2024 Florida Republican presidential primary
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125 Republican National Convention delegates | ||
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The 2024 Florida Republican presidential primary will be held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 125 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest will be held alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.
Candidates
Declared candidates
Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[2][3][4][5][6]
Potential candidates
Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[7] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[8][9] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[10]
Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[11] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[12] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[13] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[14] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[15] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[16] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[17]
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis[lower-alpha 1]
- U.S. Representatives
- Laurel Lee, FL-15 (2023–present)[18]
- Francis Rooney, FL-19 (2017–2021)[19]
- Tom Rooney, FL-17 (2013–2019) and FL-16 (2009–2013)[19]
- State Senators
- Kathleen Passidomo, Florida State Senator from District 28 and the Florida House of Representatives from District 106 (2012-2016) and District 76 (2010-2012); President of the Florida Senate (2022-present) and Majority Leader of the Florida Senate (2018-2020)[20]
- State Representatives
- Paul Renner, Florida State Representative from District 19 (2022-present) and District 24 (2015-2022); Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives (2022-present)[21]
- Spencer Roach, FL House (2018-present)[22]
- Notable individuals
- Azealia Banks, rapper, singer, and songwriter[23]
- Kenneth C. Griffin, hedge fund manager, entrepreneur, and investor[24]
Donald Trump
- Federal officials
- U.S. Representatives
- Gus Bilirakis, FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)[26][27]
- Vern Buchanan, FL-16 (2013–present) and FL-13 (2007–2013)[28][29]
- Byron Donalds, FL-19 (2021–present)[30]
- Matt Gaetz, FL-01 (2017–present)[31]
- Carlos Giménez, FL-28 (2023–present) and FL-26 (2021–2023)[32]
- Anna Paulina Luna, Fl-13 (2023–present)[33]
- Brian Mast, FL-21 (2023–present) and FL-18 (2017–2023)[28][34]
- Cory Mills, FL-07 (2023–present)[28]
- John Rutherford, FL-05 (2023–present) and FL-04 (2017–2023)[35]
- Greg Steube, FL-17 (2019–present)[28]
- Michael Waltz, FL-06 (2019–present)[36]
- State legislators
- Carolina Amesty, FL House (2022–present)[37]
- Joe Gruters, FL Senate (2018–present) and Florida GOP chair (2019–2023)[38]
- Party officials
- Anthony Sabatini, Lake County, FL GOP chair (2022–present)[38]
- Notable individuals
- Kodak Black, rapper[39][40]
- Colby Covington, mixed martial artist[41]
- Johnny Damon, former MLB player[42]
- Tony Fabrizio, pollster[43]
- Kimberly Guilfoyle, television personality[44]
- Laura Loomer, Jewish and anti-Muslim political activist[45]
- Michael the Black Man, activist[46]
- Roger Stone, political consultant[47]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman[lower-alpha 2][44]
- Eric Trump, businessman[lower-alpha 2][44]
- Lara Trump, television producer[44]
- Melania Trump, First Lady (2017–2021)[31]
- Susie Wiles, political consultant[48]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Others | Undecided | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Research/America Greatness | May 8–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 42% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 16% | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | Apr 13–14, 2023 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
| Victory Insights | Apr 6–8, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 35% | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 43% | – | 14% | ||||
| 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 22% | ||||||||
| University of North Florida | Feb 25 – Mar 7, 2023 | 550 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 13% | ||||
| 52% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 0% | 27% | 4%[lower-alpha 5] | 11% | ||||||||
| Victory Insights | Nov 16–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 10% | ||||
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 14% | ||||
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||
| Victory Insights | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2022 | 229 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | ||||
| Suffolk University | Sep 15–18, 2022 | 174 (LV) | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 12% | ||||
| Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 363 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 8% | ||||
| University of North Florida | Aug 8–12, 2022 | 671 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 8% | ||||
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | 9% | ||||
| Victory Insights | Jul 13–14, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 0% | ||||
| Blueprint Polling (D) | Jul 7–10, 2022 | 656 (V) | ± 3.8% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 10% | ||||
| Bendixen/Amandi International | March 2022 | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 13% | ||||
| University of North Florida | Feb 7–20, 2022 | 259 (RV) | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 15% | ||||
| Suffolk University | Jan 26–29, 2022 | 176 (LV) | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 13% | ||||
| Victory Insights | Sep 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 12% | ||||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | Aug 4–10, 2021 | 280 (RV) | – | 34% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 43% | 11%[lower-alpha 6] | 8% | ||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Feb 15–17, 2021 | 304 (LV) | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% [lower-alpha 7] | 14% | ||||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||||
| 2020 presidential election | ||||||||||||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | July 16–18, 2019 | 280 (LV) | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44%[lower-alpha 8] | 19% | ||||
See also
Notes
- Has not declared his candidacy
- Donald Trump's son
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Chris Sununu with 1%
- Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu with 0%
- Mitt Romney with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Chris Christie with 1%
- Marco Rubio with 12%; Rick Scott with 10%
- Marco Rubio with 26%; Rick Scott with 18%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
References
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