2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from all 26 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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All 26 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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| Elections in New York State |
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District 1
The 1st district is based on the eastern end and North Shore of Long Island, including the Hamptons, the North Fork, Riverhead, Port Jefferson, Smithtown, and Huntington, all in Suffolk County.[1] The incumbent is Republican Nick LaLota, who was elected with 54.1% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Nick LaLota, incumbent U.S. Representative
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Likely R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Lean R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Likely R | February 23, 2023 |
District 3
The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Nassau County, including all of the towns of North Hempstead and Glen Cove, most of the town of Oyster Bay, and a small part of Hempstead, and parts of Northeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Whitestone, Beechhurst, Little Neck, and Douglaston.[1] The incumbent is Republican George Santos, who flipped the district and was elected with 54.1 percent of the vote in 2022.[2] Santos has faced heavy calls to resign following revelations that he fabricated a majority of his resumé, including from the Nassau County Republican Party.[6]
On May 10, 2023, Santos was arrested on federal charges of fraud and money laundering.[7]
Declared
- Kellen Curry, former vice president at J.P. Morgan and U.S. Air Force veteran[8]
- George Santos, incumbent U.S. Representative[9]
Potential
- Andrea Catsimatidis, chair of the Manhattan Republican Party[10]
- Michael Durso, state assemblyman from the 9th district[11]
- Alison Esposito, former NYPD Deputy Inspector and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New York in 2022[12]
- Michael LiPetri, former state assemblyman from the 9th district and candidate for the 2nd district in 2020[13][11]
- Mazi Melesa Pilip, Nassau County legislator[14]
- Elaine Phillips, Nassau County Comptroller and former state senator from the 7th district[13][11]
- Daniel Serota, mayor of Brookville[12]
Declined
- Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County Executive[13]
- Jack Martins, state senator from the 7th district and nominee for this district in 2016[11][12]
Declared
- Anna Kaplan, former state senator from the 7th district and candidate for this district in 2016[15]
- Josh Lafazan, Nassau County legislator and candidate for this district in 2022[16]
- Zak Malamed, cofounder of a PAC supporting young candidates[17]
- Will Murphy, St. John's University School of Law professor[18]
Publicly expressed interest
Potential
- Siela Bynoe, Nassau County legislator and candidate for the 4th district in 2022[16]
- Daniel Rosenthal, state assemblyman from the 27th district[13][11]
- Tom Suozzi, former U.S. Representative[11][20]
- Robert Zimmerman, Democratic National Committee member and nominee for this district in 2022[13][11]
Declined
- Jon Kaiman, Suffolk County deputy executive and candidate for this district in 2016 and 2022[13][11] (running for North Hempstead town supervisor)[21]
- Reema Rasool, marketing executive and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Zimmerman)[13]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Lean D (flip) | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Tossup | February 23, 2023 |
Polling
- Jack Martins vs. Josh Lafazan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jack Martins (R) |
Josh Lafazan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priorities for Progress (D) | March 5–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
- Jack Martins vs. Robert Zimmerman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jack Martins (R) |
Robert Zimmerman (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priorities for Progress (D) | March 5–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
District 4
The 4th district is based on the South Shore of Nassau County and is entirely within the town of Hempstead.[1] The incumbent is Republican Anthony D'Esposito, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Anthony D'Esposito, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declared
- Laura Gillen, former Hempstead town supervisor and nominee for this district in 2022[22]
- Sarah Hughes, attorney and 2002 Olympic Champion figure skater[23]
- Pat Maher, attorney and perennial candidate[24]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Tossup | February 23, 2023 |
District 14
The 14th district is based in North Queens and the East Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Corona, East Elmhurst, Astoria, College Point, Hunts Point, Castle Hill, Throggs Neck, Parkchester, Country Club, Co-Op City, and City Island.[1] The incumbent is Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was re-elected with 71.6% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Declared
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, incumbent U.S. Representative[25]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe D | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
District 17
The 17th district is based in the Lower Hudson Valley, including all of Rockland and Putnam Counties, northern Westchester County, and a small part of Dutchess County.[1] The incumbent is Republican Mike Lawler, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Mike Lawler, incumbent U.S. Representative[26]
Declared
- Liz Gereghty, Katonah–Lewisboro School District trustee and sister of Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer[27]
Publicly expressed interest
- Mondaire Jones, member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights and former U.S. Representative[26]
Potential
- Sean Patrick Maloney, former U.S. Representative[28]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Tossup | February 23, 2023 |
District 18
The 18th district is based in the mid-Hudson Valley, including all of Orange County and most of Dutchess and Ulster Counties.[1] The incumbent is Democrat Pat Ryan, who was re-elected with 49.6% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Pat Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
- Organizations
Potential
- Alison Esposito, former NYPD Deputy Inspector and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New York in 2022[30]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Lean D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Lean D | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Lean D | February 23, 2023 |
District 19
The 19th district stretches from the Upper Hudson Valley across the Catskill Mountains to parts of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, including Hudson, Woodstock, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, and Ithaca. It includes all of Columbia, Greene, Sullivan, Delaware, Chenango, Cortland, Broome, Tioga, and Tompkins counties, and parts of Otsego and Ulster Counties.[1] The incumbent is Republican Marc Molinaro, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Marc Molinaro, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declared
- Josh Riley, lawyer, former aide to then-U.S. Representative Maurice Hinchey, and nominee for this district in 2022[31]
Potential
- Michelle Hinchey, state senator from the 41st district and daughter of former U.S. Representative Maurice Hinchey[32]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Tilt R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Tossup | February 23, 2023 |
District 21
The 21st district is based in the North Country and Adirondack Mountains, including Glens Falls, Lake George, Plattsburgh, Potsdam, Amsterdam, Cooperstown, and parts of the Mohawk Valley. The district has a PVI of R+9 and voted for Donald Trump by 12 points in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Elise Stefanik, who was re-elected with 58.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Declared
- Jill Lochner, training manager[33]
- Elise Stefanik, incumbent U.S. Representative[34]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
District 22
The 22nd district is based in Central New York and the Mohawk Valley, including Syracuse and Utica. It includes all of Onondaga, Oneida, and Madison Counties and a small sliver of Oswego County.[1] The incumbent is Republican Brandon Williams, who was elected with 49.5% of the vote in 2022.[2]
Potential
- Brandon Williams, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declared
- Clem Harris, Utica University professor and former aide to then-governor David Paterson[35]
- Sarah Hood, DeWitt town board member and candidate for this district in 2022[36]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Tossup | February 23, 2023 |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- "Elected Officials & District Map | New York State Board of Elections".
