45th Canadian federal election

45th Canadian federal election
	On or before October 20, 2025
343 seats in the House of Commons; 172 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Incumbent Prime Minister; Justin Trudeau; Liberal	; ;

The 45th Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election, though a current government bill proposes to postpone the date to October 27, 2025 to avoid conflicting with Diwali.[1] In addition to the statutory fixed election date provisions, Canada has a constitutional requirement specified in both section 50 of the Constitution Act, 1867 and section 4 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms that elections for the House of Commons must be held no more than five years after the preceding election.

The election may occur before the scheduled date if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister for a snap election, for example after the House of Commons passes a motion of no confidence in the government. Early elections are more likely to occur during minority governments because the prime minister does not control a majority in the House of Commons.[2][3][4]

This will be the first election to use a new 343-seat electoral map based on the 2021 Canadian census. New electoral boundaries for each of the ten provinces were finalized between February 14 and July 8, 2023,[5][6][7] and officially proclaimed on September 22, 2023.[8] The previous 338-seat electoral map would have been reused had the election been called before April 22, 2024.[9][8][10]

Background

The 2021 Canadian federal election, held on September 20 that year, saw little change from the preceding 2019 election.[11] The incumbent Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, failed to win a parliamentary majority or the popular vote, but remained the party with the most seats and remained in office as a minority government. The Conservatives won the popular vote and continued as the Official Opposition.[12][lower-alpha 4] On September 27, Annamie Paul resigned as the Green Party leader,[13] which came into effect on November 10.[14]

Date of the election

The date of the election is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.[15] However, a government bill currently under consideration by the House of Commons would change the fixed election date to October 27, 2025 to avoid conflicting with the Hindu festival of Diwali.[1] Moving the election date to October 27, 2025 would also allow 74 members of parliament to qualify for a pension that they would not receive if they fail to achieve reelection, though the government denies this motivated the change.[16]

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2021 federal election and their current standings. Kevin Vuong was elected as a Liberal, having been disavowed by the party too late to alter his affiliation on the ballot, and sits as an independent.[17]

Name		Ideology	Position	Leader	2021 result		Current standing
Name		Ideology	Position	Leader	Votes (%)	Seats	Current standing
	Liberal	Liberalism Social liberalism	Centre to centre-left	Justin Trudeau	32.62%	160 / 338	156 / 338
	Conservative	Conservatism Economic liberalism Fiscal conservatism	Centre-right to right-wing	Pierre Poilievre	33.74%	119 / 338	118 / 338
	Bloc Québécois	Quebec nationalism Quebec sovereigntist Social democracy	Centre-left	Yves-François Blanchet	7.64%	32 / 338	32 / 338
	New Democratic	Social democracy (majority) Democratic socialism (minority)	Centre-left (majority) Left-wing (minority)	Jagmeet Singh	17.82%	25 / 338	24 / 338
	Green	Green politics		Elizabeth May	2.33%	2 / 338	2 / 338
	Independents	N/A			0.19%	0 / 338	3 / 338
	Vacant	N/A					3 / 338

Redistribution

The Constitution Act, 1867, requires that federal electoral districts undergo a redistribution following each decennial Canadian census.[18] Using the 2021 Canadian census population results, the 2022 redistribution began in October 2021, and was completed in September 2023.[19]

On October 15, 2021, the chief electoral officer announced that based on the procedure in the Constitution Act, 1867 as then in force, the allocation would result in an increase to 342 seats.[20] This included a reduction of Quebec’s allocation from 78 to 77 seats. The government tabled legislation on March 24, 2022, to prevent Quebec (or any other province) from losing any seats relative to the number of seats it was apportioned in 2012 redistribution.[21][22] The Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act amended rule 2 of subsection 51(1) of the Constitution Act, 1867, commonly known as the "Grandfather Clause".[23][24] The bill passed the House of Commons on June 15,[25] the Senate on June 21,[26] and received royal assent on June 23, 2022.[27] The chief electoral officer announced the new allocation of seats on July 8, 2022, which would result in an increase to 343 seats.[28]

Pursuant to the Electoral Boundaries Readjustment Act as amended, ten federal electoral boundary commissions were established, one for each province, on November 1, 2021.[29] The boundary-drawing process commenced upon the release of census data in February 2022. Quebec’s commission adjusted its work to be based on a 78-seat allocation in July 2022. The respective commissions completed their work and finalized new electoral boundary sets on a rolling basis, beginning with the Newfoundland and Labrador and Prince Edward Island commissions on February 14, 2023,[5][6] and finishing with the Ontario commission on July 8, 2023.[7] The chief electoral officer then used the final reports of the electoral boundary commissions to formalize a representation order, which was proclaimed on September 22, 2023.[8]

The changes to federal electoral district boundaries took effect on April 22, 2024.[9][20][8] If the election had been called before then, it would have occurred under the previous electoral district boundaries, which had been in effect since the 2015 federal election.[30][31]

Allocation of seats in the House of Commons under the *Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act*
Province or territory	Representation orders		Average population per electoral district	Change
Province or territory	2013	2023	Average population per electoral district	Change
Ontario	121	122	116,590	1
Quebec	78	78	108,998
British Columbia	42	43	116,300	1
Alberta	34	37	115,206	3
Manitoba	14	14	95,868
Saskatchewan	14	14	80,893
Nova Scotia	11	11	88,126
New Brunswick	10	10	77,561
Newfoundland and Labrador	7	7	72,935
Prince Edward Island	4	4	38,583
Northwest Territories	1	1	41,070
Nunavut	1	1	36,858
Yukon	1	1	40,232
Canada	338	343	107,848	5

Effect of 2023 Representation Orders

In September 2023, the new ridings were proclaimed to come into effect for the next election happening after April 22, 2024.[32] As required by the Canada Elections Act, Elections Canada undertook a transposition of votes from the 2021 election results to the new ridings.[33] The changes brought about by the Representation Orders had the following effect:

Transposition of results by riding — 2023 Representation Orders[a 1]
Riding		Winning party										Turnout [a 2]	Votes[a 3]
		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place		3rd place			Lib	Con	NDP	BQ	Green	PPC	Ind	Other	Total
		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place		3rd place											Total

