2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary
The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary is set to be held on February 27, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.[1] The contest will take place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart.
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Background
In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.[2]
Schedule
In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.[3] As of May 2023, the date violates Republican Party Rule 16, which prohibits any state except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until on or after March 1st, 2024, meaning the state would lose nearly 80% of their delegates.
Candidates
Declared candidates
Former President Donald Trump, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, and radio host Larry Elder are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far.[4][5][6][7][8]
Potential candidates
Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[9] Commentators have described DeSantis as Trump's closest rival in the Republican primary based on primary polling taken in 2022 and 2023.[10][11] Former Vice President Mike Pence is also considering a candidacy for the Republican nomination.[12]
Other Republicans reportedly considering a candidacy include Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina;[13] Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire;[14] former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey;[15] former National Security Advisor John Bolton of Maryland;[16] former Representative Mike Rogers of Michigan;[17] former Representative Will Hurd of Texas;[18] and Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez of Florida.[19]
Other candidates
Detroit-based businessman Perry Johnson, who unsuccessfully ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Michigan in the 2022 election, has launched a presidential candidacy.[20] Described as a "long-shot" candidate, Johnson spent $192,000 on a campaign ad at Super Bowl LVII.[21]
Endorsements
- State legislators
- Joe Bellino, MI Senate (2023–present)[22]
- Kevin Daley, MI Senate (2019–present)[22]
- Phil Green, MI House (2019–present)[23]
- Dan Lauwers, MI Senate (2019–present)[22]
- Tom Leonard, MI House from (2013–2019); Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2018[24]
- Aric Nesbitt, MI Senate (2019–present); Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2023–present)[24]
- Bryan Posthumus, MI House (2021–present)[23]
- Lana Theis, MI Senate (2019–present)[22]
- Michael Webber, MI Senate (2023–present)[22]
- Federal officials
- Pete Hoekstra, U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021); U.S. Representative from MI-02 (1993–2011); Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[25]
- Municipal officials
- James Craig, Chief of the Detroit PD (2013–2021); candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022[25]
- U.S. Representatives
- Kerry Bentivolio, MI-11 (2013–2015)[26]
- Party officials
- Meshawn Maddock, Michigan GOP co-chair (2021–2023)[27]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Ron DeSantis |
Donald Trump |
Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | 42% | 45% | 13% |
See also
Notes
- Has not declared his candidacy
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- "Michigan Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- "Michigan Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-09-29. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- Robinson, Samuel (2023-02-03). "Michigan Democrats move up presidential primary without GOP support". Axios. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- Singman, Brooke (November 15, 2022). "Donald Trump announces 2024 re-election run for president". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- Burlij, Terence; Sullivan, Kate (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces 2024 White House bid". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
- Wiersema, Alisa (April 2, 2023). "ABC News exclusive: Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved April 2, 2023.
- "Ramaswamy for President? Readers Respond". The Wall Street Journal. February 27, 2023. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
- Kelly Garrity (April 20, 2023). "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race". Politico. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
- Contorno, Steve; Warren, Michael (November 16, 2022). "As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to 'chill out' with 2024 talk". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
- Ulmer, Alexandra (2022-02-27). "Trump wins CPAC conservative meeting's 2024 presidential straw poll". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- Palmer, Ewan (2022-01-25). "Trump Blows Ron DeSantis Out of the Water in 2024 Presidential Polling". Newsweek. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- McCormick, John. "How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger". WSJ. Retrieved 2023-02-15.
- Jones, Dustin (April 12, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott takes a significant step toward a presidential run". NPR. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- LeBlanc, Paul; Maher, Kit (January 29, 2023). "New Hampshire GOP governor says he's considering 2024 White House bid". CNN. Archived from the original on February 8, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- King, Ryan (March 15, 2023). "Chris Christie lays out time frame for possible 2024 run". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- Watson, Kathryn (January 26, 2023). "Bolton says Trump's 2024 campaign is "poison" for GOP and will "continue to go downhill"". CBS News. Archived from the original on April 15, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- Steinhauser, Paul (March 21, 2023). "Potential 2024 GOP long shot says his ideas may be enough to boost him past Trump, DeSantis". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 21, 2023. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
- Metzger, Bryan (April 23, 2023). "Former Rep. Will Hurd might launch a 2024 GOP presidential campaign. He's still waiting to see if his party agrees that 'we're better together.'". Business Insider. Archived from the original on April 23, 2023. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- Schwartz, Brian (March 8, 2023). "Miami's popular Republican Mayor Suarez weighs GOP challenge to Trump for White House in 2024". CNBC. Archived from the original on March 8, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
- DeVries, Cassandra (2023-03-02). "Businessman Perry Johnson announces presidential bid". Hillsdale Collegian. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- Keene, Houston (2023-02-11). "Long-shot WH candidate Perry Johnson spends six-figures on Super Bowl ad blasting 'fat,' 'bloated' govt". Fox News. Retrieved 2023-03-03.
- Oosting, Jonathan [@jonathanoosting] (April 6, 2023). "Ron DeSantis secures some Michigan endorsements for president, according to supporting super PAC: State Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt, Sens. Lana Theis, Michael Webber, Kevin Daley, Dan Lauwers and Joe Bellino, state Rep. Bryan Posthumus, former House Speaker Tom Leonard" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2023 – via Twitter.
- Isenstadt, Alex (January 18, 2023). "Top Michigan Republicans move to draft DeSantis for 2024". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- LeBlanc, Beth (April 6, 2023). "DeSantis lays out Florida as blueprint for Republican success in Michigan speech". Detroit News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- Gomez, Henry J. (March 2, 2023). "Michigan Businessman uses CPAC to launch Presidential Bid'". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- https://facebook.com/profile/100004403986580/search/?q=Trump%20has%20my%20vote!%20Publicity%20worth%20millions
- Mauger, Craig; Nann Burke, Melissa (November 16, 2022). "Muted Michigan GOP reaction to Trump's 3rd White House bid". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 18, 2023. (subscription required)