2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

The 2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

November 6, 2012
Turnout61.86% Decrease[1] 4.48 pp
 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,462,330 960,709
Percentage 59.48% 39.08%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Romney easily carried Tennessee's 11 electoral votes, winning 59.48% of the vote in the state to Obama's 39.08%.[2] Romney's 20.40% margin of victory was the strongest performance by any presidential candidate in the state since Richard Nixon's 1972 landslide. Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996, when Bill Clinton won the state and many other states of the South, and the Volunteer State has not given a majority to a Democratic nominee since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter carried it in 1976. Thus, Tennessee has been seen as part of the modern-day red wall in the 21st century. After 1996, the state has been growing more Republican with each election.[3]

As consistent with the rest of the country, Obama carried heavily populated and diverse counties. The largest county, Shelby, was won by Obama by a 26.08% margin due to it being home to Memphis, Tennessee's largest city. In addition, the home of the state capital of Nashville, Davidson County, went to Obama by 18.58%. Hardeman and Haywood counties, both low-populated suburbs of Memphis, also went to Obama due to their high African American populations (42.2%[4] and 50.6%,[5] respectively). However, rural areas – including areas in the northwestern portion of the state that had long favored Democratic candidates – saw heavy margins for Romney, allowing him to offset Obama's wins in large cities. The eastern region of the state in Appalachia, some of the most historically Republican and Unionist counties in the country, saw margins of over 70% for the Republican ticket.[6]

Romney also flipped two counties, Houston and Jackson, to the Republican column. Both of these majority-white counties had been Democratic strongholds with their strong ties to secessionism: they had each only voted for a Republican presidential nominee once prior to this election, in 1928 and 1920, respectively.[7]

As of 2020, this is the most recent election in which Hardeman County was won by the Democratic presidential nominee. This is also the first and only time that a Democratic president has won re-election without carrying Tennessee.

Primaries

Democratic

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012

March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
 
Candidate Barack Obama Uncommitted
Home state Illinois n/a
Delegate count 82 9
Popular vote 80,705 10,497
Percentage 88.48% 11.51%

Tennessee results by county
  Barack Obama

The 2012 democratic primary in Tennessee took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012, with Barack Obama receiving 80,355 (88.5%) votes. Other candidates received a combined total of 10,411 (11.5%) votes.[8] Tennessee had a total of 91 delegates to the 2012 Democratic National Convention, of which 82 were pledged to presidential contenders depending on the popular vote. The remaining 9 super-delegates were unbound.

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012[9]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged delegates Super delegates Total delegates
Barack Obama 80,705 88.48% 82 9 91
Uncommitted 10,497 11.51% 0 0 0
John Wolfe Jr. (write-in) 7 0.00% 0 0 0
Total: 91,209 100% 91 29 251

Republican

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012

March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
 
Candidate Rick Santorum Mitt Romney
Home state Pennsylvania Massachusetts
Delegate count 29 14
Popular vote 205,809 155,630
Percentage 37.11% 28.06%

 
Candidate Newt Gingrich Ron Paul
Home state Georgia Texas
Delegate count 9 0
Popular vote 132,889 50,156
Percentage 23.96% 9.04%

Tennessee results by county
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich

The Republican primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[10][11]

Tennessee has 58 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates are unbound. 27 delegates are awarded by congressional district, 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate wins two-thirds of the vote in a district, he takes all 3 delegates there; if not, delegates are split 2-to-1 between the top two candidates. Another 28 delegates are awarded to the candidate who wins two-thirds of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no one gets two-thirds.[12]

Former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum won the primary with a plurality, carrying 37.11% of the vote and all but four counties, awarding him 29 delegates. Former Massachusetts Governor and eventual nominee, Mitt Romney, came second with 28.06% of the vote and 19 delegates. He carried only three counties: Davidson, Loudon, and Williamson. Former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Newt Gingrich of neighboring Georgia, came third with 23.96% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Marion. Representative from Texas Ron Paul received 9.04% of the vote and all other candidates received under 1% of the vote.[13]

Results

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012[14]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count
NYT
[15]
CNN
[16]
FOX
[17]
Rick Santorum 205,809 37.11% 29 27 26
Mitt Romney 155,630 28.06% 14 15 12
Newt Gingrich 132,889 23.96% 9 8 9
Ron Paul 50,156 9.04% 0 0 0
Rick Perry (withdrawn) 1,966 0.35% 0 0 0
Michele Bachmann (withdrawn) 1,895 0.34% 0 0 0
Jon Huntsman (withdrawn) 1,239 0.22% 0 0 0
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn) 881 0.16% 0 0 0
Gary Johnson (withdrawn) 572 0.10% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3,536 0.64% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 6 8 9
Total: 554,573 100.00% 58 58 58

