2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
	November 8, 2022
Turnout	38.61% [1] 15.85 pp
	County results; Lee: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Martin: 50–60% 60–70%
Governor before election; Bill Lee; Republican	Elected Governor ; Bill Lee; Republican

The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, improving on his performance from 2018. The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Democrat Jason Martin winning their respective parties' nominations.[2][3] Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson Counties.

Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it has been in nearly a decade, with only 38.61% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. This turnout was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well, with only 38.5% of Alabamians turning out to vote this midterm cycle.

Republican primary

Nominee

Bill Lee, incumbent governor[6][7]

Disqualified

Curtis Carney, business owner[8][7]
Tyler Hagerman[7]
Patricia Morrison[7]

Declined

Andy Ogles, Mayor of Maury County (successfully ran for U.S. House)[9]

Endorsements

Bill Lee

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[10]
Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)[11]

Results

Republican primary results[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Lee (incumbent)	494,362	100.00%
Total votes			494,362	100.00%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Jason Martin, pulmonologist and critical care specialist at Sumner Regional Medical Center and former Meharry Medical College professor[13][14]

Eliminated in primary

Carnita Atwater, leader of New Chicago Community Development Corporation in Northern Memphis[15]
J. B. Smiley Jr., Memphis city councilor[16]

Withdrew

Casey Nicholson, minister[17][18]

Declined

Gloria Johnson, state representative[19] (endorsed Jason Martin)[20]

Endorsements

J. B. Smiley Jr.

U.S. Representatives

Steve Cohen, U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 9th congressional district (2007–present)[21]

Local officials

Lee Harris, Mayor of Shelby County (2018–present) and former Minority Leader of the Tennessee Senate from the 29th district (2015–2018)[22]
W. W. Herenton, former Mayor of Memphis (1992–2009)[23]

Results

Results by county:

Martin

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%

Smiley

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%

Atwater

30–40%

Democratic primary results[24]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jason Martin	101,552	39.39%
	Democratic	J.B. Smiley Jr.	100,062	38.81%
	Democratic	Carnita Atwater	56,227	21.81%
Total votes			257,841	100.00%

Independents

Declared

Constance Every, nonprofit founder[25]
John Gentry, accountant[25]
Basil Marceaux, businessman and perennial candidate[25]
Alfred O'Neil[25]
Deborah Rouse, candidate for President of the United States in 2020[25]
Michael Scantland, sales manager[25]
Rick Tyler, perennial candidate (also running for U.S. House)[25]
Charles Van Morgan, small business owner[25]

Disqualified

Lemichael DaShaun-Wilson[25]
Hosie Holomon III[25]
Wendell Jackson[25]
Jake Johns[25]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[26]	Solid R	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[27]	Solid R	July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28]	Safe R	June 29, 2022
Politico[29]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
RCP[30]	Safe R	January 10, 2022
Fox News[31]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
538[32]	Solid R	August 4, 2022
Elections Daily[33]	Safe R	November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Bill Lee (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[10]
Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[11]

Organizations

Jason Martin (D)

Labor Unions

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Lee (R)	Jason Martin (D)	Other	Undecided
RABA Research	July 21–31, 2022	549 (LV)	± 4.2%	52%	28%	6%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Bill Lee vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Lee (R)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Vanderbilt University	April 26 – May 14, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	39%	12%

Results

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election[39]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Bill Lee (incumbent)	1,129,390	64.91%	+5.55
	Democratic	Jason Martin	572,818	32.92%	−5.63
	Independent	John Gentry	15,395	0.89%	N/A
	Independent	Constance Every	10,277	0.59%	N/A
	Independent	Deborah Rouse	3,772	0.22%	N/A
	Independent	Rick Tyler	2,380	0.14%	N/A
	Independent	Charles Van Morgan	1,862	0.11%	N/A
	Independent	Basil Marceaux	1,568	0.09%	N/A
	Independent	Alfred O'Neil	1,216	0.07%	N/A
	Independent	Michael Scantland	815	0.05%	N/A
	Write-In	Lemichael D. Wilson	386	0.02%	N/A
	Write-In	Charles Carney	2	0.00%	N/A
	Write-In	Stephen C. Maxwell	1	0.00%	N/A
	Write-In	Kameron Parker Scott	0	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			1,739,882	100.00%
Turnout			1,756,397	38.61%	-15.85%
Registered electors			4,549,183
	Republican hold

By county[40]

