2022–2023 Dnieper campaign

Since the 2022 Kherson counteroffensive, clashes have occurred in Kherson Oblast across the Dnieper River between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Russian Armed Forces throughout late 2022 and 2023.

2022–2023 Dnieper campaign
Part of the Southern Ukraine campaign in the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
Date1 September 2022 – present
(8 months, 2 weeks and 2 days)
Location
Result Ongoing
Belligerents
 Russia  Ukraine
Units involved
Russian Armed Forces

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Background

Ukrainian officials estimated half of the Russian soldiers had been withdrawn across the Dnieper by the evening of 10 November. In the early morning of 11 November, Russian infantrymen were seen walking across a pontoon bridge to the eastern shore. Ukrainian armour and columns closed in on Kherson proper as they moved past several towns, villages and suburbs. As Russian troops retreated across the Dnipro river, Ukrainian troops went further into Kherson Oblast and surrounding areas.[1]

Later that day, Ukrainian forces liberated Kherson and the rest of the right bank of Kherson Oblast.[2]


Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant

On the morning of September 1, Ukrainian forces attempted a landing across the Dnieper River in the direction of the Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant in Energodar, but Russian troops successfully repelled the Ukrainian landing attempt. In the following days and weeks, attempts at Ukrainian amphibious operations across the Dnieper intensified, especially in the Zaporizhia Oblast.[3][4]

On the night of 19 October 2022, Ukraine attempted to retake the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in occupied Enerhodar, but this failed.[5]

Kinburn Spit

A map of the Kinburn Peninsula (yellow) and Kinburn Spit (green)

On 14 September, Ukraine attempted its second amphibious landing, which was unsuccessful.[6] On the day following the attempted landing, Deputy Head of the Kherson Military-Civilian Administration Kirill Stremousov claimed that over 120 Ukrainian servicemen had been killed in the attack.[6][7][8] The landing was never acknowledged by Ukraine, leading to differing accounts from different sources detailing the attack.[6]

On 13 November, Ukrainian troops in Ochakiv attempted to land at Pokrovske after conducting limited raids[9] and small boat landings in the days before.[10] After a short battle with Russian forces, the landing group was destroyed and the landing failed.[9]

On 14 November, Russian forces launched anti-aircraft missiles at Ochakiv in an attempt to disrupt Ukrainian fire control and delay future attempts at a landing.[9]

On 16 November, Ukraine's Operational Command South reported that their forces had carried out more than 50 strikes around the spit to disrupt Russian shelling and electronic warfare originating from the area.[11] The strikes reportedly killed 17 Russian troops and damaged 18 pieces of military equipment.[12][13]

On 18 and 19 November, Ukrainian attacks on the spit continued, successfully targeting concentrations of Russian forces and equipment.[14][15]

On 22 December, Volodymyr Saldo and another Russian source claimed that Ukrainian forces were regularly shelling the spit with long-range artillery and had destroyed a Russian port building there as a result, but that repeated attempts to land on the spit were still being repelled by Russian forces.[16]

On 6 January 2023, a Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian reconnaissance activities were still continuing on the spit,[17] which was supported by a follow up statement made by Nataliya Gumenyuk two days later.[18][19]


Ostriv Velykyi Potomkin

Following the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, Ostriv Velykyi Potomkin came under Russian occupation in the early period of the conflict as a result of the Southern Ukraine campaign. During the counteroffensive, Ukrainian troops landed on parts of the island, but were repelled shortly after.[20]

On 3 December, Ukraine announced a planned evacuation from the island for civilians due to Russian shelling, although due to weather conditions this did not take place.[21]

On 7 December 2022, Ukrainian military officer of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine Ihor Oliinyk, commander of a reconnaissance unit operating in the Kherson region, was killed in combat on Ostriv Velykyi Potomkin.[22][23]

On 9 December, some Ukrainian officials and some unofficial Russian sources claimed that the 80th Arctic Motor Rifle Brigade, 25th Spetsnaz Regiment, and 4th BARS Special Combat Army Reserve, had re-occupied the island following a successful amphibious operation.[24][25]

However, this was contested by Serhii Khlan, advisor to the governor of Kherson, who stated that Russia did not have any presence on the island.[26] Contradicting Khlan, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces claimed on 15 December that Russia had begun forcibly deporting civilians from Ostriv Velykyi Potomkin, affirming that Russian forces controlled the island.[27][28]