NL	Avalon		Lib	17,916	50.88%	6,280	17.83%		Con		NDP	52.89%	17,916	11,636	5,019	–	–	643	–	–	35,214
NL	Cape Spear		Lib	19,467	54.72%	11,240	31.60%		NDP		Con	52.31%	19,467	7,250	8,227	–	–	631	–	–	35,575
NL	Central Newfoundland		Con	14,927	46.89%	281	0.88%		Lib		NDP	51.12%	14,646	14,927	2,261	–	–	–	–	–	31,834
NL	Labrador		Lib	4,119	42.67%	1,189	12.32%		Con		NDP	48.16%	4,119	2,930	2,297	–	–	307	–	–	9,653
NL	Long Range Mountains		Lib	16,178	44.39%	1,834	5.03%		Con		NDP	52.57%	16,178	14,344	4,347	–	–	1,578	–	–	36,447
NL	St. John's East		Lib	16,741	45.14%	3,821	10.30%		NDP		Con	57.46%	16,741	6,709	12,920	–	–	718	–	–	37,088
NL	Terra Nova—The Peninsulas		Lib	15,173	47.26%	2,187	6.81%		Con		NDP	51.58%	15,173	12,986	2,673	–	–	1,272	–	–	32,104
PE	Cardigan		Lib	10,955	50.57%	4,258	19.65%		Con		NDP	72.09%	10,955	6,697	2,117	–	1,042	711	–	143	21,665
PE	Charlottetown		Lib	8,919	46.70%	2,987	15.64%		Con		NDP	70.47%	8,919	5,932	2,048	–	1,832	369	–	–	19,100
PE	Egmont		Lib	9,506	45.94%	3,084	14.90%		Con		Grn	69.30%	9,506	6,422	1,790	–	1,948	1,026	–	–	20,692
PE	Malpeque		Lib	9,667	42.02%	2,045	8.89%		Con		Grn	74.68%	9,667	7,622	1,847	–	3,226	642	–	2	23,006
NS	Acadie—Annapolis		Con	20,634	51.31%	8,292	20.62%		Lib		NDP	62.68%	12,342	20,634	5,104	–	–	2,133	–	–	40,213
NS	Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish		Lib	19,259	45.43%	4,377	10.33%		Con		NDP	67.31%	19,259	14,882	6,252	–	206	1,676	13	103	42,391
NS	Central Nova		Lib	18,031	44.30%	4,661	11.45%		Con		NDP	63.71%	18,031	13,370	6,572	–	620	1,624	352	132	40,701
NS	Cumberland—Colchester		Con	18,601	46.02%	4,779	11.82%		Lib		NDP	60.05%	13,822	18,601	4,984	–	1,045	1,687	278	–	40,417
NS	Dartmouth—Cole Harbour		Lib	25,823	51.50%	9,294	18.54%		NDP		PPC	61.34%	25,823	1,441	16,529	–	1,457	4,887	–	–	50,137
NS	Halifax		Lib	20,087	42.24%	927	1.95%		NDP		Con	66.29%	20,087	6,062	19,160	–	1,052	1,003	–	192	47,556
NS	Halifax West		Lib	21,758	47.55%	9,863	21.56%		NDP		Con	64.29%	21,758	9,858	11,895	–	1,121	1,054	–	68	45,754
NS	Kings—Hants		Lib	21,582	44.39%	6,878	14.15%		Con		NDP	62.23%	21,582	14,704	9,186	–	940	2,202	–	–	48,614
NS	Sackville—Bedford—Preston		Lib	22,199	44.65%	9,775	19.66%		Con		NDP	64.39%	22,199	12,424	12,317	–	1,019	1,732	–	23	49,714
NS	South Shore—St. Margarets		Con	18,044	43.39%	3,250	7.82%		Lib		NDP	62.15%	14,794	18,044	7,568	–	1,176	–	–	–	41,582
NS	Sydney—Glace Bay		Lib	17,539	41.93%	3,245	7.76%		Con		NDP	61.55%	17,539	14,294	8,265	–	267	1,367	–	95	41,827
NB	Acadie—Bathurst		Lib	28,724	64.96%	22,600	51.11%		Con		NDP	64.81%	28,724	6,124	4,975	–	1,249	2,594	–	549	44,215
NB	Beauséjour		Lib	27,275	55.54%	17,737	36.11%		Con		NDP	67.54%	27,275	9,538	5,390	–	2,797	3,723	–	390	49,113
NB	Fredericton—Oromocto		Lib	16,012	37.79%	1,388	3.28%		Con		NDP	65.91%	16,012	14,624	5,508	–	5,461	144	276	350	42,375
NB	Fundy Royal		Con	18,120	46.33%	8,112	20.74%		Lib		NDP	65.97%	10,008	18,120	5,672	–	1,956	3,357	–	–	39,113
NB	Madawaska—Restigouche		Lib	18,784	51.99%	8,752	24.22%		Con		PPC	61.94%	18,784	10,032	2,227	–	981	2,724	105	1,277	36,130
NB	Miramichi—Grand Lake		Con	15,345	45.46%	2,855	8.46%		Lib		NDP	67.34%	12,490	15,345	2,494	–	1,582	1,815	15	14	33,755
NB	Moncton—Dieppe		Lib	20,347	50.03%	11,158	27.44%		Con		NDP	61.09%	20,347	9,189	6,834	–	1,733	2,563	–	1	40,667
NB	Saint John—Kennebecasis		Lib	16,082	42.60%	2,345	6.21%		Con		NDP	60.57%	16,082	13,737	4,975	–	1,106	1,851	–	–	37,751
NB	Saint John—St. Croix		Con	20,017	47.00%	8,062	18.93%		Lib		NDP	65.38%	11,955	20,017	5,575	–	1,723	3,255	37	28	42,590
NB	Tobique—Mactaquac		Con	16,954	52.83%	9,685	30.18%		Lib		NDP	62.77%	7,269	16,954	3,702	–	1,574	2,320	275	–	32,094
QC	Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou		BQ	10,784	37.92%	3,400	11.96%		Lib		Con	44.69%	7,384	4,508	3,323	10,784	442	1,072	–	923	28,436
QC	Abitibi—Témiscamingue		BQ	23,120	50.61%	12,107	26.50%		Lib		Con	56.44%	11,013	5,339	2,794	23,120	748	1,538	–	1,133	45,685
QC	Ahuntsic-Cartierville		Lib	25,150	51.91%	14,188	29.28%		BQ		NDP	64.70%	25,150	3,956	5,678	10,962	1,449	1,256	–	–	48,451
QC	Alfred-Pellan		Lib	26,946	47.71%	11,933	21.13%		BQ		Con	66.22%	26,946	7,497	4,419	15,013	940	192	–	1,467	56,474
QC	Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation		Lib	20,476	39.16%	3,323	6.36%		BQ		Con	60.31%	20,476	7,047	3,730	17,153	198	3,016	–	665	52,285
QC	Beauce		Con	27,514	48.29%	17,152	30.10%		PPC		BQ	66.63%	7,018	27,514	1,654	8,644	486	10,362	–	1,302	56,980
QC	Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon		BQ	29,130	48.32%	12,672	21.02%		Lib		Con	62.75%	16,458	7,141	4,474	29,130	117	1,994	–	969	60,283
QC	Beauport—Limoilou		BQ	18,017	31.06%	303	0.52%		Con		Lib	65.41%	14,295	17,714	5,633	18,017	1,183	193	43	932	58,010
QC	Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak		BQ	27,403	54.80%	18,952	37.90%		Lib		Con	63.40%	8,451	8,404	2,550	27,403	770	1,214	–	1,215	50,007
QC	Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis		Con	30,341	52.00%	17,061	29.24%		BQ		Lib	66.47%	9,070	30,341	2,869	13,280	840	–	285	1,660	58,345
QC	Beloeil—Chambly		BQ	32,161	53.53%	18,082	30.10%		Lib		NDP	69.17%	14,079	5,041	5,117	32,161	1,199	1,212	–	1,268	60,077
QC	Berthier—Maskinongé		BQ	20,392	35.93%	1,842	3.25%		NDP		Lib	64.87%	8,740	6,195	18,550	20,392	548	1,496	–	826	56,747
QC	Bourassa		Lib	22,303	60.39%	15,396	41.69%		BQ		NDP	56.41%	22,303	2,587	2,956	6,907	679	1,349	151	–	36,932
QC	Brome—Missisquoi		Lib	21,488	34.96%	197	0.32%		BQ		Con	66.07%	21,488	9,961	3,828	21,291	1,466	1,982	145	1,310	61,471
QC	Brossard—Saint-Lambert		Lib	28,326	54.10%	17,885	34.16%		BQ		Con	63.88%	28,326	6,276	5,442	10,441	–	1,288	–	583	52,356
QC	Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles		Con	26,759	45.02%	12,117	20.39%		BQ		Lib	68.39%	11,681	26,759	3,516	14,642	994	1,310	–	531	59,433
QC	Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville		BQ	19,730	36.59%	45	0.08%		Lib		Con	62.59%	19,685	6,559	4,215	19,730	801	2,034	–	896	53,920
QC	Chicoutimi—Le Fjord		Con	19,175	40.37%	2,994	6.30%		BQ		Lib	64.65%	8,653	19,175	2,234	16,181	557	649	–	44	47,493
QC	Compton—Stanstead		Lib	21,556	36.66%	3,615	6.15%		BQ		Con	67.25%	21,556	10,239	4,431	17,941	1,650	2,212	186	585	58,800
QC	Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata		Con	25,691	44.88%	8,629	15.08%		BQ		Lib	61.52%	10,906	25,691	1,933	17,062	–	202	112	1,333	57,239
QC	Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan		BQ	18,419	52.63%	10,779	30.80%		Con		Lib	50.09%	6,545	7,640	1,509	18,419	–	–	–	887	35,000
QC	Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle		Lib	24,292	52.23%	16,982	36.51%		BQ		NDP	59.37%	24,292	5,546	6,095	7,310	1,315	1,949	–	–	46,507
QC	Drummond		BQ	23,866	46.62%	14,252	27.84%		Lib		Con	61.33%	9,614	9,179	5,709	23,866	–	–	419	2,402	51,189
QC	Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj		BQ	23,743	44.34%	2,454	4.58%		Lib		Con	57.02%	21,289	4,421	2,288	23,743	–	1,074	–	731	53,546
QC	Gatineau		Lib	27,380	50.05%	14,570	26.64%		BQ		Con	64.80%	27,380	6,076	4,715	12,810	855	2,218	–	646	54,700
QC	Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est		Lib	18,586	38.43%	3,394	7.02%		BQ		NDP	61.37%	18,586	2,276	9,808	15,192	965	1,100	–	430	48,357
QC	Honoré-Mercier		Lib	29,280	59.99%	21,334	43.71%		BQ		Con	63.84%	29,280	5,145	3,570	7,946	734	2,042	–	88	48,805
QC	Hull—Aylmer		Lib	25,446	52.46%	17,636	36.36%		BQ		NDP	66.11%	25,446	5,229	6,177	7,810	1,368	1,772	141	559	48,502
QC	Joliette—Manawan		BQ	28,538	55.14%	17,005	32.85%		Lib		Con	62.15%	11,533	4,904	2,997	28,538	1,011	1,565	–	1,210	51,758
QC	Jonquière		BQ	19,687	43.11%	6,761	14.81%		Con		Lib	63.12%	9,496	12,926	2,452	19,687	774	–	–	328	45,663
QC	La Pointe-de-l'Île		BQ	23,835	46.66%	7,327	14.34%		Lib		NDP	62.19%	16,508	3,427	4,954	23,835	–	1,399	–	957	51,080
QC	La Prairie—Atateken		BQ	25,862	43.73%	5,392	9.12%		Lib		Con	67.79%	20,470	5,878	4,317	25,862	983	1,532	–	98	59,140
QC	Lac-Saint-Jean		BQ	22,662	50.90%	11,413	25.64%		Con		Lib	60.56%	8,444	11,249	1,454	22,662	712	–	–	–	44,521
QC	Lac-Saint-Louis		Lib	32,477	56.26%	21,566	37.36%		Con		NDP	69.58%	32,477	10,911	7,679	3,078	1,868	1,712	–	–	57,725
QC	LaSalle—Émard—Verdun		Lib	21,271	43.42%	10,578	21.59%		BQ		NDP	60.28%	21,271	3,738	9,314	10,693	1,475	1,671	–	832	48,994
QC	Laurentides—Labelle		BQ	24,463	52.31%	13,489	28.84%		Lib		Con	60.99%	10,974	4,910	2,601	24,463	1,132	1,701	132	852	46,765
QC	Laurier—Sainte-Marie		Lib	17,689	39.51%	4,064	9.08%		NDP		BQ	56.28%	17,689	2,013	13,625	9,015	997	791	69	577	44,776
