2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary

The 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary will be held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 49 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.[1] The contest will be held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.

2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary

March 5, 2024

49 Republican National Convention delegates

Background

In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Alabama primary with 42.4% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 21.1% of the vote.

Republican electorate

The Alabama Republican Party electorate is predominantly evangelical. In 2012, an estimated 80% of Alabama Republican primary voters were affiliated with evangelical Christianity. In the 2008 and 2012 Alabama Republican presidential primaries, social conservative candidates Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, respectively, won by dominating the evangelical vote.[2]

Candidates

Declared candidates

Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[3][4][5][6][7]

Potential candidates

Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[8] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[9][10] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[11]

Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[12] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[13] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[14] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[15] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[16] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[17] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[18]

Campaign

Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was endorsed by Alabama's senior senator Tommy Tuberville in November 2022.[19] Former Vice President Mike Pence, who is reportedly considering a presidential candidacy, is set to speak before the University of Alabama's Young Americans for Freedom (YAF) chapter in April 2023.

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis[lower-alpha 1]
U.S. Representatives
State executive officials
Mike Pence[lower-alpha 1]
Notable individuals
Donald Trump
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Declined to endorse
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives


Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies Jan 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 50% 31% 19%
53% 35% 12%
Cygnal Oct 27–29, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.94% 36% 50% 6% 8%

See also

Notes

  1. Has not declared his candidacy
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. "Alabama Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  2. Lee, Timothy B. (2016-03-01). "Donald Trump wins Alabama Republican primary". Vox. Retrieved 2023-03-09.
  3. Singman, Brooke (November 15, 2022). "Donald Trump announces 2024 re-election run for president". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
  4. Burlij, Terence; Sullivan, Kate (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces 2024 White House bid". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
  5. Wiersema, Alisa (April 2, 2023). "ABC News exclusive: Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
  6. "Ramaswamy for President? Readers Respond". The Wall Street Journal. February 27, 2023. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  7. Kelly Garrity (April 20, 2023). "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race". Politico. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
  8. Contorno, Steve; Warren, Michael (November 16, 2022). "As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to 'chill out' with 2024 talk". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  9. Ulmer, Alexandra (2022-02-27). "Trump wins CPAC conservative meeting's 2024 presidential straw poll". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  10. Palmer, Ewan (2022-01-25). "Trump Blows Ron DeSantis Out of the Water in 2024 Presidential Polling". Newsweek. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  11. McCormick, John. "How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger". WSJ. Retrieved 2023-02-15.
  12. Jones, Dustin (April 12, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott takes a significant step toward a presidential run". NPR. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  13. LeBlanc, Paul; Maher, Kit (January 29, 2023). "New Hampshire GOP governor says he's considering 2024 White House bid". CNN. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  14. King, Ryan (March 15, 2023). "Chris Christie lays out time frame for possible 2024 run". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  15. Watson, Kathryn (January 26, 2023). "Bolton says Trump's 2024 campaign is "poison" for GOP and will "continue to go downhill"". CBS News. Archived from the original on April 15, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  16. Steinhauser, Paul (March 21, 2023). "Potential 2024 GOP long shot says his ideas may be enough to boost him past Trump, DeSantis". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 21, 2023. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
  17. Metzger, Bryan (April 23, 2023). "Former Rep. Will Hurd might launch a 2024 GOP presidential campaign. He's still waiting to see if his party agrees that 'we're better together.'". Business Insider. Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  18. Schwartz, Brian (March 8, 2023). "Miami's popular Republican Mayor Suarez weighs GOP challenge to Trump for White House in 2024". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
  19. Koplowitz, Howard (2022-11-18). "Tuberville endorses Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign". al. Retrieved 2023-03-09.
  20. Sharma, Shweta (November 14, 2022). "Former Trump ally Mo Brooks denounces him as 'dishonest, disloyal, incompetent and crude'". The Independent. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
  21. Poor, Jeff (April 3, 2023). "State Auditor Andrew Sorrell endorses Ron DeSantis for president". 1819 News. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
  22. Hillyer, Quin (March 19, 2023). "Unsolicited advice to an over-intense Mike Pence". Washington Examiner. Retrieved March 23, 2023.
  23. Bump, Philip (November 17, 2022). "Who has signed up to back Trump in 2024 — and who loudly hasn't". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 19, 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
  24. "U.S. Representative Barry Moore - Jeff Poor Show - Friday 12-02-22 - 5:48:55 pm". FMTALK 1065. December 2, 2022. Retrieved December 3, 2022.
  25. Smith, Dylan (November 29, 2022). "Strong endorses Trump for 2024, welcomes 'huge rally' in North Alabama". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  26. Caldwell, Leigh Ann; Meyer, Theodoric; Raji, Tobi (February 22, 2023). "Many lawmakers Trump endorsed last year aren't returning the favor". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  27. Wong, Scott (March 15, 2023). "House Republicans say DeSantis had no friends in Congress. Now, many want him to run for president". NBC News. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
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