County	Bill Lee Republican		Jason Martin Democratic		Other votes		Total votes
County	%	#	%	#	%	#	Total votes
Anderson	65.82%	14,003	32.11%	6,832	2.07%	440	21,275
Bedford	79.31%	8,401	18.28%	1,936	2.41%	256	10,593
Benton	79.19%	3,247	18.44%	756	2.37%	97	4,100
Bledsoe	86.11%	2,933	12.27%	418	1.62%	55	3,406
Blount	74.43%	29,470	23.53%	9,316	2.04%	809	39,595
Bradley	81.99%	20,655	16.26%	4,096	1.75%	442	25,193
Campbell	81.97%	6,118	15.86%	1,197	2.17%	164	7,549
Cannon	80.74%	3,082	17.50%	668	1.76%	67	3,817
Carroll	80.23%	5,733	17.74%	1,268	2.03%	145	7,146
Carter	80.12%	11,602	17.78%	2,575	2.10%	303	14,480
Cheatham	71.27%	8,309	26.92%	3,138	1.81%	211	11,388
Chester	83.54%	3,756	13.83%	622	2.62%	118	4,496
Claiborne	84.01%	5,652	14.18%	954	1.81%	122	6,728
Clay	80.08%	1,451	16.94%	307	2.98%	54	1,812
Cocke	81.21%	6,618	15.95%	1,300	2.83%	231	8,149
Coffee	77.16%	10,529	20.60%	2,811	2.24%	306	13,646
Crockett	82.30%	2,734	16.23%	539	1.48%	49	3,322
Cumberland	82.40%	17,864	1617	3,505	1.43%	311	21,680
Davidson	34.24%	60,900	63.38%	112,708	2.38%	4,229	177,837
Decatur	80.65%	2,713	17.72%	596	1.63%	55	3,364
DeKalb
Dickson
Dyer	80.61%	6,791	16.81%	1,416	2.58%	217	8,424
Fayette
Fentress
Franklin
Gibson	76.61%	9,640	21.21%	2,669	2.18%	274	12,583
Giles
Grainger
Greene
Grundy
Hamblen
Hamilton	60.02%	60,647	38.45%	38,862	1.53%	1,542	101,051
Hancock	84.61%	1,110	12.58%	165	2.81%	37	1,312
Hardeman
Hardin
Hawkins
Haywood	51.14%	2,011	47.31%	1,860	1.55%	61	3,932
Henderson
Henry	79.59%	6,674	19.13%	1,604	1.28%	107	8,385
Hickman
Houston
Humphreys
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnson
Knox	59.95%	76,880	38.32%	49,140	1.73%	2,222	128,242
Lake
Lauderdale
Lawrence
Lewis
Lincoln
Loudon
Macon
Madison	63.77%	15,357	34.24%	8,246	1.99%	479	24,082
Marion
Marshall
Maury
McMinn
McNairy
Meigs
Monroe
Montgomery	60.22%	24,813	36.38%	14,988	3.4%	1,400	41,201
Moore
Morgan
Obion	82.63%	6,418	15.10%	1,173	2.27%	176	7,767
Overton
Perry
Pickett
Polk
Putnam	72.45%	14,217	24.84%	4,875	2.71%	532	19,624
Rhea
Roane
Robertson	75.97%	14,066	21.86%	4,048	2.17%	400	18,514
Rutherford	61.99%	46,575	35.87%	26,948	2.14%	1,604	75,127
Scott
Sequatchie
Sevier	80.36%	18,314	16.75%	3,818	2.89%	658	22,790
Shelby	43.20%	86,384	54.51%	108,995	2.29%	4,583	199,962
Smith
Stewart
Sullivan
Sumner	71.57%	37,466	26.12%	13,672	2.31%	1,209	52,347
Tipton
Trousdale
Unicoi
Union
Van Buren
Warren
Washington
Wayne
Weakley	78.94%	6,417	18.32%	1,489	2.74%	223	8,129
White
Williamson	68.06%	58,132	30.57%	26,116	1.37%	1,169	85,417
Wilson	70.69%	31,496	27.40%	12,208	1.91%	848	44,552

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Haywood (largest city: Brownsville)