QC	Laval—Les Îles		Lib	24,758	48.93%	15,102	29.85%		BQ		Con	61.52%	24,758	8,963	3,889	9,656	760	2,571	–	–	50,597
QC	Les Pays-d'en-Haut		BQ	26,240	47.54%	11,950	21.65%		Lib		Con	63.14%	14,290	6,436	3,800	26,240	844	2,388	48	1,144	55,190
QC	Lévis—Lotbinière		Con	30,333	49.70%	16,404	26.88%		BQ		Lib	70.87%	9,380	30,333	4,445	13,929	824	1,450	21	653	61,035
QC	Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne		Lib	19,400	40.44%	2,474	5.16%		BQ		NDP	59.80%	19,400	3,986	4,957	16,926	1,170	1,409	–	122	47,970
QC	Longueuil—Saint-Hubert		BQ	23,579	41.20%	1,649	2.88%		Lib		NDP	67.64%	21,930	3,964	4,553	23,579	1,599	1,358	–	252	57,235
QC	Louis-Hébert		Lib	21,704	38.21%	6,367	11.21%		BQ		Con	74.18%	21,704	13,805	4,107	15,337	1,478	–	365	–	56,796
QC	Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk		Con	30,443	52.03%	18,665	31.90%		BQ		Lib	67.67%	10,145	30,443	3,087	11,778	833	1,244	–	985	58,515
QC	Marc-Aurèle-Fortin		Lib	22,992	44.11%	6,937	13.31%		BQ		Con	67.21%	22,992	6,120	4,461	16,055	–	1,509	–	990	52,127
QC	Mégantic—L'Érable—Lotbinière		Con	30,416	56.71%	19,898	37.10%		BQ		Lib	65.29%	7,240	30,416	1,675	10,518	703	1,888	403	796	53,639
QC	Mirabel		BQ	22,259	45.82%	10,412	21.43%		Lib		Con	64.13%	11,847	6,466	4,185	22,259	1,051	1,846	–	926	48,580
QC	Mount Royal		Lib	23,987	57.41%	13,930	33.34%		Con		NDP	57.37%	23,987	10,057	3,689	1,701	1,142	1,107	–	101	41,784
QC	Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie		BQ	28,528	45.49%	7,131	11.37%		Lib		Con	73.74%	21,397	6,080	5,216	28,528	95	1,322	–	81	62,719
QC	Montcalm		BQ	25,917	53.22%	16,187	33.24%		Lib		Con	57.45%	9,730	5,686	3,054	25,917	1,244	2,085	–	984	48,700
QC	Montmorency—Charlevoix		BQ	19,309	36.70%	1,484	2.82%		Con		Lib	66.23%	10,630	17,825	2,436	19,309	627	991	184	613	52,615
QC	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount		Lib	25,711	52.83%	15,941	32.76%		NDP		Con	62.44%	25,711	6,547	9,770	2,911	1,946	1,582	–	197	48,664
QC	Outremont		Lib	18,229	44.36%	7,011	17.06%		NDP		BQ	56.88%	18,229	3,005	11,218	6,346	1,283	877	98	38	41,094
QC	Papineau		Lib	22,848	50.30%	12,545	27.62%		NDP		BQ	63.47%	22,848	2,198	10,303	6,830	1,448	1,064	199	533	45,423
QC	Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères		BQ	29,978	54.26%	15,696	28.41%		Lib		Con	68.98%	14,282	4,870	4,261	29,978	–	1,078	–	777	55,246
QC	Pierrefonds—Dollard		Lib	29,296	56.01%	18,403	35.18%		Con		NDP	64.62%	29,296	10,893	6,034	4,141	–	1,942	–	–	52,306
QC	Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi		Lib	23,154	43.86%	11,858	22.46%		Con		BQ	65.49%	23,154	11,296	5,990	8,011	1,531	2,364	2	445	52,793
QC	Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier		Con	29,771	52.35%	16,270	28.61%		BQ		Lib	68.58%	8,614	29,771	2,686	13,501	–	1,392	–	910	56,874
QC	Québec Centre		Lib	19,361	35.72%	3,627	6.69%		BQ		Con	67.46%	19,361	9,766	6,882	15,734	1,277	855	13	307	54,195
QC	Repentigny		BQ	28,822	51.37%	13,034	23.23%		Lib		Con	66.03%	15,788	4,961	4,187	28,822	–	–	–	2,354	56,112
QC	Richmond—Arthabaska		Con	28,513	49.88%	14,363	25.13%		BQ		Lib	66.16%	8,543	28,513	2,550	14,150	–	2,058	–	1,345	57,159
QC	Rimouski—La Matapédia		BQ	26,658	54.30%	15,816	32.21%		Lib		Con	59.74%	10,842	5,497	2,876	26,658	–	1,010	1,355	860	49,098
QC	Rivière-des-Mille-Îles		BQ	21,522	40.54%	2,752	5.18%		Lib		Con	65.46%	18,770	5,441	3,825	21,522	966	1,458	–	1,108	53,090
QC	Rivière-du-Nord		BQ	26,505	51.60%	14,963	29.13%		Lib		Con	57.92%	11,542	6,183	3,536	26,505	149	1,967	–	1,482	51,364
QC	Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie		NDP	26,708	48.57%	13,970	25.41%		Lib		BQ	67.76%	12,738	2,199	26,708	11,751	1,308	–	–	284	54,988
QC	Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton		BQ	25,165	47.45%	13,135	24.77%		Lib		Con	65.43%	12,030	7,166	6,170	25,165	–	1,445	–	1,055	53,031
QC	Saint-Jean		BQ	27,243	46.01%	10,593	17.89%		Lib		Con	65.90%	16,650	7,544	4,308	27,243	1,262	–	–	2,203	59,210
QC	Saint-Laurent		Lib	23,308	59.35%	16,115	41.03%		Con		NDP	56.88%	23,308	7,193	4,225	3,122	42	1,239	–	146	39,275
QC	Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel		Lib	28,374	69.60%	24,108	59.14%		Con		NDP	57.44%	28,374	4,266	3,342	3,254	–	1,531	–	–	40,767
QC	Saint-Maurice—Champlain		Lib	23,913	42.45%	6,973	12.38%		BQ		Con	61.55%	23,913	10,139	2,849	16,940	731	–	241	1,524	56,337
QC	Shefford		BQ	24,997	41.92%	5,029	8.43%		Lib		Con	65.14%	19,968	7,234	3,173	24,997	1,059	2,073	–	1,122	59,626
QC	Sherbrooke		Lib	21,462	37.53%	4,874	8.52%		BQ		NDP	65.15%	21,462	7,338	7,964	16,588	1,643	1,408	–	778	57,181
QC	Terrebonne		BQ	23,298	41.40%	6,770	12.03%		Lib		Con	66.19%	16,528	5,886	3,742	23,298	802	1,506	3,762	756	56,280
QC	Thérèse-De Blainville		BQ	22,498	40.94%	3,155	5.74%		Lib		Con	63.92%	19,343	6,070	3,998	22,498	1,063	1,474	102	409	54,957
QC	Trois-Rivières		BQ	17,136	29.49%	83	0.14%		Con		Lib	64.19%	16,637	17,053	4,680	17,136	754	1,115	–	735	58,110
QC	Vaudreuil		Lib	28,437	47.47%	15,879	26.51%		BQ		Con	66.70%	28,437	9,870	6,372	12,558	1,514	–	–	1,158	59,909
QC	Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs		Lib	20,831	51.37%	13,498	33.28%		NDP		Con	55.87%	20,831	5,199	7,333	4,843	1,083	1,059	–	206	40,554
QC	Vimy		Lib	22,886	50.14%	12,689	27.80%		BQ		Con	58.39%	22,886	6,320	4,258	10,197	–	1,983	–	–	45,644
ON	Ajax		Lib	28,279	56.83%	15,042	30.23%		Con		NDP	54.10%	28,279	13,237	6,988	–	1,254	–	–	–	49,758
ON	Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke		Con	28,967	49.50%	16,704	28.55%		NDP		Lib	66.54%	11,335	28,967	12,263	–	1,111	4,469	373	–	58,518
ON	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		Lib	21,005	44.76%	1,239	2.64%		Con		NDP	56.69%	21,005	19,766	3,770	–	86	1,818	20	458	46,923
ON	Barrie South—Innisfil		Con	25,234	47.67%	9,942	18.78%		Lib		NDP	59.16%	15,292	25,234	8,349	–	–	4,060	–	–	52,935
ON	Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		Con	26,317	45.79%	8,836	15.37%		Lib		NDP	64.31%	17,481	26,317	9,552	–	123	3,985	–	18	57,476
ON	Bay of Quinte		Con	23,671	40.59%	2,081	3.57%		Lib		NDP	64.56%	21,590	23,671	8,897	–	1,286	2,878	–	–	58,322
ON	Beaches—East York		Lib	28,919	56.58%	17,406	34.05%		NDP		Con	64.91%	28,919	7,336	11,513	–	1,388	1,613	166	181	51,116
ON	Bowmanville—Oshawa North		Con	24,668	44.75%	7,687	13.94%		Lib		NDP	59.63%	16,981	24,668	10,131	–	–	2,982	249	116	55,127
ON	Brampton Centre		Lib	16,818	48.32%	5,883	16.90%		Con		NDP	53.03%	16,818	10,935	5,493	–	–	1,253	305	–	34,804
ON	Brampton—Chinguacousy Park		Lib	19,553	50.81%	7,620	19.80%		Con		NDP	55.62%	19,553	11,933	6,473	–	–	–	526	–	38,485
ON	Brampton East		Lib	20,193	53.19%	9,352	24.64%		Con		NDP	54.29%	20,193	10,841	5,928	–	–	1,000	–	–	37,962
ON	Brampton North—Caledon		Lib	18,815	51.44%	6,675	18.25%		Con		NDP	57.62%	18,815	12,140	5,102	–	148	350	19	–	36,574
ON	Brampton South		Lib	19,044	53.88%	8,631	24.42%		Con		NDP	55.90%	19,044	10,413	4,784	–	–	1,016	91	–	35,348
ON	Brampton West		Lib	17,524	56.29%	8,892	28.57%		Con		NDP	53.41%	17,524	8,632	3,973	–	–	770	230	–	31,129
ON	Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations		Con	22,466	40.08%	6,923	12.35%		Lib		NDP	58.22%	15,543	22,466	11,373	–	1,478	4,919	247	22	56,048
ON	Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Con	28,727	49.18%	13,989	23.95%		Lib		NDP	64.09%	14,738	28,727	7,939	–	1,789	4,697	524	–	58,414
ON	Burlington		Lib	31,602	45.73%	5,860	8.48%		Con		NDP	69.69%	31,602	25,742	7,507	–	1,368	2,764	–	122	69,105
ON	Burlington North—Milton West		Lib	26,645	47.89%	6,284	11.30%		Con		NDP	65.45%	26,645	20,361	5,342	–	1,082	2,205	–	–	55,635
ON	Cambridge		Lib	20,599	38.24%	2,210	4.10%		Con		NDP	60.98%	20,599	18,389	9,204	–	1,825	3,853	–	–	53,870
ON	Carleton		Con	36,534	51.86%	14,086	19.99%		Lib		NDP	75.83%	22,448	36,534	8,012	–	1,512	1,939	–	7	70,452
ON	Chatham-Kent—Leamington		Con	27,528	42.43%	10,183	15.70%		Lib		PPC	63.35%	17,345	27,528	9,477	–	983	9,544	–	–	64,877
ON	Davenport		Lib	23,206	43.60%	2,144	4.03%		NDP		Con	60.26%	23,206	5,777	21,062	–	1,277	1,738	163	–	53,223
ON	Don Valley North		Lib	22,186	52.77%	8,505	20.23%		Con		NDP	56.00%	22,186	13,681	4,173	–	761	1,240	–	5	42,046
ON	Don Valley West		Lib	29,537	57.23%	14,101	27.32%		Con		NDP	64.34%	29,537	15,436	4,730	–	548	1,309	–	55	51,615
ON	Dufferin—Caledon		Con	28,338	49.04%	11,797	20.42%		Lib		NDP	61.61%	16,541	28,338	5,995	–	2,606	4,112	188	–	57,780
ON	Eglinton—Lawrence		Lib	24,051	48.48%	5,969	12.03%		Con		NDP	61.78%	24,051	18,082	4,543	–	1,490	1,445	–	–	49,611
ON	Elgin—St. Thomas—London South		Con	27,199	49.25%	16,345	29.60%		Lib		NDP	64.20%	10,854	27,199	8,933	–	1,223	6,726	–	292	55,227
