2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary will be held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[1] The contest will be held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

Main article: 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary
March 19, 2024
43 Republican National Convention delegates
Elections in Arizona
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Chandler
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Background

In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Arizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 27.6% of the vote. In the 2020 primaries, the Arizona Republican Party canceled their contest.[2]

Candidates
Main article: 2024 Republican Party presidential candidates

Declared candidates

Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[3][4][5][6][7]

Potential candidates

Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[8] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[9][10] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[11]

Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[12] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[13] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[14] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[15] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[16] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[17] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[18]

Endorsements
Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Ron DeSantis[lower-alpha 1]
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
Donald Trump
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local and county officials
Notable individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. Representatives

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Mike
Pence		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Tim
Scott		 Donald
Trump		 Other Undecided
J.L. Partners Apr 10–12, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 24% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1% 47% 8%[lower-alpha 3] 11%
35% – – – – – 52% – 13%
Noble Predictive Insights Apr 4–11, 2023 371 (RV) ± 5.1% 21% 4% – 7% – 0% 49% 20%[lower-alpha 4] –
41% – – – – – 59% – –
Rasmussen Reports Mar 13–14, 2023 – – 24% – – – – – 52% – 24%
OH Predictive Insights Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 350 (RV) ± 5.2% 26% 5% – 8% – – 42% 12%[lower-alpha 5] 7%
Blueprint Polling Jan 5–8, 2023 303 (V) – 34% – – – – – 43% – 23%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 337 (LV) ± 4.5% 36% – – – – – 53% – 11%
OH Predictive Insights Nov 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 16% 6% – 9% – – 48% 10%[lower-alpha 6] 9%
29% 8% – 21% – – – 25%[lower-alpha 7] 16%

See also

Notes
  1. Has not declared his candidacy
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  4. Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
  5. Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Chris Christie and Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  6. Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney and Chris Christie with 1%
  7. Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%

References
  1. "Arizona Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  2. Stone, Kevin (September 9, 2019). "Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election". KTAR. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  3. Singman, Brooke (November 15, 2022). "Donald Trump announces 2024 re-election run for president". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
  4. Burlij, Terence; Sullivan, Kate (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces 2024 White House bid". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
  5. Wiersema, Alisa (April 2, 2023). "ABC News exclusive: Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
  6. "Ramaswamy for President? Readers Respond". The Wall Street Journal. February 27, 2023. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  7. Kelly Garrity (April 20, 2023). "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race". Politico. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
  8. Contorno, Steve; Warren, Michael (November 16, 2022). "As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to 'chill out' with 2024 talk". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  9. Ulmer, Alexandra (2022-02-27). "Trump wins CPAC conservative meeting's 2024 presidential straw poll". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  10. Palmer, Ewan (2022-01-25). "Trump Blows Ron DeSantis Out of the Water in 2024 Presidential Polling". Newsweek. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  11. McCormick, John. "How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger". WSJ. Retrieved 2023-02-15.
  12. Jones, Dustin (April 12, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott takes a significant step toward a presidential run". NPR. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  13. LeBlanc, Paul; Maher, Kit (January 29, 2023). "New Hampshire GOP governor says he's considering 2024 White House bid". CNN. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  14. King, Ryan (March 15, 2023). "Chris Christie lays out time frame for possible 2024 run". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  15. Watson, Kathryn (January 26, 2023). "Bolton says Trump's 2024 campaign is "poison" for GOP and will "continue to go downhill"". CBS News. Archived from the original on April 15, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  16. Steinhauser, Paul (March 21, 2023). "Potential 2024 GOP long shot says his ideas may be enough to boost him past Trump, DeSantis". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 21, 2023. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
  17. Metzger, Bryan (April 23, 2023). "Former Rep. Will Hurd might launch a 2024 GOP presidential campaign. He's still waiting to see if his party agrees that 'we're better together.'". Business Insider. Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  18. Schwartz, Brian (March 8, 2023). "Miami's popular Republican Mayor Suarez weighs GOP challenge to Trump for White House in 2024". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
  19. Isenstadt, Alex (February 21, 2023). "Republican 2024 rivals go shopping for big donors". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  20. Bade, Rachael; Irvine, Bethany (March 6, 2023). "From loner to phenom: DeSantis' old colleagues are surprised at his rise". Politico. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
  21. Astor, Maggie (November 16, 2022). "Republican reaction to Trump: A few endorsements, and a lot of crickets". The New York Times. The Seattle Times. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  22. Ballasy, Nicholas (December 1, 2022). "Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures". Just The News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  23. "Arizona election 2022: Finchem won't acknowledge loss in secretary of state race". azcentral. November 16, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  24. Pesce, Nicole Lyn (November 15, 2022). "Cheers and jeers from Republicans as Trump announces 2024 presidential bid". MarketWatch. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  25. "I hope Trump runs, he's my hero | Sheriff Joe Arpaio | American Agenda". Headtopics. November 11, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  26. Jones, Dustin (November 15, 2022). "What lawmakers are saying about Trump's run for the presidency". NPR. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  27. https://www.azfamily.com/video/2023/04/08/congresswoman-debbie-lesko-hesitant-supporting-trump/
  28. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/02/trumps-loosening-grip-gop-early-2024-campaign-00085092
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