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

"Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2022". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
"2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
"Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race". AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). "Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms". WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). "Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing". 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
Ebert, Joel. "'I love this job': Bill Lee says he'll seek a second term as Tennessee governor". The Tennessean. The USA Today Network. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
"Tennessee Petitions". TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
"New PAC Targets Gov. Lee's Re-Election Bid". Across Tennessee, TN Patch. April 29, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
Rau, Nate (March 23, 2022). "Maury County Mayor Andy Ogles enters District 5 race". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). "Redistricting looms in Texas". Politico. Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
"Nikki Haley endorses Republican Governor". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2021.
"August 4, 2022 Republican Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
"Doctor eyes run for governor". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
"Sumner County doctor Jason Martin announces gubernatorial campaign | News | wsmv.com". www.wsmv.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
"First Democratic Candidate for Governor". Tri-State Defender. April 8, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
"Memphis City Councilman JB Smiley Jr. Enters Democratic Race for Tennessee Governor". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
"Democrats running for governor make it official". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
""I'm suspending my campaign for governor."". Facebook. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
"New PAC targets Lee's re-election bid". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
"I'm so excited y'all, @jasonbmartin is exactly the leadership TN families need now!". Twitter. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
"Memphis congressman endorses in '22 gubernatorial primary". Nashville Post. October 13, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
"Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris endorses Smiley for governor". May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.
"20-Plus Tennessee Leaders Announce Support for JB Smiley, Jr. for Governor". The Tennessee Tribune. October 21, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
"August 4, 2022 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
"Petition Information". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
"2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
"Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
"2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
"Tennessee Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
"2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
"2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
"2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
"Bill Lee's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
"NFIB Tennessee PAC Endorses Bill Lee for Second Term as Governor". National Federation of Independent Businesses. September 15, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
"Tennessee Endorsements". National Right to Life. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
"General Election Endorsements". Retrieved October 17, 2022.
"Tennessee - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
State of Tennessee General Election Results Governor, November 8, 2022, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
"2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[Key-39] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2022". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[2] "2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.

[3] "Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race". AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.

[4] McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). "Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms". WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.

[5] Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). "Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing". 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.

[6] Ebert, Joel. "'I love this job': Bill Lee says he'll seek a second term as Tennessee governor". The Tennessean. The USA Today Network. Retrieved September 7, 2020.

[TNSOS22-7] "Tennessee Petitions". TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.

[8] "New PAC Targets Gov. Lee's Re-Election Bid". Across Tennessee, TN Patch. April 29, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.

[9] Rau, Nate (March 23, 2022). "Maury County Mayor Andy Ogles enters District 5 race". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. Retrieved March 28, 2022.

[LeeTrump-10] Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). "Redistricting looms in Texas". Politico. Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.

[LeeHaley-11] "Nikki Haley endorses Republican Governor". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2021.

[GOPprimaryresults-12] "August 4, 2022 Republican Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.

[13] "Doctor eyes run for governor". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 16, 2021.

[14] "Sumner County doctor Jason Martin announces gubernatorial campaign | News | wsmv.com". www.wsmv.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.

[15] "First Democratic Candidate for Governor". Tri-State Defender. April 8, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.

[16] "Memphis City Councilman JB Smiley Jr. Enters Democratic Race for Tennessee Governor". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.

[17] "Democrats running for governor make it official". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 26, 2021.

[18] ""I'm suspending my campaign for governor."". Facebook. Retrieved December 23, 2021.

[:0-19] "New PAC targets Lee's re-election bid". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved April 30, 2021.

[twitter.com-20] "I'm so excited y'all, @jasonbmartin is exactly the leadership TN families need now!". Twitter. Retrieved August 24, 2021.

[21] "Memphis congressman endorses in '22 gubernatorial primary". Nashville Post. October 13, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.

[22] "Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris endorses Smiley for governor". May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.

[20Endorse-23] "20-Plus Tennessee Leaders Announce Support for JB Smiley, Jr. for Governor". The Tennessee Tribune. October 21, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.

[DEMprimaryresults-24] "August 4, 2022 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.

[candfilings-25] "Petition Information". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.

[Cook_PR-26] "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-27] "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-28] "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Politico-29] "Tennessee Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.

[30] "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.

[Fox_News-31] "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.

[FiveThirtyEight-32] "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

[Elections_Daily-33] Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.

[34] "Bill Lee's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.

[35] "NFIB Tennessee PAC Endorses Bill Lee for Second Term as Governor". National Federation of Independent Businesses. September 15, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.

[36] "Tennessee Endorsements". National Right to Life. Retrieved November 9, 2022.

[37] "General Election Endorsements". Retrieved October 17, 2022.

[38] "Tennessee - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.

[40] State of Tennessee General Election Results Governor, November 8, 2022, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved January 17, 2023.

[41] "2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.

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Other	ballot measures

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

Republican primary

Nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Independents

Declared

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

By county[40]

See also

Notes

References

External links