (December 12, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
  6. "Former state official announces 2024 gubernatorial run 3 years ahead of Election Day". Indy Star. May 6, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  7. Herron, Arika (May 4, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick is running for governor — as a Democrat". Axios Indianapolis.
  8. "Donald Rainwater to run for Indiana governor as Libertarian candidate". WANE 15. 2023-04-28. Retrieved 2023-04-28.
  9. Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
  10. "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. March 22, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  11. Craver, Richard (March 25, 2023). "'Uniquely qualified': Winston-Salem native and NC Treasurer Dale Folwell will run for governor". The Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved March 25, 2023.
  12. Mikkelsen, Emily; Stamps, Brayden (22 April 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at cloudy Ace Speedway rally". Fox 8. Retrieved 22 April 2023.
  13. Doyle, Steve (March 24, 2023). "Libertarian from Gaston County enters North Carolina governor's race". Fox 8. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
  14. Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico.
  15. McKellar, Katie (April 21, 2022). "Are Utah Republicans mad at Gov. Cox for transgender veto? Let political chips fall, he says". Deseret News. Retrieved April 25, 2022. Cox has said he does intend to run for reelection in 2024. On Thursday, he told reporters he stands by his pledge to only serve two terms.
  16. "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  17. Sowersby, Shauna (November 12, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
  18. "Washington AG Bob Ferguson Announces Campaign for Governor". US News. May 2, 2023.
  19. Gilbert, L.B. (10 May 2023). "Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces campaign for WA governor". MYNorthwest.
  20. Tatum, Sophie; Bradner, Eric; Merica, Dan (August 4, 2017). "Jim Justice of West Virginia governor announces plan to switch parties - CNN Politics". CNN.
  21. McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2022-11-29.
  22. "Linko-Looper seeking Mountain Party nomination for governor". The Register-Herald. 2023-05-12. Retrieved 2023-05-15.
  23. Adams, Steven Allen (March 1, 2023). "State Auditor McCuskey latest to announce for W.Va. governor". The Weirton Daily Times. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  24. Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". The Intelligencer. Wheeling-News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
  25. "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  26. "Mac Warner announces campaign for West Virginia governor in 2024". WVNews.com. January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  27. "Carmen Maldonado buscará ser candidata a la gobernación por el Partido Popular Democrático". El Vocero de Puerto Rico (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-10-19.
  28. "Pierluisi calienta motores para las elecciones del 2024". www.noticel.com. Retrieved 2022-10-19.
  29. "Juan Zaragoza confirma que aspirará a la gobernación". Telemundo Puerto Rico (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-10-19.
  30. @BurnsForNH (January 12, 2023). "With Governor Sununu moving onto the Presidential race, I'm very flattered with all the calls I received urging me to run for Governor" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  31. Sexton, Adam (May 1, 2023). "Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig forms exploratory committee for run for New Hampshire governor". WMUR. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  32. DeWitt, Ethan (14 November 2022). "After six-year battle to oust Sununu, Democrats fall short again". New Hampshire Bulletin.
  33. "Outgoing mayor of Manchester, N.H., launches exploratory committee for 2024 governor's race". Former state senator Dr. Tom Sherman, who ran for governor in 2022 and who some had said could run again, told the Globe on Monday that he won't run for governor in 2024.
  34. Robertson, Gary. "North Carolina treasurer running for governor in 2024". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 25 March 2023.
  35. MacPherson, James (November 8, 2022). "North Dakota voters OK term limits for governor, legislators". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Associated Press. Archived from the original on November 10, 2022. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
  36. Notermann, Jacob. "Burgum not ruling out 3rd term". kfyrtv. Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. Retrieved September 22, 2021.
  37. Furtado, David (2023-05-01). "Governor Inslee announces he will no seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved 2023-05-01.
  38. Brunner, Jim (September 15, 2022). "Jay Inslee continues to raise campaign cash. Will he run for a fourth term?". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 25, 2022. Other Democrats who have openly eyed the position [include] Attorney General Bob Ferguson, Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and King County Executive Dow Constantine.
  39. "W.Va. state auditor to run for governor". wsaz.com. Associated Press. Retrieved 2023-03-01.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.