ON	Essex		Con	27,980	40.96%	6,357	9.31%		NDP		Lib	66.64%	10,554	27,980	21,623	–	843	6,968	162	175	68,305
ON	Etobicoke Centre		Lib	28,363	48.14%	8,274	14.04%		Con		NDP	63.38%	28,363	20,089	6,340	–	186	3,881	21	42	58,922
ON	Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Lib	26,199	47.14%	8,152	14.67%		Con		NDP	62.99%	26,199	18,047	7,498	–	1,177	2,445	–	216	55,582
ON	Etobicoke North		Lib	21,566	58.88%	12,249	33.44%		Con		NDP	50.84%	21,566	9,317	3,862	–	–	1,591	292	–	36,628
ON	Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North		Con	23,563	43.78%	6,052	11.25%		Lib		NDP	68.12%	17,511	23,563	7,866	–	1,314	3,516	49	–	53,819
ON	Guelph		Lib	23,882	41.37%	10,346	17.92%		Con		NDP	64.75%	23,882	13,536	12,712	–	4,530	2,692	–	381	57,733
ON	Haldimand—Norfolk		Con	29,664	47.39%	12,440	19.87%		Lib		NDP	66.86%	17,224	29,664	8,320	–	–	6,570	–	814	62,592
ON	Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes		Con	34,462	51.97%	18,636	28.11%		Lib		NDP	66.54%	15,826	34,462	9,438	–	1,628	4,541	15	398	66,308
ON	Hamilton Centre		NDP	23,390	46.96%	10,075	20.23%		Lib		Con	55.71%	13,315	8,227	23,390	–	1,325	3,271	99	184	49,811
ON	Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		Lib	21,461	39.07%	4,915	8.95%		Con		NDP	59.26%	21,461	16,546	11,910	–	1,022	3,986	–	–	54,925
ON	Hamilton Mountain		Lib	17,962	34.50%	1,529	2.94%		NDP		Con	60.99%	17,962	13,042	16,433	–	1,039	3,289	–	306	52,071
ON	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		Lib	28,561	44.30%	9,817	15.23%		Con		NDP	69.57%	28,561	18,744	12,708	–	1,683	2,645	–	137	64,478
ON	Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga		Con	26,458	45.58%	6,450	11.11%		Lib		NDP	66.04%	20,008	26,458	6,407	–	1,035	3,298	838	–	58,044
ON	Humber River—Black Creek		Lib	19,533	60.69%	13,934	43.29%		Con		NDP	48.93%	19,533	5,599	5,279	–	388	1,258	–	130	32,187
ON	Huron—Bruce		Con	31,170	50.93%	15,155	24.76%		Lib		NDP	69.72%	16,015	31,170	9,056	–	–	4,437	519	–	61,197
ON	Kanata		Lib	27,667	43.16%	4,047	6.31%		Con		NDP	72.51%	27,667	23,620	9,419	–	1,626	1,771	–	–	64,103
ON	Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk		NDP	14,582	35.79%	3,900	9.57%		Lib		Con	54.89%	10,682	10,257	14,582	–	162	4,999	–	58	40,740
ON	Kenora—Kiiwetinoong		Con	11,033	43.32%	3,611	14.18%		NDP		Lib	56.66%	5,055	11,033	7,422	–	354	1,606	–	–	25,470
ON	Kingston and the Islands		Lib	29,171	40.69%	8,524	11.89%		NDP		Con	66.91%	29,171	17,599	20,647	–	1,761	2,499	–	10	71,687
ON	King—Vaughan		Con	20,069	44.86%	877	1.96%		Lib		NDP	50.59%	19,192	20,069	2,962	–	569	1,948	–	–	44,740
ON	Kitchener Centre		Grn	17,190	33.37%	4,392	8.53%		Con		NDP	62.90%	8,943	12,798	9,015	–	17,190	3,425	–	146	51,517
ON	Kitchener—Conestoga		Lib	20,489	38.29%	349	0.65%		Con		NDP	67.73%	20,489	20,140	6,381	–	2,626	3,865	–	8	53,509
ON	Kitchener South—Hespeler		Lib	18,596	37.45%	947	1.91%		Con		NDP	61.82%	18,596	17,649	8,079	–	1,710	3,351	119	150	49,654
ON	Lanark—Frontenac		Con	29,182	49.69%	14,012	23.86%		Lib		NDP	70.09%	15,170	29,182	8,956	–	1,576	3,645	–	201	58,730
ON	Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes		Con	29,950	50.53%	15,015	25.33%		Lib		NDP	68.17%	14,935	29,950	8,863	–	2,134	3,394	–	–	59,276
ON	London Centre		Lib	20,854	37.55%	3,980	7.17%		NDP		Con	59.96%	20,854	13,775	16,874	–	1,091	2,861	–	83	55,538
ON	London—Fanshawe		NDP	22,236	43.50%	9,830	19.23%		Con		Lib	56.29%	11,780	12,406	22,236	–	–	4,692	–	–	51,114
ON	London West		Lib	20,781	36.87%	1,534	2.72%		Con		NDP	68.29%	20,781	19,247	12,895	–	–	2,814	–	625	56,362
ON	Markham—Stouffville		Lib	25,391	51.55%	8,273	16.80%		Con		NDP	59.39%	25,391	17,118	4,329	–	972	1,448	–	–	49,258
ON	Markham—Thornhill		Lib	27,193	61.54%	15,534	35.15%		Con		NDP	56.06%	27,193	11,659	3,693	–	883	762	–	–	44,190
ON	Markham—Unionville		Lib	20,107	48.23%	2,417	5.80%		Con		NDP	52.27%	20,107	17,690	2,731	–	1,162	–	–	–	41,690
ON	Middlesex—London		Con	26,642	45.25%	10,655	18.10%		Lib		NDP	68.01%	15,987	26,642	10,506	–	1,066	4,570	–	101	58,872
ON	Milton East—Halton Hills South		Lib	21,508	41.71%	239	0.46%		Con		NDP	63.82%	21,508	21,269	4,935	–	1,339	2,514	–	–	51,565
ON	Mississauga Centre		Lib	24,922	53.88%	11,577	25.03%		Con		NDP	55.01%	24,922	13,345	5,234	–	750	1,939	32	29	46,251
ON	Mississauga East—Cooksville		Lib	23,278	50.28%	8,646	18.67%		Con		NDP	56.08%	23,278	14,632	4,863	–	150	2,988	292	96	46,299
ON	Mississauga—Erin Mills		Lib	25,115	51.19%	8,675	17.68%		Con		NDP	58.12%	25,115	16,440	5,054	–	802	1,650	–	–	49,061
ON	Mississauga—Lakeshore		Lib	25,822	45.01%	3,688	6.43%		Con		NDP	63.52%	25,822	22,134	5,606	–	1,265	2,444	5	96	57,372
ON	Mississauga—Malton		Lib	22,659	52.68%	9,415	21.89%		Con		NDP	54.44%	22,659	13,244	5,912	–	801	129	–	271	43,016
ON	Mississauga—Streetsville		Lib	23,343	47.34%	6,422	13.02%		Con		NDP	59.13%	23,343	16,921	5,963	–	1,048	1,840	–	194	49,309
ON	Nepean		Lib	27,348	45.74%	7,395	12.37%		Con		NDP	70.62%	27,348	19,953	9,700	–	1,162	1,631	–	1	59,795
ON	Newmarket—Aurora		Lib	22,067	43.78%	2,831	5.62%		Con		NDP	60.44%	22,067	19,236	5,824	–	929	2,114	240	–	50,410
ON	New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury		Con	23,600	47.67%	8,613	17.40%		Lib		NDP	57.01%	14,987	23,600	6,461	–	613	3,708	–	140	49,509
ON	Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake		Con	20,173	37.42%	1,201	2.23%		Lib		NDP	61.85%	18,972	20,173	9,625	–	1,050	4,088	–	–	53,908
ON	Niagara South		Con	21,920	33.41%	298	0.45%		Lib		NDP	62.53%	21,622	21,920	14,952	–	1,247	5,869	–	–	65,610
ON	Niagara West		Con	27,497	44.03%	8,106	12.98%		Lib		NDP	70.41%	19,391	27,497	8,724	–	1,749	4,430	–	657	62,448
ON	Nipissing—Timiskaming		Lib	19,007	36.86%	2,569	4.98%		Con		NDP	62.72%	19,007	16,438	12,031	–	–	4,088	–	–	51,564
ON	Northumberland—Clarke		Con	27,553	43.99%	6,242	9.97%		Lib		NDP	69.74%	21,311	27,553	8,735	–	1,608	3,430	–	–	62,637
ON	Oakville East		Lib	22,709	46.22%	3,333	6.78%		Con		NDP	67.10%	22,709	19,376	4,619	–	806	1,627	–	–	49,137
ON	Oakville West		Lib	23,623	47.49%	4,487	9.02%		Con		NDP	67.54%	23,623	19,136	4,330	–	854	1,800	–	–	49,743
ON	Orléans		Lib	36,060	52.34%	16,308	23.67%		Con		NDP	70.85%	36,060	19,752	9,953	–	1,116	1,818	–	196	68,895
ON	Oshawa		Con	22,409	39.71%	6,330	11.22%		NDP		Lib	56.29%	13,044	22,409	16,079	–	864	4,029	–	–	56,425
ON	Ottawa Centre		Lib	33,549	45.24%	9,291	12.53%		NDP		Con	74.55%	33,549	12,073	24,258	–	2,074	1,659	112	436	74,161
ON	Ottawa South		Lib	29,250	49.41%	13,287	22.45%		Con		NDP	65.76%	29,250	15,963	10,729	–	1,300	1,829	–	124	59,195
ON	Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester		Lib	30,441	49.00%	15,990	25.74%		NDP		Con	65.23%	30,441	12,757	14,451	–	1,892	1,981	157	442	62,121
ON	Ottawa West—Nepean		Lib	29,159	45.42%	11,398	17.75%		Con		NDP	68.64%	29,159	17,761	12,979	–	1,853	2,056	20	372	64,200
ON	Oxford		Con	28,222	46.79%	15,751	26.11%		Lib		NDP	64.82%	12,471	28,222	11,124	–	1,629	6,418	–	457	60,321
ON	Parry Sound-Muskoka		Con	26,603	47.93%	14,588	26.28%		Lib		NDP	64.67%	12,015	26,603	9,340	–	3,099	4,184	169	95	55,505
ON	Perth Wellington		Con	26,984	48.55%	13,300	23.93%		Lib		NDP	65.56%	13,684	26,984	9,552	–	–	5,357	–	–	55,577
ON	Peterborough		Con	28,144	39.19%	3,136	4.37%		Lib		NDP	69.03%	25,008	28,144	13,762	–	1,603	3,095	203	–	71,815
ON	Pickering—Brooklin		Lib	27,011	48.16%	7,794	13.90%		Con		NDP	60.39%	27,011	19,217	7,562	–	139	2,158	–	–	56,087
ON	Prescott—Russell—Cumberland		Lib	29,091	47.22%	9,127	14.81%		Con		NDP	70.26%	29,091	19,964	6,651	–	1,255	3,958	290	400	61,609
ON	Richmond Hill South		Lib	23,683	47.83%	4,493	9.07%		Con		NDP	54.86%	23,683	19,190	4,334	–	–	1,462	805	42	49,516
ON	Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong		Con	32,196	46.50%	17,662	25.51%		NDP		Lib	66.71%	13,421	32,196	14,534	–	1,031	7,615	–	435	69,232
ON	Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma		Con	20,617	35.59%	1,872	3.23%		Lib		NDP	61.10%	18,745	20,617	14,999	–	365	3,037	–	160	57,923
ON	Scarborough—Agincourt		Lib	24,212	56.24%	11,654	27.07%		Con		NDP	53.00%	24,212	12,558	4,340	–	742	1,203	–	–	43,055
ON	Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East		Lib	23,381	56.32%	12,868	30.99%		Con		NDP	56.12%	23,381	10,513	5,707	–	–	1,768	–	149	41,518
ON	Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park		Lib	30,753	61.28%	19,679	39.22%		Con		NDP	60.79%	30,753	11,074	6,713	–	–	1,511	89	42	50,182
ON	Scarborough North		Lib	26,796	66.98%	19,558	48.89%		Con		NDP	51.33%	26,796	7,238	4,636	–	–	973	–	361	40,004
