Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Bulgaria by 2 April 2027 to elect members of the National Assembly.

Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
Bulgaria
By 2 April 2027
All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
GERB—SDS Boyko Borisov 69
PP–DB Kiril Petkov 64
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 37
DPS Mustafa Karadayi 36
BSPzB Korneliya Ninova 23
ITN Slavi Trifonov 11
Incumbent Prime Minister
TBD
Politics of Bulgaria
Constitution
Presidency
  • Executive
  • Legislative
Major political parties
Recent elections
Administrative divisions
Foreign relations

Background
See also: 2021–2023 Bulgarian political crisis and 2023 Bulgarian parliamentary election

Following several snap elections, the Bulgarian National Assembly has failed to put together a government since the fall of the Petkov Government in Summer 2022, and it has been in a fragmented state since 'anti-corruption' parties made a breakthrough in the April 2021 election.[1][2]

The 2023 election saw little change from the 2022 one, with Boyko Borisov's centre-right GERB—SDS narrowly winning over the centrist PP–DB alliance. The far right Revival (VAZ) and the populist There is Such a People (ITN) made gains, with the latter re-entering the Assembly after it fell out in the 2022 election.[3][4] The parliament remained fragmented with no obvious route to form a government. The two main suggested options are a technocratic government supported by both GERB and PP–DB, and a 'Magnitsky coalition' between GERB, the Socialist Party (BSP) and the Turkish minority rights Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS).[5][6][7]

Parties

Parliamentary parties

The table below lists the political party groups represented in the 49th National Assembly.

Name Ideology Position Leader(s) 2023 result
Votes (%) Seats
GERB—SDS GERB—Union of Democratic Forces Conservatism Centre-right Boyko Borisov 25.4%
69 / 240
[lower-alpha 1]
PP–DB We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria Social liberalism
Anti-corruption		 Centre Kiril Petkov
Asen Vasilev		 23.5%
64 / 240
[lower-alpha 2]
Revival Revival Ultranationalism Far-right Kostadin Kostadinov 13.6%
37 / 240
DPS Movement for Rights and Freedoms Turkish minority interests Centre Mustafa Karadayi 13.2%
36 / 240
BSPzB BSP for Bulgaria Social democracy Centre-left Korneliya Ninova 8.6%
23 / 240
ITN There is Such a People Populist Big tent Slavi Trifonov 3.9%[lower-alpha 3]
11 / 240

Opinion polls

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample GERB—SDS PP–DB Revival DPS BSPzB ITN BV The Left! Others None of
the above		 Lead
Gallup 27 Apr-5 May 2023 803 26.8 24.1 14.7 13.9 9.1 4.1 3.2 1.5 2.6 – 2.7
2023 election 2 Apr 2023 — 25.4 23.5 13.6 13.2 8.6 3.9 2.9 2.1 2.7 4.1 1.9

Notes
  1. GERB 66, SDS 2, DG 1
  2. PP 36, DaB! 13, DSB 10, ZD 3, Volt 1, SEK 1
  3. ITN entered the Assembly despite being seemingly below the threshold as None of the above votes do not count towards the threshold.

References
  1. "Bulgaria's Petkov points finger at mafia and Russia as government collapses". POLITICO. 22 June 2022. Retrieved 10 April 2023.
  2. "Bulgaria gears for its fifth election in two years on April 2". Reuters. 24 January 2023. Retrieved 10 April 2023.
  3. Network, EURACTIV (3 April 2023). "Bulgarian elections: Pro-Russia party may 'force' a pro-EU coalition". www.euractiv.com. Retrieved 3 April 2023.
  4. "Ex-PM Borissov's GERB nudges ahead in Bulgarian election, partial results show". Reuters. 3 April 2023. Retrieved 3 April 2023.
  5. Nenov, Stoyan. "Bulgaria set for tough coalition talks after fifth inconclusive election". Reuters. Retrieved 3 April 2023.
  6. "Gerb-SDS heading for slim win in Bulgaria's snap general election". bne IntelliNews. Retrieved 4 April 2023.
  7. "Осман Октай: Ще имаме коалиция "Магнитски"". bnr.bg (in Bulgarian). Retrieved 5 April 2023.
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