2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary will be held on February 24, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a selection basis.[1]

Main article: 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
February 24, 2024
50 Republican National Convention delegates
Elections in South Carolina
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
State offices
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
State Senate elections
State House elections
Ballot measures

Held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, the South Carolina primary will be the third in the cycle, and will be held on the same day as the Nevada caucuses.[2] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[3]

Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, has announced her presidential candidacy. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, is also considering a candidacy.[4]

Background

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of Evangelical voters.[5] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat out eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[6]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the Evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[7]

Candidates
Main article: 2024 Republican Party presidential candidates

Declared candidates

Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[8][9][10][11][12]

Potential candidates

Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[13] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[14][15] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[16]

Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[17] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[18] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[19] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[20] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[21] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[22] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[23]


Endorsements
Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Nikki Haley
U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Mayors
Party officials
Donald Trump
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State executive officials
State legislators
Notable individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. Representatives

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Mike
Pence		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Tim
Scott		 Donald
Trump		 Other Undecided
National Public Affairs Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 2] 6%
Winthrop University Mar 25-Apr 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% 20% 18% 0% 5% – 7% 41% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 4%
Neighbourhood Research and Media Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% 22% 16% – 2% – 2% 35% – 23%
Trafalgar Group Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% – 33% – 6% – – 52% 9%[lower-alpha 4] –
– 21% – 3% – 23% 48% 5%[lower-alpha 5] –
29% 22% – 4% – – 43% 2%[lower-alpha 6] –
28% 12% – 2% – 14% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 7] –
Moore Information Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% 31% 12% – 4% – 5% 41% – 7%
– 29% – – – – 62% – 9%
42% – – – – – 49% – 15%
Spry Strategies Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) – 52% – – – – – 33% – 15%
Winthrop University Oct 22 – Nov 5, 2022 – – – 37% – – – – 45% – 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 3.5% 33% – – – – – 58% – 9%
Trafalgar Group Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% – – – – – – 64% 11%[lower-alpha 8] 25%[lower-alpha 9]

See also

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Mike Pompeo with 1%
  3. Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  4. Mike Pompeo with 9%
  5. Mike Pompeo with 5%
  6. Mike Pompeo with 2%
  7. Mike Pompeo with 1%
  8. "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  9. "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%

References
  1. "South Carolina Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  2. Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  3. "5 Things to Watch in South Carolina's Republican Primary". ABC Newa. February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  4. Kraushaar, Josh (2023-02-19). "South Carolina's Nikki Haley and Tim Scott on collision course in 2024 presidential race". Axios. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  5. "South Carolina's Key Role in the Presidential Race". U.S. News & World Report. February 17, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  6. Rutenberg, Jim (2012-01-22). "Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  7. Lipka, Michael (2016-02-25). "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved 2022-06-18.
  8. Singman, Brooke (November 15, 2022). "Donald Trump announces 2024 re-election run for president". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
  9. Burlij, Terence; Sullivan, Kate (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces 2024 White House bid". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
  10. Wiersema, Alisa (April 2, 2023). "ABC News exclusive: Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
  11. "Ramaswamy for President? Readers Respond". The Wall Street Journal. February 27, 2023. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  12. Kelly Garrity (April 20, 2023). "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race". Politico. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
  13. Contorno, Steve; Warren, Michael (November 16, 2022). "As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to 'chill out' with 2024 talk". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  14. Ulmer, Alexandra (2022-02-27). "Trump wins CPAC conservative meeting's 2024 presidential straw poll". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  15. Palmer, Ewan (2022-01-25). "Trump Blows Ron DeSantis Out of the Water in 2024 Presidential Polling". Newsweek. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
  16. McCormick, John. "How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger". WSJ. Retrieved 2023-02-15.
  17. Jones, Dustin (April 12, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott takes a significant step toward a presidential run". NPR. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  18. LeBlanc, Paul; Maher, Kit (January 29, 2023). "New Hampshire GOP governor says he's considering 2024 White House bid". CNN. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  19. King, Ryan (March 15, 2023). "Chris Christie lays out time frame for possible 2024 run". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  20. Watson, Kathryn (January 26, 2023). "Bolton says Trump's 2024 campaign is "poison" for GOP and will "continue to go downhill"". CBS News. Archived from the original on April 15, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  21. Steinhauser, Paul (March 21, 2023). "Potential 2024 GOP long shot says his ideas may be enough to boost him past Trump, DeSantis". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 21, 2023. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
  22. Metzger, Bryan (April 23, 2023). "Former Rep. Will Hurd might launch a 2024 GOP presidential campaign. He's still waiting to see if his party agrees that 'we're better together.'". Business Insider. Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  23. Schwartz, Brian (March 8, 2023). "Miami's popular Republican Mayor Suarez weighs GOP challenge to Trump for White House in 2024". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
  24. Laco, Kelly (February 15, 2023). "Nikki Haley endorsed by top Trump ally Ralph Norman who says GOP needs 'new leadership'". Fox News. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  25. Bustos, Joseph (April 6, 2023). "SC's Haley returns to Lexington County for presidential campaign rally". The State. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  26. Duncan, Chase (March 13, 2023). "2024 presidential candidate Nikki Haley visits Myrtle Beach, talks solutions". MyHorryNews. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  27. Morris, Kyle (February 11, 2023). "Nikki Haley not to be 'underestimated' in bid for president, former South Carolina GOP officials say". Fox News. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  28. Schecter, Maayan (November 16, 2022). "Some SC Republicans already stand behind Trump 2024. Others? Not so fast". The State. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
  29. Vaughan, Crysty (January 28, 2023). "Donald Trump names SC Leadership team during visit to State House". ABC 25 Columbia. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  30. Byrd, Caitlin (November 16, 2022). "Donald Trump endorsed by SC Gov. Henry McMaster. Nikki Haley, Tim Scott still watching 2024". The Post and Courier. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  31. Orr, Gabby; Sullivan, Kate; Holmes, Kristen (January 27, 2023). "Trump will hit the trail looking to reinvigorate his campaign". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  32. Rubin, Olivia; Ibssa, Lalee (January 28, 2023). "Trump says he's 'more committed' than ever as he holds first 2024 campaign events". ABC News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  33. Schechter, Maayan (January 28, 2023). "Live updates: Handful of state lawmakers present for Trump campaign event at SC State House". The State. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  34. Wingfield, Mark (December 8, 2022). "While many evangelical leaders are wary of Trump's 2024 run, this Oklahoma pastor has launched a fan club". Baptist News Global. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  35. Dickinson, Tim; McCann Ramirez, Nikki (November 28, 2022). "Trump Isn't MAGA Enough Anymore, Say Kanye-Curious Extremists". Rolling Stones. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  36. https://time.com/6274530/trump-desantis-endorsements-south-carolina/
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