ON	Scarborough Southwest		Lib	27,464	57.96%	17,706	37.36%		Con		NDP	57.18%	27,464	9,758	7,575	–	1,068	1,367	145	10	47,387
ON	Scarborough—Woburn		Lib	23,442	60.41%	14,692	37.86%		Con		NDP	56.16%	23,442	8,750	5,106	–	–	1,194	123	191	38,806
ON	Simcoe—Grey		Con	26,910	47.42%	11,088	19.54%		Lib		NDP	64.71%	15,822	26,910	7,476	–	2,356	3,938	–	242	56,744
ON	Simcoe North		Con	24,617	42.18%	6,622	11.35%		Lib		NDP	62.40%	17,995	24,617	9,315	–	1,780	4,465	–	192	58,364
ON	Spadina—Harbourfront		Lib	13,753	38.23%	1,581	4.39%		NDP		Con	52.98%	13,753	7,806	12,172	–	1,157	1,085	–	–	35,973
ON	St. Catharines		Lib	23,125	37.87%	3,357	5.50%		Con		NDP	64.57%	23,125	19,768	13,014	–	1,140	4,024	–	–	61,071
ON	Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry		Con	31,701	54.32%	17,282	29.61%		Lib		NDP	62.45%	14,419	31,701	6,361	–	1,351	4,475	24	25	58,356
ON	Sudbury		Lib	19,385	34.98%	3,370	6.08%		NDP		Con	61.93%	19,385	15,414	16,015	–	1,099	3,389	109	–	55,411
ON	Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt		Lib	16,416	31.98%	846	1.65%		NDP		Con	62.27%	16,416	13,809	15,570	–	887	4,570	2	71	51,325
ON	Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park		Lib	24,400	42.79%	2,507	4.40%		NDP		Con	64.79%	24,400	7,603	21,893	–	1,077	1,825	–	220	57,018
ON	Thornhill		Con	27,071	51.72%	8,195	15.66%		Lib		NDP	57.38%	18,876	27,071	3,126	–	861	2,408	–	–	52,342
ON	Thunder Bay—Rainy River		Lib	13,655	34.26%	1,984	4.98%		Con		NDP	61.17%	13,655	11,671	11,342	–	571	2,621	–	–	39,860
ON	Thunder Bay—Superior North		Lib	17,048	40.40%	5,355	12.69%		NDP		Con	62.80%	17,048	10,108	11,693	–	747	2,487	–	111	42,194
ON	Toronto Centre		Lib	23,683	49.83%	11,209	23.59%		NDP		Con	56.86%	23,683	6,143	12,474	–	3,826	1,116	–	281	47,523
ON	Toronto—Danforth		Lib	25,216	48.36%	7,660	14.69%		NDP		Con	65.47%	25,216	6,548	17,556	–	1,023	1,282	123	398	52,146
ON	Toronto—St. Paul's		Lib	30,023	49.51%	13,947	23.00%		Con		NDP	66.13%	30,023	16,076	9,638	–	3,373	1,513	–	18	60,641
ON	University—Rosedale		Lib	24,391	46.48%	9,660	18.41%		NDP		Con	59.12%	24,391	9,415	14,731	–	2,332	1,357	–	248	52,474
ON	Vaughan—Woodbridge		Lib	23,423	46.15%	2,985	5.88%		Con		NDP	57.21%	23,423	20,438	3,515	–	488	2,735	159	–	50,758
ON	Waterloo		Lib	25,816	45.48%	10,241	18.04%		Con		NDP	67.34%	25,816	15,575	10,851	–	1,936	2,583	–	–	56,761
ON	Wellington—Halton Hills North		Con	26,208	46.78%	9,259	16.53%		Lib		NDP	68.11%	16,949	26,208	6,698	–	2,635	3,467	–	68	56,025
ON	Whitby		Lib	23,284	45.09%	5,480	10.61%		Con		NDP	61.19%	23,284	17,804	7,443	–	833	2,273	–	–	51,637
ON	Willowdale		Lib	21,043	51.19%	7,127	17.34%		Con		NDP	54.47%	21,043	13,916	4,231	–	812	1,102	–	–	41,104
ON	Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore		Lib	19,019	30.88%	359	0.58%		NDP		Con	60.96%	19,019	16,650	18,660	–	744	6,339	10	171	61,593
ON	Windsor West		NDP	21,541	44.24%	8,017	16.46%		Lib		Con	53.10%	13,524	9,415	21,541	–	–	4,060	–	153	48,693
ON	York Centre		Lib	17,430	47.29%	3,481	9.44%		Con		NDP	53.37%	17,430	13,949	3,753	–	–	1,726	–	–	36,858
ON	York—Durham		Con	30,324	51.75%	13,623	23.25%		Lib		NDP	62.09%	16,701	30,324	7,364	–	325	3,731	51	99	58,595
ON	York South—Weston—Etobicoke		Lib	21,364	55.58%	12,724	33.10%		Con		NDP	52.02%	21,364	8,640	5,800	–	734	1,897	3	–	38,438
MB	Brandon—Souris		Con	23,659	59.37%	15,533	38.98%		NDP		Lib	61.55%	4,759	23,659	8,126	–	9	3,277	–	19	39,849
MB	Churchill—Keewatinook Aski		NDP	7,628	42.56%	3,116	17.39%		Lib		Con	35.82%	4,512	4,331	7,628	–	552	899	–	–	17,922
MB	Elmwood—Transcona		NDP	20,001	49.12%	8,416	20.67%		Con		Lib	59.46%	6,057	11,585	20,001	–	647	2,423	5	–	40,718
MB	Kildonan—St. Paul		Con	20,962	42.45%	7,180	14.54%		Lib		NDP	66.36%	13,782	20,962	11,755	–	152	2,677	58	–	49,386
MB	Portage—Lisgar		Con	22,445	52.15%	13,027	30.27%		PPC		NDP	66.56%	4,720	22,445	5,778	–	–	9,418	–	681	43,042
MB	Provencher		Con	21,713	48.34%	13,857	30.85%		PPC		Lib	66.15%	7,413	21,713	5,487	–	1,150	7,856	1,302	–	44,921
MB	Riding Mountain		Con	23,165	59.19%	17,485	44.68%		NDP		Lib	61.23%	4,987	23,165	5,680	–	826	4,128	–	351	39,137
MB	Saint Boniface—Saint Vital		Lib	21,012	43.90%	7,471	15.61%		Con		NDP	66.12%	21,012	13,541	10,131	–	720	2,067	294	97	47,862
MB	Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman		Con	27,931	56.97%	18,407	37.55%		NDP		Lib	65.48%	6,493	27,931	9,524	–	1,320	3,758	–	–	49,026
MB	Winnipeg Centre		NDP	15,726	49.65%	6,556	20.70%		Lib		Con	49.74%	9,170	4,055	15,726	–	756	1,356	–	608	31,671
MB	Winnipeg North		Lib	16,040	53.21%	7,675	25.46%		NDP		Con	52.93%	16,040	4,066	8,365	–	370	1,219	–	87	30,147
MB	Winnipeg South		Lib	19,251	48.15%	6,177	15.45%		Con		NDP	67.23%	19,251	13,074	5,733	–	590	1,336	–	–	39,984
MB	Winnipeg South Centre		Lib	22,184	45.29%	8,411	17.17%		Con		NDP	69.70%	22,184	13,773	10,124	–	1,300	1,378	–	226	48,985
MB	Winnipeg West		Con	20,382	40.35%	558	1.10%		Lib		NDP	69.34%	19,824	20,382	7,533	–	1,042	1,727	–	8	50,516
SK	Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake		Con	23,018	67.26%	18,600	54.35%		NDP		Lib	58.18%	2,506	23,018	4,418	–	266	2,050	75	1,890	34,223
SK	Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek		Con	28,450	68.00%	22,578	53.97%		NDP		PPC	70.05%	2,289	28,450	5,872	–	389	3,876	–	960	41,836
SK	Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River		Lib	3,811	46.35%	1,836	22.33%		NDP		Con	32.96%	3,811	1,938	1,975	–	96	257	146	–	8,223
SK	Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan		Con	25,975	60.99%	17,915	42.06%		NDP		PPC	69.16%	2,569	25,975	8,060	–	439	4,820	19	707	42,589
SK	Prince Albert		Con	23,253	64.09%	17,805	49.07%		NDP		Lib	58.55%	4,284	23,253	5,448	–	398	2,496	19	384	36,282
SK	Regina—Lewvan		Con	18,497	46.16%	4,547	11.35%		NDP		Lib	67.14%	5,729	18,497	13,950	–	498	1,401	–	–	40,075
SK	Regina—Qu'Appelle		Con	23,021	60.28%	14,363	37.61%		NDP		Lib	60.07%	3,908	23,021	8,658	–	723	1,883	–	–	38,193
SK	Regina—Wascana		Con	19,258	49.90%	8,870	22.98%		Lib		NDP	63.73%	10,388	19,258	6,974	–	622	1,352	–	–	38,594
SK	Saskatoon South		Con	21,423	49.25%	8,101	18.62%		NDP		Lib	67.99%	6,253	21,423	13,322	–	537	1,965	–	–	43,500
SK	Saskatoon—University		Con	20,447	47.92%	5,345	12.53%		NDP		Lib	68.33%	4,632	20,447	15,102	–	406	1,785	–	295	42,667
SK	Saskatoon West		Con	15,386	45.37%	2,057	6.06%		NDP		Lib	55.59%	2,779	15,386	13,329	–	357	2,065	–	–	33,916
SK	Souris—Moose Mountain		Con	31,897	76.01%	28,049	66.84%		PPC		NDP	76.13%	1,763	31,897	3,377	–	24	3,848	22	1,031	41,962
SK	Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley		Con	27,528	72.46%	23,625	62.18%		NDP		PPC	68.55%	1,563	27,528	3,903	–	320	2,879	152	1,648	37,993
SK	Yorkton—Melville		Con	24,608	68.79%	20,276	56.68%		NDP		PPC	65.62%	2,257	24,608	4,332	–	623	3,293	–	658	35,771
AB	Airdrie—Cochrane		Con	33,821	59.90%	25,394	44.97%		NDP		Lib	69.38%	5,739	33,821	8,427	–	712	4,649	2,013	1,102	56,463
AB	Battle River—Crowfoot		Con	42,531	71.38%	36,749	61.68%		NDP		PPC	71.51%	2,536	42,531	5,782	–	545	5,556	–	2,631	59,581
AB	Bow River		Con	33,292	69.57%	28,580	59.72%		PPC		NDP	62.39%	3,763	33,292	4,484	–	2	4,712	16	1,588	47,857
AB	Calgary Centre		Con	27,761	50.92%	11,370	20.85%		Lib		NDP	62.16%	16,391	27,761	8,955	–	887	–	–	527	54,521
AB	Calgary Confederation		Con	27,326	45.69%	10,646	17.80%		Lib		NDP	67.19%	16,680	27,326	10,596	–	2,202	2,777	–	228	59,809
AB	Calgary Crowfoot		Con	30,836	54.94%	18,662	33.25%		Lib		NDP	67.61%	12,174	30,836	9,081	–	941	2,601	–	491	56,124
AB	Calgary East		Con	24,157	52.86%	15,683	34.32%		Lib		NDP	53.48%	8,474	24,157	8,264	–	967	3,275	107	459	45,703
AB	Calgary Heritage		Con	34,334	58.32%	24,162	41.05%		NDP		Lib	66.35%	9,531	34,334	10,172	–	838	3,009	–	983	58,867
AB	Calgary McKnight		Lib	16,282	43.76%	3,549	9.54%		Con		NDP	51.55%	16,282	12,733	6,020	–	422	1,465	105	180	37,207
AB	Calgary Midnapore		Con	35,683	60.27%	24,709	41.73%		NDP		Lib	67.70%	7,376	35,683	10,974	–	796	3,603	–	773	59,205
AB	Calgary Nose Hill		Con	29,989	55.32%	19,023	35.09%		Lib		NDP	62.88%	10,966	29,989	9,170	–	877	2,600	28	578	54,208
AB	Calgary Shepard		Con	30,941	61.20%	22,836	45.17%		NDP		Lib	65.39%	7,039	30,941	8,105	–	857	2,897	121	595	50,555
AB	Calgary Signal Hill		Con	35,055	59.81%	23,694	40.43%		Lib		NDP	68.32%	11,361	35,055	8,284	–	997	2,368	–	546	58,611
AB	Calgary Skyview		Con	16,151	44.96%	4,252	11.84%		Lib		NDP	55.97%	11,899	16,151	5,938	–	328	1,344	51	211	35,922
AB	Edmonton Centre		Con	16,146	32.60%	690	1.39%		Lib		NDP	59.94%	15,456	16,146	15,061	–	56	2,405	–	401	49,525