General election

Results

United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2012
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 1,462,330 59.48% 11
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 960,709 39.08% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 18,623 0.67% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 6,515 0.26% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 6,022 0.24% 0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 2,639 0.11% 0
American Third Position Merlin Miller Virginia D. Abernethy 1,739 0.07% 0
Totals 2,458,577 100.00% 11

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Other votesTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #
Anderson63.95%18,96834.13%10,12201.92%56929,659
Bedford69.46%10,03429.15%4,21101.38%20014,445
Benton61.84%3,85036.27%2,25801.90%1186,226
Bledsoe69.33%3,02229.07%1,26701.61%704,359
Blount71.98%35,44126.27%12,93401.74%85949,234
Bradley76.25%27,42222.35%8,03701.40%50435,963
Campbell71.10%8,60427.50%3,32801.40%16912,101
Cannon66.54%3,30931.45%1,56402.01%1004,973
Carroll66.58%7,22532.02%3,47501.39%15110,851
Carter75.20%15,50323.23%4,78901.58%32520,617
Cheatham67.63%10,26830.69%4,65901.68%25515,182
Chester73.07%4,68425.34%1,62401.59%1026,410
Claiborne74.84%7,61723.90%2,43301.26%12810,178
Clay61.95%1,74736.77%1,03701.28%362,820
Cocke73.85%8,45924.48%2,80401.67%19111,454
Coffee67.62%13,02330.48%5,87001.90%36619,259
Crockett68.81%3,78330.36%1,66900.84%465,498
Cumberland73.88%18,65324.80%6,26101.32%33325,247
Davidson39.87%97,62258.45%143,12001.69%4,131244,873
Decatur67.61%2,87430.65%1,30301.74%744,251
DeKalb64.51%4,14333.85%2,17401.64%1056,422
Dickson63.34%11,29634.95%6,23301.72%30617,835
Dyer71.89%9,92127.22%3,75700.88%12213,800
Fayette64.83%12,68934.17%6,68801.01%19719,574
Fentress76.04%5,24322.64%1,56101.32%916,895
Franklin63.66%10,26234.76%5,60301.58%25416,119
Gibson65.51%12,88333.38%6,56401.12%22019,667
Giles64.03%6,91534.82%3,76001.15%12410,799
Grainger75.43%5,47023.00%1,66801.57%1147,252
Greene72.19%17,24526.06%6,22501.75%41723,887
Grundy59.38%2,51638.78%1,64301.84%784,237
Hamblen72.49%14,52226.13%5,23401.38%27620,032
Hamilton56.62%79,93341.67%58,83601.71%2,412141,181
Hancock74.63%1,52723.22%47502.15%442,046
Hardeman46.60%4,86552.51%5,48200.88%9210,439
Hardin75.14%7,88623.51%2,46701.35%14210,495
Hawkins72.65%14,38225.70%5,08801.65%32719,797
Haywood39.11%2,96060.36%4,56900.53%407,569
Henderson73.80%7,42125.03%2,51701.16%11710,055
Henry64.31%8,19334.06%4,33901.62%20712,739
Hickman62.59%4,75835.49%2,69801.92%1467,602
Houston52.16%1,57946.25%1,40001.59%483,027
Humphreys55.85%3,83342.33%2,90501.82%1256,863
Jackson56.96%2,38341.56%1,73901.48%624,184
Jefferson74.25%13,03824.10%4,23201.65%28917,559
Johnson74.44%4,61123.94%1,48301.61%1006,194
Knox63.60%109,70734.43%59,39901.97%3,401172,507
Lake55.73%1,16342.36%88401.92%402,087
Lauderdale53.12%4,61646.16%4,01100.71%628,689
Lawrence70.77%10,77027.84%4,23701.39%21215,219
Lewis66.40%3,11730.83%1,44702.77%1304,694
Lincoln73.88%9,80324.80%3,29001.32%17513,268
Loudon75.69%16,70722.91%5,05801.40%30822,073
Macon76.18%5,26022.48%1,55201.35%936,905
Madison54.03%21,99345.13%18,36700.84%34240,702
Marion60.26%6,27237.98%3,95301.77%18410,409
Marshall63.61%6,83234.68%3,72501.71%18410,741
Maury62.74%20,70835.83%11,82501.43%47333,006
McMinn72.71%12,96725.84%4,60901.45%25817,834
McNairy71.57%7,01526.98%2,64501.45%1429,802
Meigs68.97%2,73429.34%1,16301.69%673,964
Monroe71.80%11,73126.76%4,37201.44%23516,338
Montgomery54.41%30,24544.08%24,49901.51%84055,584
Moore73.35%2,05325.19%70501.46%412,799
Morgan71.79%4,66926.52%1,72501.69%1106,504
Obion71.68%8,81427.01%3,32101.32%16212,297
Overton62.30%4,77536.60%2,80501.10%847,664
Perry60.21%1,57837.85%99201.95%512,621
Pickett69.79%1,71229.03%71201.18%292,453
Polk67.80%4,10830.63%1,85601.57%956,059
Putnam67.66%17,25430.60%7,80201.74%44425,500
Rhea73.67%7,80224.82%2,62801.51%16010,590
Roane69.82%14,72428.53%6,01801.65%34821,090
Robertson67.11%17,64331.53%8,29001.35%35626,289
Rutherford61.56%60,84636.84%36,41401.61%1,58898,848
Scott76.74%5,11721.78%1,45201.48%996,668
Sequatchie68.86%3,54128.96%1,48902.18%1125,142
Sevier76.73%25,98421.91%7,41801.36%46233,864
Shelby36.55%135,64962.63%232,44300.81%3,017371,109
Smith63.43%4,49534.85%2,47001.72%1227,087
Stewart57.93%2,96340.45%2,06901.62%835,115
Sullivan72.74%43,56225.58%15,32101.68%1,00459,887
Sumner70.38%46,00328.42%18,57901.20%78465,366
Tipton69.23%16,67229.62%7,13301.15%27624,081
Trousdale55.49%1,61242.69%1,24001.82%532,905
Unicoi71.01%5,03227.00%1,91301.99%1417,086
Union73.47%4,28225.36%1,47801.17%685,828
Van Buren60.26%1,38638.04%87501.70%392,300
Warren61.54%8,01036.51%4,75201.94%25313,015
Washington68.30%32,80829.82%14,32501.87%89948,032
Wayne77.52%4,25321.20%1,16301.28%705,486
Weakley69.75%8,60528.76%3,54801.49%18412,337
White67.80%6,19730.58%2,79501.62%1489,140
Williamson72.59%69,85026.13%25,14201.28%1,23396,225
Wilson70.12%36,10928.53%14,69501.35%69551,499
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Mitt Romney swept the state and carried seven of the state's nine congressional districts, all represented by Republicans. Barack Obama carried the state's two congressional districts, the 5th and 9th, anchored by the two largest cities of Nashville and Memphis, respectively.[18]

