2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary will be held on February 13, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis.[1] The New Hampshire primary will be the second contest in the nation, held a week after the Iowa caucus.
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22 Republican National Convention delegates | ||
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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Background
Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote.
Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[2]
Candidates
Declared candidates
Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[3][4][5][6][7]
Potential candidates
Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[8] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[9][10] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[11]
Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[12] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[13] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[14] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[15] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[16] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[17] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[18]
Campaign
In January 2023, Trump tapped outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[19]
Governor Sununu, who is considering a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee" in a run-up to a potential candidacy.[20]
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis[lower-alpha 1]
- State Representatives
- Jason Osborne, NH House (2014–present); Majority Leader of the NH House (2020–present)[21]
- Brian Cole, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- David Lundgren, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Jess Edwards, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Lisa Post, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Keith Ammon, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Dan Hynes, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Michael Costable Jr., NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Ralph Boehm, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Rick Ladd, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Leah Cushman, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Cyril Aures, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Lisa Mazur, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Sheila Seidel, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Tom Mannion, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Andrew Prout, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Bob Healey, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Brian Seaworth, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Bill King, NH House (2020–present)[22]
- Sandra Panek, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Steven Bogert, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Jim Creighton, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Erica Layon, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Matthew Coulon, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Kelly Potenza, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Lex Berezhny, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Seth King, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Yury Polozov, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Juliet Harvey-Bolia, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Katelyn Kattab, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Emily Phillips, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Walt Stapleton, NH House (2018–present)[22]
- Debra DiSimone, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Travis Corcoran, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Troy Merner, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Skip Rollins, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Mike Ouelett, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- John Lewicke, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Jodi Nelson, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Bob Lynn, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Michael Vose, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Arnold Davis, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Tony Piemonte, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Tony Lekas, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Alicia Lekas, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Scott Wallace, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Mark Pearson, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- JD Bernardy, NH House (2022–present)[22]
- Mike Belcher, NH House (2022–present)[22]
Nikki Haley
- Notable individuals
- Don Bolduc, retired U.S. Army brigadier general; candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and Republican nominee in 2022[23]
Vivek Ramaswamy
- State Representatives
- Fred Doucette, NH House (2014–present)[24]
- Joshua Whitehouse, NH House (2014–2016)[25]
Donald Trump
- Federal officials
- Karoline Leavitt, White House Assistant Press Secretary (2020); Republican nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2022[26]
- State Representatives
- Kimberly Abare, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Louise Andrus, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Glenn Bailey, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Harry Bean, NH House (2018–present)[27]
- Jacob Brouilard, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Claudine Burnham, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Tim Cahill, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Jose Cambrils, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Brian Cole, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Debra DeSimone, NH House (2008–present)[27]
- Ron Dunn, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Shaun Doherty, NH House (2008–2012)[28]
- Tracy Emerick, NH House (2020–present, 2012–2018)[27]
- Keith Erf, NH House (2018–present)[27]
- Larry Gagne, NH House (2008–present)[27]
- Ted Gorski, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Gerald Griffin, NH House (2020–present, 2016–2018)[27]
- Tina Harley, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Juliet Harvey-Bolia, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Gregory Hill, NH House (2014–present, 2010–2012)[27]
- Thomas Kaczynski Jr., NH House (2020–present, 2014–2018)[27]
- Diane Kelley, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Stephen Kennedy, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Aboul Khan, NH House (2016–present, 2014–2016)[27]
- John Leavitt, NH House (2016–present)[27]
- Nikki McCarter, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Valerie McDonnell, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Charles Melvin, NH House (2018–present)[27]
- David Nagel, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Kristine Perez, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Joseph Pitre, NH House (2012–present)[27]
- Tom Ploszaj, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- John Potucek, NH House (2018–present, 2014–2016)[27]