- "2022 Election Results | New York State Board of Elections".
- "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
- "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- Gold, Michael; Ashford, Grace (January 11, 2023). "George Santos Faces Calls to Resign From 4 G.O.P. Congressmen". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- Freifeld, Karen; Lynch, Sarah (May 10, 2023). "Embattled US Rep George Santos arrested on fraud, money laundering charges". Reuters. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- Schnell, Michael (April 3, 2023). "Afghanistan war veteran announces primary challenge against Santos". The Hill. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
- Forrest, Jack (April 17, 2023). "Santos announces 2024 reelection campaign for New York congressional seat". CNN.
- "As Santos digs in, both parties ramp up campaign plans for his demise". Politico. January 27, 2023.
- Perano, Ursula (January 19, 2023). "The Shadow Race to Replace George Santos Has Already Begun". The Daily Beast. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
- Gormley, Michael (January 20, 2023). "Dems, GOP lining up potential candidates if Santos leaves his seat".
- Destra, Shantel; Coltin, Jeff (January 10, 2023). "Who might be eyeing George Santos' congressional seat?".
- Kampeas, Ron (January 19, 2023). "Meet the real Jewish Republican of color being floated to replace George Santos, the fake one". Jewish Telegraphic Agency.
- Stableford, Dylan (May 11, 2023). "George Santos says he is running for reelection despite federal charges. This Democratic former state senator wants to defeat him". Yahoo! News.
- "George Santos is Running Again. Who Will Take Him On?". April 17, 2023.
- Marans, Daniel (May 15, 2023). "Democratic Primary Heats Up In Rep. George Santos' Seat". Huffpost. Huffpost. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
- Campanile, Carl (March 19, 2023). "St. John's University law professor Will Murphy wants to replace lying Rep. George Santos". New York Post. Retrieved March 22, 2023.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/17".
- "George Santos has a possible challenger, as ex-Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi considers a run for his old seat". April 13, 2023.
- "Kaiman to run for his former job as North Hempstead supervisor".
- Bernstein, James (May 10, 2023). "Laura Gillen announces run for Congress". The Long Island Herald.
- "Sarah Hughes, Olympic gold medalist, now running for Congress".
- Ellis, Jim (April 28, 2023). "Democratic Primary Poll Numbers; D'Esposito Draws Initial Opponent; Military Doc Announces for House; 17 Candidates for RI-1 Seat". The Ellis Insight. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- Solender, Andrew (May 2, 2023). "AOC to run for reelection, not Senate, in 2024". Axios. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
- Konig, Joseph (December 20, 2022). "Rep. Mondaire Jones won't rule out another run for Congress". ny1.com.
- Schuster, Simon (May 9, 2023). "Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's sister Liz Gereghty running for Congress in New York". MichiganLive. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- Bartley, Tom (April 20, 2023). "Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's Sister Throws Hat in Local Ring". TAPinto. Retrieved April 21, 2023.
- "ECU // LAV Endorses First Slate of Democracy Champions in Competitive House Districts". End Citizens United. April 27, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- Jacobs, Emily (May 14, 2023). "NY Republican Alison Esposito considering challenge to Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan". Washington Examiner.
- Gilson, Roger Hannigan (April 11, 2023). "Josh Riley announces new run for Congress against Marc Molinaro". Times Union. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
- Doxsey, Patricia (April 11, 2023). "Josh Riley running again against Molinaro for Congress; Michelle Hinchey weighing her options". Daily Freeman. Archived from the original on April 10, 2023.
- McNeil, Tyler (March 2, 2023). "Republican candidate launches primary challenge against Stefanik in NY-21, seeks to upend 'extremism'". The Daily Gazette. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- Thompson, Maury (April 11, 2023). "Stefanik announces campaign for sixth term in Congress". The Post Star. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- "Utica University professor to seek Democratic nomination for Congress".
- Weiner, Mark (April 13, 2023). "Air Force veteran launches Democratic campaign to unseat Rep. Brandon Williams22". Retrieved April 13, 2023.
- Misiaszek, Emma (February 9, 2023). "Manlius's Katelyn Kriesel officially announces candidacy for Congress in 2024 house race". WSTM-TV.
- Smith, Jason (February 27, 2023). "Manlius town councilor ends campaign for CNY congressional seat". WRVO. Retrieved February 28, 2023.