AB	Edmonton Gateway		Con	18,077	43.12%	7,422	17.70%		Lib		NDP	62.36%	10,655	18,077	10,614	–	90	2,375	–	115	41,926
AB	Edmonton Griesbach		NDP	17,429	40.36%	1,748	4.05%		Con		Lib	53.43%	6,552	15,681	17,429	–	489	2,567	–	466	43,184
AB	Edmonton Manning		Con	16,903	41.12%	4,154	10.11%		NDP		Lib	55.06%	8,456	16,903	12,749	–	–	2,883	–	115	41,106
AB	Edmonton Northwest		Con	19,054	43.10%	6,839	15.47%		NDP		Lib	58.74%	10,112	19,054	12,215	–	13	2,761	–	57	44,212
AB	Edmonton Riverbend		Con	22,145	45.44%	9,996	20.51%		Lib		NDP	65.03%	12,149	22,145	11,907	–	559	1,957	–	19	48,736
AB	Edmonton Southeast		Con	15,597	37.70%	1,529	3.70%		Lib		NDP	62.57%	14,068	15,597	9,237	–	–	2,352	–	122	41,376
AB	Edmonton Strathcona		NDP	32,556	57.95%	17,516	31.18%		Con		Lib	69.14%	5,068	15,040	32,556	–	701	2,539	–	273	56,177
AB	Edmonton West		Con	22,556	45.62%	10,433	21.10%		NDP		Lib	64.13%	12,088	22,556	12,123	–	25	2,520	–	135	49,447
AB	Foothills		Con	41,847	68.43%	34,879	57.03%		NDP		PPC	69.24%	4,246	41,847	6,968	–	808	5,024	–	2,264	61,157
AB	Fort McMurray—Cold Lake		Con	29,394	67.81%	23,888	55.11%		PPC		NDP	56.25%	3,066	29,394	4,385	–	424	5,506	–	570	43,345
AB	Grande Prairie		Con	35,401	68.96%	29,316	57.11%		NDP		PPC	64.25%	2,164	35,401	6,085	–	–	5,238	–	2,447	51,335
AB	Lakeland		Con	36,405	69.40%	30,603	58.34%		PPC		NDP	66.85%	2,604	36,405	5,511	–	463	5,802	–	1,671	52,456
AB	Leduc—Wetaskiwin		Con	34,770	63.37%	25,112	45.77%		NDP		PPC	66.69%	3,896	34,770	9,658	–	9	6,147	6	385	54,871
AB	Lethbridge		Con	32,817	55.65%	21,431	36.34%		NDP		Lib	65.23%	8,928	32,817	11,386	–	–	4,097	1,179	566	58,973
AB	Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner		Con	31,629	65.80%	24,951	51.90%		NDP		PPC	62.60%	3,397	31,629	6,678	–	663	4,478	–	1,226	48,071
AB	Parkland		Con	38,359	63.09%	28,458	46.81%		NDP		PPC	69.64%	3,795	38,359	9,901	–	0	6,858	–	1,888	60,801
AB	Peace River—Westlock		Con	30,446	62.65%	24,050	49.49%		NDP		PPC	61.27%	2,664	30,446	6,396	–	364	6,089	–	2,635	48,594
AB	Ponoka—Didsbury		Con	41,740	67.87%	33,527	54.52%		PPC		NDP	71.65%	2,862	41,740	6,735	–	–	8,213	488	1,458	61,496
AB	Red Deer		Con	32,606	60.51%	23,254	43.15%		NDP		PPC	64.92%	4,401	32,606	9,352	–	–	6,084	345	1,100	53,888
AB	Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan		Con	41,092	57.55%	26,352	36.91%		NDP		Lib	73.46%	8,730	41,092	14,740	–	700	5,004	283	849	71,398
AB	St. Albert—Sturgeon River		Con	37,326	56.03%	21,635	32.48%		NDP		Lib	71.62%	7,582	37,326	15,691	–	–	5,195	–	821	66,615
AB	Yellowhead		Con	35,998	60.23%	27,233	45.57%		NDP		Lib	68.45%	6,344	35,998	8,765	–	747	5,529	570	1,811	59,764
BC	Abbotsford—South Langley		Con	21,838	45.59%	9,360	19.54%		Lib		NDP	58.87%	12,478	21,838	8,729	–	1,504	3,354	–	–	47,903
BC	Burnaby Central		NDP	15,921	39.78%	3,414	8.53%		Lib		Con	50.68%	12,507	8,868	15,921	–	1,168	1,353	210	–	40,027
BC	Burnaby North—Seymour		Lib	22,673	40.88%	7,941	14.32%		Con		NDP	63.44%	22,673	14,732	14,706	–	1,878	1,472	–	–	55,461
BC	Cariboo—Prince George		Con	28,407	51.17%	17,080	30.77%		NDP		Lib	61.33%	9,029	28,407	11,327	–	1,934	4,556	58	203	55,514
BC	Chilliwack—Hope		Con	25,421	45.99%	10,818	19.57%		NDP		Lib	60.85%	9,463	25,421	14,603	–	1,553	4,230	–	–	55,270
BC	Cloverdale—Langley City		Lib	18,711	39.10%	1,427	2.98%		Con		NDP	61.04%	18,711	17,284	9,549	–	–	2,307	–	–	47,851
BC	Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies		Con	27,552	43.62%	4,409	6.98%		NDP		Lib	67.59%	5,648	27,552	23,143	–	2,341	4,480	–	–	63,164
BC	Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam		Lib	18,178	37.92%	3,741	7.80%		Con		NDP	59.84%	18,178	14,437	13,228	–	–	2,093	–	–	47,936
BC	Courtenay—Alberni		NDP	29,045	42.88%	7,840	11.57%		Con		Lib	65.16%	9,222	21,205	29,045	–	4,776	3,384	–	108	67,740
BC	Cowichan—Malahat—Langford		NDP	26,939	42.78%	9,084	14.43%		Con		Lib	63.96%	10,312	17,855	26,939	–	3,915	3,947	–	–	62,968
BC	Delta		Lib	23,697	42.54%	5,016	9.00%		Con		NDP	67.10%	23,697	18,681	10,276	–	1,244	1,381	424	–	55,703
BC	Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke		NDP	26,306	43.23%	12,992	21.35%		Lib		Con	63.79%	13,314	12,759	26,306	–	5,410	2,828	–	234	60,851
BC	Fleetwood—Port Kells		Lib	19,547	45.93%	7,407	17.40%		Con		NDP	57.31%	19,547	12,140	8,655	–	817	1,232	119	47	42,557
BC	Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies		Con	26,749	45.01%	11,872	19.98%		NDP		Lib	67.22%	9,869	26,749	14,877	–	3,025	4,844	60	–	59,424
BC	Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola		Con	24,448	43.50%	8,399	14.94%		NDP		Lib	63.56%	9,945	24,448	16,049	–	2,113	3,354	292	–	56,201
BC	Kelowna		Con	21,407	42.31%	8,130	16.07%		Lib		NDP	61.89%	13,277	21,407	10,702	–	1,525	3,686	–	–	50,597
BC	Langley Township—Fraser Heights		Con	23,223	43.92%	7,584	14.34%		Lib		NDP	63.75%	15,639	23,223	10,326	–	1,278	2,382	27	–	52,875
BC	Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford		Con	24,310	47.12%	11,817	22.91%		Lib		NDP	63.48%	12,493	24,310	9,279	–	1,915	3,594	–	–	51,591
BC	Nanaimo—Ladysmith		NDP	18,307	29.38%	1,741	2.79%		Con		Grn	63.32%	8,214	16,566	18,307	–	16,110	3,123	–	–	62,320
BC	New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville		NDP	22,808	47.98%	11,667	24.55%		Lib		Con	58.75%	11,141	9,990	22,808	–	1,803	1,777	–	13	47,532
BC	North Island—Powell River		NDP	26,918	39.46%	2,211	3.24%		Con		Lib	65.49%	9,076	24,707	26,918	–	3,999	3,113	–	403	68,216
BC	North Vancouver—Capilano		Lib	24,447	44.69%	8,376	15.31%		Con		NDP	64.67%	24,447	16,071	10,422	–	2,335	1,408	12	6	54,701
BC	Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna		Con	27,129	48.35%	14,101	25.13%		Lib		NDP	65.68%	13,028	27,129	10,598	–	1,541	3,812	–	–	56,108
BC	Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge		Con	20,811	37.14%	3,279	5.85%		NDP		Lib	64.00%	13,813	20,811	17,532	–	162	3,096	453	161	56,028
BC	Port Moody—Coquitlam		NDP	18,740	35.04%	1,647	3.08%		Con		Lib	63.25%	15,771	17,093	18,740	–	–	1,776	–	109	53,489
BC	Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies		Con	30,874	59.33%	23,395	44.96%		NDP		PPC	60.27%	4,815	30,874	7,479	–	1,812	5,410	–	1,648	52,038
BC	Richmond Centre—Marpole		Lib	14,375	38.58%	1,164	3.12%		Con		NDP	46.55%	14,375	13,211	7,593	–	1,167	918	–	–	37,264
BC	Richmond East—Steveston		Lib	18,640	41.91%	3,523	7.92%		Con		NDP	52.88%	18,640	15,117	8,622	–	1,043	1,057	–	–	44,479
BC	Saanich—Gulf Islands		Grn	25,136	35.77%	9,221	13.12%		Con		NDP	69.77%	13,216	15,915	13,738	–	25,136	2,115	–	156	70,276
BC	Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay		NDP	23,545	38.97%	841	1.39%		Con		Lib	65.09%	7,993	22,704	23,545	–	2,024	4,151	–	–	60,417
BC	Skeena—Bulkley Valley		NDP	15,921	42.58%	2,408	6.44%		Con		PPC	55.20%	2,866	13,513	15,921	–	1,406	2,888	–	797	37,391
BC	South Surrey—White Rock		Con	23,802	42.44%	1,986	3.54%		Lib		NDP	64.75%	21,816	23,802	8,302	–	–	2,162	–	–	56,082
BC	Surrey Centre		Lib	15,753	44.63%	6,024	17.07%		NDP		Con	52.32%	15,753	7,292	9,729	–	780	1,361	–	379	35,294
BC	Surrey Newton		Lib	19,071	54.43%	9,934	28.35%		NDP		Con	55.67%	19,071	5,334	9,137	–	–	914	583	–	35,039
BC	Vancouver Centre		Lib	18,562	40.67%	4,713	10.33%		NDP		Con	55.52%	18,562	9,994	13,849	–	1,737	1,498	–	–	45,640
BC	Vancouver East		NDP	27,969	56.40%	18,172	36.64%		Lib		Con	54.85%	9,797	5,399	27,969	–	3,826	1,382	–	1,218	49,591
BC	Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby		Lib	18,352	42.32%	4,867	11.22%		NDP		Con	53.50%	18,352	9,488	13,485	–	439	1,298	86	219	43,367
BC	Vancouver Granville		Lib	19,873	37.23%	2,303	4.31%		NDP		Con	62.17%	19,873	13,163	17,570	–	1,457	1,269	–	50	53,382
BC	Vancouver Kingsway		NDP	21,868	50.40%	9,277	21.38%		Lib		Con	54.28%	12,591	6,136	21,868	–	1,575	956	–	261	43,387
BC	Vancouver Quadra		Lib	21,464	43.39%	7,009	14.17%		Con		NDP	61.89%	21,464	14,455	9,593	–	2,950	1,004	–	–	49,466
BC	Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee		Con	24,843	43.83%	12,535	22.11%		NDP		Lib	64.09%	11,207	24,843	12,308	–	2,937	5,391	–	–	56,686
BC	Victoria		NDP	29,301	43.90%	11,107	16.64%		Lib		Con	66.45%	18,194	9,152	29,301	–	7,472	2,065	–	564	66,748
BC	West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country		Lib	18,509	33.05%	2,190	3.91%		Con		NDP	65.13%	18,509	16,319	15,058	–	3,809	2,103	115	92	56,005
Terr	Yukon		Lib	6,471	33.35%	1,375	7.09%		Con		NDP	64.13%	6,471	5,096	4,354	–	846	–	2,639	–	19,406
Terr	Northwest Territories		Lib	5,387	38.22%	829	5.88%		NDP		Con	46.69%	5,387	2,031	4,558	–	328	–	1,791	–	14,095
Terr	Nunavut		NDP	3,427	47.67%	849	11.81%		Lib		Con	33.80%	2,578	1,184	3,427	–	–	–	–	–	7,189

