2023 United States gubernatorial elections
United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 7, 2023, in the states of Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. In addition, special elections may take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated. These elections form part of the 2023 United States elections. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2019.
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Partisan composition
Going into the election, there are 26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 1 Republican and 2 Democrats. Democrats are defending two governorships in states Trump won in 2020 (Kentucky and Louisiana).
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race |
Cook February 16, 2023[1] |
IE May 5, 2023[2] |
Sabato January 19, 2023[3] |
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Kentucky | R+16 | Andy Beshear | 49.2% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D |
Louisiana | R+12 | John Bel Edwards (term-limited) |
51.3% D | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) |
Mississippi | R+11 | Tate Reeves | 51.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
Race summary
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
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Kentucky | Andy Beshear | Democratic | 2019 | 49.2% D | Running |
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Louisiana | John Bel Edwards | Democratic | 2015 | 51.3% D | Term-limited |
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Mississippi | Tate Reeves | Republican | 2019 | 51.9% R | Running |
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Kentucky
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Governor Andy Beshear was elected in 2019 with 49.2% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term.[4] He won the Democratic nomination with little opposition.
Attorney general Daniel Cameron, former US Ambassador to the UN Kelly Craft, state auditor Mike Harmon, and agriculture commissioner Ryan Quarles all ran for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[4] Cameron was supported by former president Donald Trump, and led every poll leading to the primary, with Craft and Quarles trailing behind him.[16] Cameron handily won the Republican nomination, becoming the first African American major party nominee in Kentucky's history.[17]
Louisiana
Governor John Bel Edwards was re-elected to a second term in 2019 with 51.3% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Louisiana Constitution in 2023, and cannot seek reelection for a third consecutive term.
Louisiana utilizes a jungle primary system. Republican Attorney General Jeff Landry is running. Other potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Garret Graves, state senator Sharon Hewitt, and Treasurer John Schroder.[18][19]
Mississippi
Governor Tate Reeves was elected in 2019 with 51.9% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term.[20]
Democrat Brandon Presley, Mississippi Public Service Commissioner for the Northern District, is the presumptive Democratic nominee to challenge Reeves.[21]
See also
References
- "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2023-01-09.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved May 7, 2023.
- "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
- "Election Candidate Filings - Governor". web.sos.ky.gov. Retrieved May 3, 2023.
- Duvall, Tessa (November 22, 2022). "Here's the complete list of candidates running for Kentucky governor in 2023". Lexington Herald Leader. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
- Noakes, Alena (15 February 2023). "Cenla resident running for Louisiana governor". KALB.
- "State Sen. Sharon Hewitt enters governor's race". 13 January 2023.
- "Jeffery Istre joins race for governor". KPLC. February 1, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
- "Xan John announces candidacy for governor". WAFB News. January 13, 2023. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
- "Louisiana Attorney General Jeff Landry announces he is running for governor". WDSU News. October 5, 2022.
- Maricle, Doris (September 8, 2022). "Lundy announces run for governor". The American Press. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
- Team, WDSU Digital (2023-01-18). "A Northshore state representative has launched his campaign for governor". WDSU. Retrieved 2023-01-18.
- "La. State Treasurer John Schroder officially joins race for governor". WAFB. January 9, 2023. Retrieved January 9, 2023.
- "Former Louisiana DOTD Secretary Shawn Wilson announces his bid for governor". Fox 8 Live. March 6, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
- "Candidate qualifying deadline passes and reveals slate of 2023 statewide candidates". www.wlbt.com. February 1, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
- "Trump endorses Cameron's bid for governor in Kentucky". spectrumnews1.com. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- "Daniel Cameron wins Republican primary for Kentucky governor". CBS News. May 16, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
- Karlin, Sam (9 January 2023). "Billy Nungesser to announce he's not running for governor, will seek re-election". The Advocate. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- Doyle, Matt (November 19, 2019). "2023 Governor's race could be packed with GOP heavy hitters". Louisiana Radio Network. Louisiana Farm Bureau Federation. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
- "Mississippi Republican Gov. Tate Reeves files for reelection bid". Clarion Ledger. January 3, 2023.
- Hernandez, Rachel (2023-01-12). "Brandon Presley joins race for Mississippi governor". WKRG. Retrieved 2023-01-12.