District Romney Obama Representative
1st 72.7% 25.7%
Phil Roe
2nd 67.3% 30.9% John J. Duncan, Jr.
3rd 63.3% 35.1% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 65.3% 33.1% Scott DesJarlais
5th 42.5% 55.9% Jim Cooper
6th 69.1% 29.5% Diane Black
7th 65.7% 32.9% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66.1% 32.8% Stephen Fincher
9th 20.9% 78.3% Steve Cohen


See also

References

  1. "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2012". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 6, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Tennessee". Retrieved 4 January 2013.
  3. Moskowitz, Seth (March 2, 2020). "The Road to 270: Tennessee". 270toWin. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  4. "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Hardeman County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  5. "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Haywood County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  6. Rothenberg, Stuart (October 3, 2017). "What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  7. Skelley, Geoffrey. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Sheets. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  8. "State of Tennessee Democratic presidential primary" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-02-12. Retrieved 2016-09-17.
  9. "State of Tennessee March 6, 2012 Democratic Primary Presidential Preference" (PDF). Tennessee Elections. Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 12, 2017. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  10. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.
  11. "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  12. Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  13. "Tennessee Republican Primary - Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  14. "Election results March 2012. County totals" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-04-18. Retrieved 2012-03-29.
  15. "Tennessee Republican Primary - Election Results" via NYTimes.com.
  16. "Tennessee - CNN". CNN. Retrieved 30 December 2022.
  17. "Tennessee - Fox News". Fox News. Archived from the original on 2012-04-07. Retrieved 2012-03-29.
  18. Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos.
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