"Format 2B: Transposition 343 FED Vote Count". elections.ca. Retrieved May 5, 2024.
Estimated effect
minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

= boundaries and name unchanged

= boundaries unchanged; name change only

= name unchanged; boundaries adjusted

= transposition of votes results in different outcome from 2021

Notional 2021 results

The transposed results of the 2021 election, if they had taken place under the 2023 Representation Order.

This will be the first election contested under the new electoral districts established in the 2022 redistribution. Consequently, media outlets tend to report seat gains and losses as compared to notional results. These are the results if all votes cast in 2021 were unchanged, but regrouped by new electoral district boundaries, as published by Elections Canada.[34]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
Party		MPs
Party		2021 actual result	2021 notional result	Change
	Liberal	160	157	3
	Conservative	119	126	7
	Bloc Québécois	32	34	2
	New Democratic	25	24	1
	Green	2	2
Total seats		338	343	5

Incumbents not running for re-election

As of May 2024, a total of 21 MPs have announced they will not run in the 45th federal election.

	Electoral district	Province or territory	Date announced
Ron Liepert[35]	Calgary Signal Hill	Alberta	February 17, 2023
Wayne Long[36]	Saint John—Rothesay	New Brunswick	March 14, 2023
Randall Garrison[37]	Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke	British Columbia	April 27, 2023
Ken Hardie[38]	Fleetwood—Port Kells	British Columbia	May 26, 2023
Lloyd Longfield[39]	Guelph	Ontario	June 28, 2023
Helena Jaczek[40]	Markham—Stouffville	Ontario	July 25, 2023
Joyce Murray[41]	Vancouver Quadra	British Columbia	July 25, 2023
Omar Alghabra[42]	Mississauga Centre	Ontario	July 25, 2023
Alain Rayes[43]	Richmond—Arthabaska	Quebec	September 11, 2023
Richard Cannings[44]	South Okanagan—West Kootenay	British Columbia	September 12, 2023
Anthony Rota[45]	Nipissing—Timiskaming	Ontario	October 23, 2023
Emmanuel Dubourg[46]	Bourassa	Quebec	November 1, 2023
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith[47]	Beaches—East York	Ontario	December 7, 2023
Tony Van Bynen[48]	Newmarket—Aurora	Ontario	March 11, 2024
Ed Fast[49]	Abbotsford	British Columbia	March 14, 2024
Charlie Angus[50]	Timmins—James Bay	Ontario	April 4, 2024
Carol Hughes[51]	Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing	Ontario	April 4, 2024
Rachel Blaney[52]	North Island—Powell River	British Columbia	April 4, 2024
Gary Vidal[53]	Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River	Saskatchewan	April 23, 2024
Colin Carrie[54][55]	Oshawa	Ontario	April 24, 2024
Pam Damoff[56]	Oakville North—Burlington	Ontario	May 1, 2024

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2021–)

House of Commons – Changes in seats held
Seat	Before				Change
Seat	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Spadina—Fort York	November 22, 2021	Kevin Vuong	█ Liberal	Excluded from caucus			█ Independent
Mississauga—Lakeshore	May 27, 2022	Sven Spengemann	█ Liberal	Resigned[a 1]	December 12, 2022	Charles Sousa	█ Liberal
Richmond—Arthabaska	September 13, 2022	Alain Rayes	█ Conservative	Left caucus			█ Independent
Winnipeg South Centre	December 12, 2022	Jim Carr	█ Liberal	Death	June 19, 2023	Ben Carr	█ Liberal
Calgary Heritage	December 31, 2022	Bob Benzen	█ Conservative	Resigned	July 24, 2023	Shuvaloy Majumdar	█ Conservative
Oxford	January 27, 2023	Dave MacKenzie	█ Conservative	Resigned	June 19, 2023	Arpan Khanna	█ Conservative
Portage—Lisgar	February 28, 2023	Candice Bergen	█ Conservative	Resigned	June 19, 2023	Branden Leslie	█ Conservative
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount	March 8, 2023	Marc Garneau	█ Liberal	Resigned	June 19, 2023	Anna Gainey	█ Liberal
Don Valley North	March 22, 2023	Han Dong	█ Liberal	Left caucus			█ Independent
Durham	August 1, 2023	Erin O'Toole	█ Conservative	Resigned	March 4, 2024	Jamil Jivani	█ Conservative
Toronto—St. Paul's	January 16, 2024	Carolyn Bennett	█ Liberal	Resigned[57]			█ Vacant
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun	February 1, 2024	David Lametti	█ Liberal	Resigned[58]			█ Vacant
Elmwood—Transcona	March 31, 2024	Daniel Blaikie	█ New Democratic	Resigned[59]			█ Vacant

to accept a position with the United Nations

2021

September 27 – Annamie Paul announced her intent to resign as leader of the Green Party.[60]
November 10 – Paul formally submitted her resignation, and ended her membership in the party.[14] The Green Party accepted her resignation a few days later.[61][62]
November 15 – Senator Denise Batters launched a petition to review the leadership of Erin O'Toole.[63] Party president Robert Batherson decided the petition was not in order.[63] The following day, Batters was removed from the conservative caucus.[64]
November 24 – Amita Kuttner was appointed as Green Party interim leader.[65][66]
December 5 – The People's Party concluded its leadership review of Maxime Bernier. He was confirmed and continued as leader.[67][68]

2022

February 2 – Erin O'Toole was removed as the leader of the Conservative Party, by a caucus vote.[69] Candice Bergen was selected by the party caucus to serve as interim leader.[70][71]
March 22 – The Liberal and New Democratic parties reached a confidence and supply agreement, with the NDP agreeing to support the Liberal government until June 2025 in exchange for specific policy commitments.[72]
May 24 – The 2022 Green Party of Canada leadership election officially began, pursuant to the party's constitution.[73]
May 28 – Liberal Sven Spengemann resigned as the MP of Mississauga–Lakeshore to accept a role in the United Nations.[74][75]
September 10 – The 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election concluded. Pierre Poilievre was announced as the new leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.[76]
September 13 – MP Alain Rayes left the Conservative Party to sit as an independent.[77][78]
November 19 – The 2022 Green Party of Canada leadership election was concluded. Elizabeth May was announced as the new leader of the Green Party of Canada.[79]
December 12 – Liberal MP for Winnipeg South Centre Jim Carr died of cancer.[80]
December 12 – A federal by-election was held in Mississauga–Lakeshore, with Liberal Charles Sousa elected.[81]
December 12 – Bob Benzen resigned as the member of Parliament for Calgary Heritage.[82]

2023

January 27 – Dave MacKenzie resigned as the member of Parliament for Oxford.[83]
February 28 – Candice Bergen resigned as the member of Parliament for Portage—Lisgar.[84]
March 8 – Marc Garneau resigned as the member of Parliament for Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount.[85]
March 22 – Han Dong left the Liberal Party to sit as an independent.[86]
June 19 – A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, with Liberal Anna Gainey elected.[87][88]
June 19 – A federal by-election was held in Oxford, with Conservative Arpan Khanna elected.[87][88]
June 19 – A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar, with Conservative Branden Leslie elected.[87][88]
June 19 – A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre, with Liberal Ben Carr elected.[87][88]
July 24 – A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage, with Conservative Shuvaloy Majumdar elected.[89][90]
July 26 – The prime minister conducted a major cabinet reshuffle.[91]
August 1 – Erin O'Toole resigned as the member of Parliament for Durham.[92][93][94][95]
September 26 – Anthony Rota announced his intention to resign as Speaker of the House of Commons. Louis Plamondon was nominated to replace Rota on an interim basis.[96]
October 3 – Liberal MP Greg Fergus is elected speaker of the House of Commons. He is the first person of colour to be elected speaker.[97]

2024

January 16 – Carolyn Bennett resigned as the member of Parliament for Toronto—St. Paul's.[57]
February 1 – David Lametti resigned as the member of Parliament for LaSalle—Émard—Verdun.[58]
March 4 – A federal by-election was held in Durham, with Conservative Jamil Jivani elected.[98]
March 31 – Daniel Blaikie resigned as the member of Parliament for Elmwood—Transcona.[59]

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Notes

Includes Kevin Vuong, who appeared on the ballot as a Liberal but was disavowed by the party during the campaign. He has not been seated as a member of the Liberal caucus.
Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus it is impossible for the party to gain a majority in Parliament.
MP for Beauce until being defeated in the 2019 election. Contested the by-election in Portage–Lisgar, lost.
While formal results show the Liberals winning or leading in 160 seats, those totals include Kevin Vuong, who was disavowed during the campaign by his party, and has since sat as an Independent in the House of Commons.

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This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[38] "Format 2B: Transposition 343 FED Vote Count". elections.ca. Retrieved May 5, 2024.

[39] Estimated effect

[40] r political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

[64] to accept a position with the United Nations

[LPC_seat_count-1] Includes Kevin Vuong, who appeared on the ballot as a Liberal but was disavowed by the party during the campaign. He has not been seated as a member of the Liberal caucus.

[2] Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus it is impossible for the party to gain a majority in Parliament.

[3] MP for Beauce until being defeated in the 2019 election. Contested the by-election in Portage–Lisgar, lost.

[16] While formal results show the Liberals winning or leading in 160 seats, those totals include Kevin Vuong, who was disavowed during the campaign by his party, and has since sat as an Independent in the House of Commons.

[Leblanc-4] "Minister LeBlanc introduces legislation to further strengthen Canada's electoral process". CNW. March 20, 2024. Retrieved March 22, 2024.

[5] Aiello, Rachel (October 24, 2019). "Split opposition means stronger minority for Liberals, experts say". CTV News. Retrieved October 25, 2019.

[6] Harris, Kathleen (October 21, 2020). "Snap election averted as Liberal government survives confidence vote in Commons". CBC News. Retrieved November 26, 2020.

[7] Coyne, Andrew (October 28, 2020). "What, exactly, is a non-confidence vote? Parliament should get to decide". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved November 26, 2020.

[NLmapfinal-8] Federal Electoral Boundaries Commission for Newfoundland and Labrador. "Redistribution process timeline in Newfoundland and Labrador".

[PEImapfinal-9] Federal Electoral Boundaries Commission for Prince Edward Island. "Redistribution process timeline in PEI".

[ONmapfinal-10] Federal Electoral Boundaries Commission for Ontario. "Redistribution process timeline in Ontario".

[ImpNewElectBound-11] Elections Canada. "Implementation of New Federal Electoral Boundaries".

[Redist-timeline-12] Federal Electoral Boundaries Commission. "Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts".

[13] Proclamation declaring the Representation Order to be in Force effective on the First dissolution of Parliament that Occurs after April 22, 2024, SI/2023-57 , reported in the Canada Gazette, Part II, Vol. 157, Extra, September 27, 2023

[NYT_2021-14] "Justin Trudeau to Remain Prime Minister of Canada". The New York Times. September 21, 2021. Archived from the original on January 11, 2022. Retrieved September 21, 2021. Updated September 24, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: postscript (link)

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[17] Tasker, John Paul (September 27, 2021). "Annamie Paul is stepping down as Green Party leader". CBC News. Retrieved September 27, 2021.

[CBC11/10-18] "Annamie Paul officially quits as Green leader, will end membership in party". CBC News. November 10, 2021.