- Kevin Pratt, NH House (2018–present)[27]
- Arlene Quaratiello, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Andrew Renzullo, NH House (2016–present, 2004–2014)[27]
- Jennifer Rhodes, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Terry Roy, NH House (2018–present)[27]
- John Sellers, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Vanessa Sheehan, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Lisa Smart, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- James Spillane, NH House (2014–present)[27]
- Jonathan Stone, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- James Summers, NH House (2022–present, 2010–2012)[27]
- Jeffrey Tenczar, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Paul Terry, NH House (2020–present)[27]
- Dick Thackston, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Jordan Ulery, NH House (2004–present)[27]
- Lilli Walsh, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Kenneth Weyler, NH House (2010–present, 1990–2008)[27]
- Robert Wherry, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Clayton Wood, NH House (2022–present)[27]
- Notable individuals
- Stephen Stepanek, former chair of the New Hampshire GOP[29]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Chris Sununu |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Research | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 17% | 39% | 15%[lower-alpha 3] | – |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | – | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 42% | 9%[lower-alpha 4] | 4% |
| J.L Partners | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 51% | 11%[lower-alpha 5] | 6% |
| 33% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
| Saint Anselm College | March 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 42% | 6%[lower-alpha 6] | – |
| Emerson College | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 7% | 58% | 7%[lower-alpha 7] | – |
| co/efficient | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 13% | 37% | 0%[lower-alpha 8] | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 4% | 30% | 12%[lower-alpha 9] | 3% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
| Club for Growth | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
| 2022 midterm elections | |||||||||||||
| Saint Anselm College | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | – | 50% | 4%[lower-alpha 10] | 8% |
| Club for Growth | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 1] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 1% | 41% | 2%[lower-alpha 11] | 32% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | – | 37% | 6%[lower-alpha 12] | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | – | 43% | 14%[lower-alpha 13] | 10% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 43% | 13%[lower-alpha 14] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm College[upper-alpha 2] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | – | 52% | 7%[lower-alpha 15] | 10% |
| Victory Insights | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 52% | 14%[lower-alpha 16] | – |
| 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | 29%[lower-alpha 17] | – | ||||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||||
| Praecones Analytica | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | – | 57% | 19%[lower-alpha 18] | 10% |
| – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | – | 46%[lower-alpha 19] | 14% | ||||
See also
Notes
- Has not declared his candidacy
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Undecided, Other & Refused
- Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem and Chris Christie with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- Liz Cheney with 4%; Chris Christie with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- Liz Cheney with 2%; Chris Christie and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
- Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- Liz Cheney and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
- Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
- Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC.
- Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
References
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- "New Hampshire Exit Polls". The New York Times. 2016-02-09. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2022-06-18.
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- Burlij, Terence; Sullivan, Kate (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces 2024 White House bid". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
- Wiersema, Alisa (April 2, 2023). "ABC News exclusive: Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
- "Ramaswamy for President? Readers Respond". The Wall Street Journal. February 27, 2023. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
- Kelly Garrity (April 20, 2023). "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race". Politico. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
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- Metzger, Bryan (April 23, 2023). "Former Rep. Will Hurd might launch a 2024 GOP presidential campaign. He's still waiting to see if his party agrees that 'we're better together.'". Business Insider. Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- Schwartz, Brian (March 8, 2023). "Miami's popular Republican Mayor Suarez weighs GOP challenge to Trump for White House in 2024". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
- Kashinsky, Lisa (January 28, 2023). "Trump makes his first big move in New Hampshire". POLITICO. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- Allen, Jonathan; Korecki, Natasha (February 8, 2023). "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu takes a major step toward running for president". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- "New Hampshire House majority leader endorses DeSantis". WHNT.com. 2023-05-04. Retrieved 2023-05-04.
- https://neverbackdown.org/50-nh/
- Porter, Steven (February 16, 2023). "Nikki Haley teams up with Don Bolduc for N.H. town halls". The Boston Globe. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- Lizza, Ryan; Bade, Rachel; Daniels, Eugene (April 6, 2023). "Playbook: A 'five-alarm warning' for the GOP". Politico. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- Lizza, Ryan; Bade, Rachel; Daniels, Eugene (April 6, 2023). "Playbook: A 'five-alarm warning' for the GOP". Politico. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- Signan, Brooke (April 3, 2022). "Karoline Leavitt to join Trump super PAC as spokeswoman". Fox News. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- "President Donald J. Trump Announces New Hampshire Elected Leadership Team". Donald J. Trump. April 17, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- Shaun Doherty [@SDohertyNH] (March 31, 2023). "I support @realDonaldTrump more now than ever before!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- Reid, Tim (January 27, 2023). "'Trump fatigue' in New Hampshire complicates 2024 White House bid". Reuters. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
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