On 2 January 2023, member of the Ukrainian parliament Oleksii Honcharenko claimed that the island had been recaptured by Ukraine, posting a video on Telegram showing Ukrainian forces on the island.[29]

This news was disputed by Russian sources, and was not officially confirmed by the Ukrainian government, with Serhii Khlan saying that such information existed but could not be confirmed. Footage was thereafter published showing Russian forces operating in nearby parts of the river delta, and a Russian military blogger claimed the island remained contested.[30][31]

Russian sources claimed on 7 March 2023 that the 126th Coastal Defence Brigade had repelled a Ukrainian attempt to assault Russian positions on the island.[32]

On 16 April, the Ukrainians claimed to have killed ten Russian soldiers and destroyed 13 pieces of equipment (including six armored vehicles and a T-72 tank) during two airstrikes on the island.[33]

On May 12, the ISW assessed that Ukrainian forces where operating in the southern portion of the island.[34]

Incursions

First

On 3 December 2022, Ukrainian forces staged a limited incursion into the east bank.[35] Soldiers from the Carlson air intelligence unit raised a Ukrainian flag on a port crane tower and liberated the surrounding territory.[36][37][38]

Second

Throughout 23–24 January 2023, Ukrainian forces landed on the left-bank of the Dnieper River near Nova Kakhovka during an overnight raid.[39] The ISW stated that the raid "indicates that Russian forces may not have full control over the entire eastern shoreline of the Dnipro River."[40]

Third

On 31 January 2023, Ukrainian forces landed on the left-bank of the river. They briefly established positions before Russian artillery forced them to leave.[41] The ISW reiterated that Russia may not have control over the shoreline, saying that Russian forces likely lacked full control over it.[42] The next day, on 1 February, Ukrainian reconnaissance elements were reported to be near Lake Kruhlyk.[43]

Fourth

Dachi seen on the left side of the Antonivka Road Bridge in 2006

On April 23, the ISW assessed that Ukrainian forces had crossed the Dnipro river some time on April 20, or April 21, and that reports indicated they had liberated the small village of Dachi where the Antonivka Road Bridge spans the Dnipro, posing for photos in front of the entrance sign of Oleshky and returning to Dachi before Russian forces could respond.[44][45][46][47] The Associated Press has gone on to assess that the swampy Antonivsky island is under Ukrainian control.[48]

Fifth

On May 12, the ISW assessed that Ukrainian forces had taken control of Toloka Island and the Zburivsksyi Kut bay at the mouth of the river delta. Additionally, the ISW reported significant partisan activity in Hola Prystan and Oleshky against the Russian administrations there.[34]