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[20] Tumilty, Ryan (March 21, 2024). "New Liberal legislation would ensure dozens of MPs secure pensions before next election". National Post.

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[:1-23] Canada, Elections (August 12, 2021). "Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts". www.elections.ca. Retrieved August 16, 2021.

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[28] "C-14: An Act to amend the Constitution Act, 1867 (electoral representation)". Parliament of Canada. 2022. Archived from the original on March 24, 2022. Retrieved March 25, 2022.

[29] "Constitution Act" (PDF). Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Canada: House of Commons of Canada. June 15, 2022. p. 6768.

[30] "Constitution Act, 1867" (PDF). Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Canada: Senate of Canada. June 21, 2022. pp. 1773–1774.

[31] "JOURNALS Thursday, June 23, 2022". ourcommons.ca. House of Commons of Canada. June 23, 2022. Retrieved June 24, 2022. A message was received informing the Commons that on June 23, at 10:28 p.m., Her Excellency the Governor General signified royal assent by written declaration to the following bills: Bill C-14, An Act to amend the Constitution Act, 1867 (electoral representation) — Chapter No. 6;

[UpdatedSeatNumbers-32] "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.

[CommissionLaunch-33] Federal Electoral Boundaries Commission (January 20, 2022). "Federal Electoral Boundaries Commissions Launch Redistribution Website and Social Media Accounts".

[34] Proclamation declaring the Representation Order to be in Force effective on the First dissolution of Parliament that Occurs after May 1, 2014, SI/2013-102 , reported in the Canada Gazette, Part II, Vol. 147, Extra, October 5, 2013

[35] "Proclamation Issuing Election Writs" (PDF). Canada Gazette Part II. 149. August 4, 2015. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 6, 2015. Retrieved October 22, 2015.

[36] "Proclamation Declaring the Representation Orders to be in Force Effective on the First dissolution of Parliament that Occurs after April 22, 2024" (PDF). Canada Gazette, Part II. 157 (Extra No. 2). September 27, 2023.

[37] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders" (PDF). elections.ca. Elections Canada. Retrieved May 7, 2024.

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[43] "EXCLUSIVE: Wayne Long won't reoffer in next federal election". TJ.news.

[44] "B.C. New Democrat MP Randall Garrison says he will not be seeking re-election". battlefordsNOW. The Canadian Press. Retrieved May 8, 2023.

[45] Zytaruk, Tom (May 26, 2023). "Fleetwood-Port Kells Liberal MP Ken Hardie says this term will be his last". Surrey Now-Leader. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[46] Cassidy, Lianne (June 28, 2023). "News release". mplongfield.ca. Archived from the original on June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.

[47] Dr. Helena Jaczek [@HelenaJaczek] (July 25, 2023). "After 50 years of public service [...] I have decided that I will not seek re-election after my current term" (Tweet). Retrieved July 25, 2023 – via Twitter.

[48] Joyce Murray [@JoyceMurray] (July 25, 2023). "After much thought and reflection, I have decided not to run again in the next election after my current term" (Tweet). Retrieved July 25, 2023 – via Twitter.

[49] Omar Alghabra [@OmarAlghabra] (July 25, 2023). "I have news to share: after a lot of reflection, I decided to not run in the next election" (Tweet). Retrieved July 25, 2023 – via Twitter.

[50] Robertson, Dylan (September 13, 2022). "Ex-Conservative Quebec MP, 'political orphan' Alain Rayes won't seek re-election". CBC News. Retrieved February 11, 2024.

[51] FRIES, JOE (September 12, 2023). "MP Cannings won't run again". Penticton Herald.

[52] "Rota not running for re-election". BayToday.ca. October 23, 2023.

[53] "Liberal MP Emmanuel Dubourg won't run for re-election | Montreal Gazette". Retrieved February 11, 2024.

[54] Shackleton, Al (December 7, 2023). "MP Erskine-Smith, runner-up in Ontario Liberal leadership race, won't seek federal re-election in Beaches-East York".

[55] Quigley, Joseph (March 11, 2024). "'Person of great integrity:' Newmarket-Aurora MP won't run for re-election". NewmarketToday.ca. Retrieved March 11, 2024.

[56] "Harper-era cabinet minister ed Fast will not seek re-election | Globalnews.ca".

[57] "Veteran NDP MP Charlie Angus leaving politics". The Globe and Mail. April 4, 2024.

[58] "NDP MPs Carol Hughes, Rachel Blaney, Charlie Angus not running again". National Newswatch. April 4, 2024.

[59] "NDP MPs Carol Hughes, Rachel Blaney, Charlie Angus not running again". National Newswatch. April 4, 2024.

[60] "Sask. MP Gary Vidal not seeking reelection due to boundary changes". Regina Leader-Post. April 24, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.

[61] Kelly, Tim (April 25, 2024). "'Now is the right time': Longtime Oshawa Conservative MP Colin Carrie not running in next federal election". Durham Region. Metroland Media Group. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

[62] "Colin Carrie Announces He Will Not Stand for Re-election". colincarriemp.ca. April 24, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

[63] ttps://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/liberal-mp-wont-seek-re-election-citing-fears-for-her-safety-and-disgust-with-toxicity/article_7de9e596-07ba-11ef-977d-57a581fd24d5.html

[BennettResign-65] "The Hon. Carolyn Bennett, P.C., M.P." Library of Parliament. Retrieved January 16, 2024.

[Lametti-66] "Former justice minister David Lametti resigning as Liberal MP to join law firm". The Province. Retrieved January 25, 2024.

[Blaikie-67] "NDP MP Daniel Blaikie resigning House seat to work with Manitoba premier". CTV News. February 28, 2024. Retrieved February 28, 2024.

[Aiello1-68] Aiello, Rachel (September 27, 2021). "Annamie Paul resigns as Green Party leader". CTV News. Retrieved November 10, 2021.

[69] Thurton, David (November 16, 2021). "Green Party accepts Annamie Paul's resignation as leader". CBC News. Retrieved November 17, 2021.

[Official-70] Ballingall, Alex (November 15, 2021). "Green Party formally accepts Annamie Paul's resignation as leader". Toronto Star. Retrieved November 15, 2021.

[Tasker1-71] Tasker, John Paul; Thibedeau, Hannah (November 15, 2021). "Conservative senator launches petition to oust Erin O'Toole as leader". CBC News. Retrieved November 17, 2021.

[72] Tasker, John Paul; Thibedeau, Hannah; Dhanraj, Travis (November 16, 2021). "O'Toole kicks senator out of Conservative caucus after she questioned his leadership". CBC News. Retrieved November 17, 2021.

[73] "Green Party appoints Amita Kuttner as Interim Leader". Green Party of Canada. November 24, 2021.

[74] Woolf, Marie (November 25, 2021). "Greens pick astrophysicist Amita Kuttner as interim leader, 1st leader who is trans". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2021.

[75] "Maxime Bernier Overwhelmingly Confirmed as PPC Leader by Membership". People's Party of Canada. December 5, 2021. Archived from the original on December 5, 2021.

[76] Paas-Lang, Christian (December 5, 2021). "Maxime Bernier retains leadership of People's Party of Canada after review vote". CBC News. Retrieved December 5, 2021.

[77] Tasker, John Paul (February 2, 2022). "Conservative MPs vote to remove Erin O'Toole as leader". CBC News. Retrieved February 2, 2022.

[78] Aziz, Saba (February 2, 2022). "Conservatives elect Candice Bergen as interim party leader". Global News.

[79] "Bergen advised against telling truckers to leave Ottawa, said protests should be made 'PM's problem'". CTVNews. February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 5, 2022.

[80] "Canada's Trudeau strikes surprise deal to keep power until 2025". Reuters. March 22, 2022. Retrieved March 23, 2022.

[GPCConstitution-81] "Constitution of the Green Party of Canada". Green Party of Canada. 2018. Retrieved November 15, 2021. Section 2.1.7.2

[82] "Mississauga Liberal MP resigns to work for United Nations less than a year after re-election". Mississauga.com. May 19, 2022. Retrieved May 29, 2022.

[83] "Sven Spengemann – Member of Parliament – Members of Parliament – House of Commons of Canada". www.ourcommons.ca. Retrieved May 29, 2022.

[84] Paas-Lang, Christian (March 13, 2022). "How the rules could help shape who becomes the next Conservative leader". CBC News. Retrieved March 14, 2022.

[85] Rayes, Alain (September 13, 2022). "Official statement". Twitter. Archived from the original on September 13, 2022. Retrieved September 13, 2022.

[86] "Quebec MP Alain Rayes leaves Conservative caucus after Poilievre victory". Global News. Retrieved September 13, 2022.

[87] Fraser, David (November 19, 2022). "Elizabeth May to return as federal Green Party leader, sharing role on joint-ticket". globalnews.ca. Archived from the original on November 26, 2022.

[88] Tunney, Catharine (December 12, 2022). "Jim Carr, Manitoba MP and former cabinet minister, dies after battle with cancer". CBC News. Retrieved December 12, 2022.

[89] "Liberal Charles Sousa wins federal byelection in Mississauga-Lakeshore, CBC News projects". CBC News. December 12, 2022. Retrieved December 12, 2022.

[90] "There will be a Calgary Heritage byelection this year: Elections Canada". cbc.ca. January 5, 2023. Archived from the original on January 14, 2023.

[91] Abbott, Chris (January 27, 2023). "MacKenzie voices opposition to proposed federal riding changes". chathamdailynews.ca. Archived from the original on January 28, 2023.

[92] Levitz, Stephanie (February 1, 2023). "Candice Bergen, former interim Conservative leader, is resigning from Parliament". The Hamilton Spectator. Archived from the original on February 1, 2023.

[93] Raycraft, Richard (March 8, 2023). "Former cabinet minister Marc Garneau resigning from House of Commons". cbc.ca. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023.

[94] Tunney, Catharine (March 22, 2023). "Liberal MP Han Dong leaving caucus amid foreign interference allegations". CBC News. Retrieved March 22, 2023.

[4ByGlobal-95] "4 federal byelections set for June in Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved May 31, 2023.

[4ByResultsCBC-96] "Liberals, Conservatives take 2 seats apiece in 4 federal byelections | CBC". CBC. Retrieved June 20, 2023.

[97] Dryden, Joel (July 24, 2023). "Federal byelection to be held today in Calgary Heritage following MP resignation". CBC News. Archived from the original on July 25, 2023. Retrieved July 25, 2023.

[98] "Conservatives maintain grip on Calgary Heritage with byelection win". CBC. July 25, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.

[99] "Trudeau overhauls his cabinet, drops 7 ministers and shuffles most portfolios". CBC. July 26, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.

[100] "Thank you, Durham. Thank you, Canada". July 2, 2023.

[:2-101] "Former Conservative leader Erin O'Toole not seeking re-election, leaving this spring". ctvnews.ca. March 31, 2023. Archived from the original on March 31, 2023.

[102] @erinotoole (March 31, 2023). "A statement from the Hon. Erin O'Toole, P.C., C.D., M.P." (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 31, 2023 – via Twitter.

[103] "The Hon. Erin O'Toole, P.C., C.D., M.P." lop.parl.ca. Library of Parliament. Retrieved August 6, 2023. MP (2012-11-26 - 2023-08-01)

[104] ICI.Radio-Canada.ca, Zone Politique- (September 27, 2023). "Louis Plamondon sera président intérimaire de la Chambre des communes". Radio-Canada.

[105] "Liberal MP Greg Fergus elected Speaker of the House of Commons". CBC. October 3, 2023. Retrieved February 11, 2024.

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