References

  1. Beaumont, Peter; Harding, Luke; Sauer, Pjotr; Koshiw, Isobel (11 November 2022). "Ukraine troops enter centre of Kherson as Russians retreat in chaos". the Guardian. Archived from the original on 21 April 2023. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  2. Krever, Mick; Chernova, Anna; Rebane, Teele; Mezzofiore, Gianluca; Lister, Tim; Tanno, Sophie (11 November 2022). "Ukrainian troops sweep into key city of Kherson after Russian forces retreat, dealing blow to Putin". CNN. Archived from the original on 7 February 2023. Retrieved 11 November 2022.
  3. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Lawlor, Katherine; Mappes, Grace; Barros, George; Kagan, Frederick W. (1 September 2022). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original on 13 May 2023. Retrieved 13 May 2023.
  4. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Lawlor, Katherine; Mappes, Grace; Barros, George; Kagan, Frederick W. (2 September 2022). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original on 13 May 2023. Retrieved 13 May 2023.
  5. Tucker, Maxim (7 April 2023). "Ukraine's secret attempt to retake the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant". The Times.
  6. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Lawlor, Katherine; Mappes, Grace; Barros, George; Kagan, Frederick W. (15 September 2022). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original on 3 April 2023. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  7. Roscoe, Matthew (15 September 2022). "Kherson deputy head warns Ukraine Kinburn Spit is impenetrable as counteroffensive continues". euroweeklynews.com. EuroWeekly News. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  8. Belam, Martin; Ho, Vivian (15 September 2022). "Russia-Ukraine war latest news: what we know on day 204 of the invasion". The Guardian. Retrieved 24 November 2022. Kirill Stremousov […] claimed that about 120 Ukrainian soldiers were killed while trying to enter Kherson region in the south of Ukraine via the Kinburn Spit.
  9. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Hird, Karolina; Philipson, Layne; Howard, Angela; Klepanchuk, Yekaterina; Williams, Madison; Kagan, Frederick W. (14 November 2022). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 14". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved 19 November 2022.
  10. Axe, David (15 November 2022). "The Zaporizhzhia Left Hook: How The Ukrainian Army Could Get Behind The Dnieper River And Roll Up Thousands Of Russian Troops". Forbes. Retrieved 17 November 2022. The Ukrainians' southern push mostly has paused on the Dnipro's right bank, although there are signs that Ukrainian special operations forces have used small boats to cross the mouth of the Dnipro and reconnoiter the Kinburn Spit
  11. "Latest Developments in Ukraine: Nov. 16". voanews.com. Voice of America. 16 November 2022. Retrieved 19 November 2022. Ukrainian forces carried out more than 50 strikes around the Kinburn Spit, in Mykolaiv province, which is currently under the control of the Russian army. The spit is said to be a key site for Russian electronic warfare and of strategic importance for coordinating Russian shelling of the right bank of the Dnieper River and southern Ukraine.
  12. "Ukrainian rocket and artillery units attacked Kinburn Spit, Nova Kakhovka, Oleshky in occupied south – OpCommand South". euromaidanpress.com. Euromaidan Press. 16 November 2022. Retrieved 21 November 2022.
  13. "Ukrainian forces open fire on invaders on left bank of Dnipro River, near Kinburn Spit". ukrinform.net. Ukrinform. 16 November 2022. Archived from the original on 26 November 2022. Retrieved 19 November 2022. In total, the military completed more than 50 fire missions., [sic] killing 17 Russian occupiers, destroying and damaged 15 armored vehicles, two self-propelled artillery pieces and an Orlan-10 reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicle.
  14. Kuczyński, Grzegorz (23 November 2022). "Ukraine Launches Assault On The Strategic Kinburn Peninsula". warsawinstitute.org. Warsaw Institute. Archived from the original on 2 December 2022. Retrieved 26 November 2022.
  15. Lewis, Kaitlin (18 November 2022). "Ukraine Destroys Russian 'Base Point' at Kinburn Spit: Report". newsweek.com. Newsweek. Retrieved 26 November 2022. Ukraine's military reported that its attack "demilitarized seven Russians and two auto armor units," adding that the "base point" had been "destroyed."
  16. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Bailey, Riley; Barros, George; Williams, Madison; Kagan, Frederick W. (24 December 2022). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 24". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original on 14 March 2023. Retrieved 29 December 2022.
  17. Hird, Karolina; Bailey, Riley; Philipson, Layne; Barros, George; Kagan, Frederick W. (6 January 2023). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2023". understandingwar.org. Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original on 22 March 2023. Retrieved 11 January 2023. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces are currently conducting reconnaissance activities in the area of the Kinburn Spit.
  18. "LIVE: Day 319 of Russian aggression against Ukraine". tvpworld.com. Telewizja Polska. 8 January 2023. Archived from the original on 13 January 2023. Retrieved 11 January 2023. According to Ukrainian military spokesperson Natalia Humeniuk, the section of the Kinburn peninsula between the Dnipro-Buzka estuary and the Black Sea, is currently "the demarcation line, the front line, where the battles are going on."
  19. "Neither side has full control of Mykolaiv's Kinburn Spit and Kherson's islands – Operational Command South". euromaidanpress.com. Euromaidan Press. 8 January 2023. Retrieved 11 January 2023. neither side fully controls the Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast, and the islands next to Kherson in Ukraine's south, according to Nataliia Humeniuk, the spokeswoman of Ukraine's Operational Command South
  20. Rohalska, Nadiia (9 December 2022). "Окупанти готують десантну операцію на Дніпрі: засіли на острові під Херсоном, – Машовець" [The occupiers are preparing an amphibious operation on the Dnieper: they landed on an island near Kherson, - Mashovets]. StopCor (in Ukrainian). Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  21. "Snipers and Icy Water: Ukrainians Risk Dnipro River Crossings". Voice of America. 7 December 2022. Retrieved 16 December 2022.
  22. Dymnich, Nataliia (26 January 2023). "На Херсонщині загинув військовослужбовець з Прикарпаття Ігор Олійник" [Ihor Oliinyk, a serviceman from Prykarpattia, died in Kherson Oblast]. Suspilne (in Ukrainian). Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  23. "Украинский десант вновь был накрыт российской артиллерией на островах в районе Херсона" [A Ukrainian landing was again covered by Russian artillery on the islands near Kherson]. Репортёр (in Russian). 19 March 2023. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  24. "Россияне пытаются окружить Бахмут с севера и юга и продвигаются под Херсоном - военный эксперт" [The Russians are trying to surround Bakhmut from the north and south and are advancing near Kherson - military expert]. Strana.ua (in Russian). 9 December 2022. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  25. "Arestovich: about the situation on the front line". Odessa Journal. 8 December 2022. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  26. Burdeina, Olena (13 December 2022). "Потьомкінський острів під Херсоном: висадки російської ДРГ не було, - Хлань" [Potemkin Island near Kherson: there was no landing of a Russian DRG, - Khlan]. StopCor (in Ukrainian). Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  27. "Invaders Plant Landmines at the River Banks in Kherson Region and Attempt to Connect ZNPP to Russian Energy System - General Staff". TSN.ua. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  28. Rohalska, Nadiia (26 December 2022). "Окупанти намагаються переправитись на правий берег з островів під Херсоном: їх зупиняють ЗСУ" [The occupiers are trying to cross to the right bank from the islands near Kherson: they are stopped by the Armed Forces]. StopCor (in Ukrainian). Archived from the original on 30 January 2023. Retrieved 28 December 2022.
  29. Chorna, Valentyna (2 January 2023). "ЗСУ звільнили Великий Потьомкінський острів на Херсонщині – нардеп Гончаренко". Fakty (in Ukrainian).
  30. Hird, Karolina; Stepanenko, Kateryna; Bailey, Riley; Mappes, Grace; Layne, Philipson; Klepanchuk, Yekaterina; Kagan, Frederick W. (3 January 2023). "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 3, 2023" (PDF). Institute for the Study of War. Archived from the original (PDF) on 25 April 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
  31. "ЗСУ звільнили острів Великий Потьомкінський на Херсонщині – джерела" [The Armed Forces of Ukraine liberated Potemkin Island in the Kherson region - sources]. Ukrainska Pravda (in Ukrainian). Archived from the original on 16 January 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
  32. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2023 Hird, Karolina, Wolkov, Nicole, Barros, George, Mappes, Grace, Mason, Clark; March 7, 2023; Institute for the Study of War (Archive)
  33. Russian Observation Post on Dnipro River Islands Destroyed April 16, 2023 (Archive)
  34. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12, 2023". Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved 13 May 2023.
  35. Harding, Thomas (4 December 2022). "Ukraine troops raise flag on east bank of Dnipro river". thenationalnews.com. N World. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  36. "Ukrainian flag raised on left-bank part of Kherson region". ukrinform.net. Ukrinform. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  37. "Fighters Raise First Ukrainian Flag on the Left Bank of Reclaimed Kherson". uk.news.yahoo.com. Yahoo! News. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  38. Bailey, Riley; Barros, George; Hird, Karolina; Carl, Nicholas; Kagan, Frederick. "RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, DECEMBER 3". understandingwar.org. Institute for Study of War. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  39. "Ukraine Units Launch Attack Across Dnipro River". theatlasnews.co. The Brief. 24 January 2023. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  40. Hird, Karolina; Bailey, Riley; Stepanenko, Kathryn; Philipson, Layne; Mappes, Grace; Kagan, Frederick. "RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JANUARY 25, 2023". understandingwar.org. Institute for Study of War. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  41. Altman, Howard (31 January 2023). "Ukraine Situation Report: The Battle For Dnipro River Islands". thedrive.com. The Drive. Retrieved 5 February 2023.
  42. Stepanenko, Kateryna; Hird, Karolina; Bailey, Riley; Mappes, Grace; Howard, Angela; Wolkov, Nicole; Kagan, Frederick. "RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JANUARY 31, 2023". understandingwar.org. ISW. Retrieved 5 February 2023.
  43. "Assessed Control of Terrain Around Kherson and Mykolaiv as of February 1, 2023, 3:00 PM ET". understandingwar.org. ISW. Retrieved 7 February 2023.
  44. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2023". Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved 25 April 2023.
  45. "Ukraine's Military Advances to East Bank of Dnieper River". Democracy Now!. Retrieved 25 April 2023.
  46. "Russian shelling as Ukraine forces reportedly cross Dnieper River". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 25 April 2023.
  47. "Expectations Rise Of Ukrainian Counteroffensive After Unconfirmed Reports Of Dnieper Crossing". Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Retrieved 25 April 2023.
  48. "Ukrainian troop positions spark counteroffensive speculation". CNBC. Retrieved 25 April 2023.
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